IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ags/aergaa/253547.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Supply Response in Rainfed Agriculture of Odisha, Eastern India: A Vector Error Correction Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Ranjan Paltasingh, Kirtti
  • Goyari, Phanindra

Abstract

This paper provides an empirical investigation of supply response in case of rice in rainfed agriculture of Odisha. A composite weather index, instead of rainfall has been incorporated in the model to monitor farmers’ supply response to weather. The vector error correction approach which avoids the unrealistic assumption of fixed supply on the basis of static expectation is applied. The empirical results reveal the fact that there is price inelasticity of supply whereas the supply elasticity with respect to weather is found to be very high. The policy implications suggest that there should be huge emphasis on irrigation as well as weather insurance. Assured irrigation minimizes the dependence on weather conditions and secures the crop from the vagaries of monsoon and thereby reduces the risk attached with farming.

Suggested Citation

  • Ranjan Paltasingh, Kirtti & Goyari, Phanindra, 2013. "Supply Response in Rainfed Agriculture of Odisha, Eastern India: A Vector Error Correction Approach," Agricultural Economics Review, Greek Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 14(2), pages 1-16.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:aergaa:253547
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.253547
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/253547/files/14_2_7.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.253547?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lahiri, Ashik Kumar & Roy, Prannoy, 1985. "Rainfall and supply-response : A study of rice in India," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(2-3), pages 315-334, August.
    2. Sunil Kanwar, 2004. "Price Incentives, Nonprice factors, and Crop Supply Response:The Indian Cash Crops," Working papers 132, Centre for Development Economics, Delhi School of Economics.
    3. Marc Nerlove, 1958. "Distributed lags and Estimation of Long-Run Supply and Demand Elasticities: Theoretical Considerations," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 40(2), pages 301-310.
    4. Vangelis Tzouvelekas & Stratos Loizou & Konstantinos Giannakas & Konstantinos Mattas, 2001. "Co-integration and error-correction modelling of olive oil consumption in Greece," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(8), pages 539-543.
    5. Bernard Oury, 1965. "Allowing for Weather in Crop Production Model Building," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 47(2), pages 270-283.
    6. Bin Zhang & Colin A. Carter, 1997. "Reforms, the Weather, and Productivity Growth in China's Grain Sector," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 79(4), pages 1266-1277.
    7. Olubode-Awosola, O.O. & Oyewumi, Olubukola Ayodeju & Jooste, Andre, 2006. "Vector error correction modelling of Nigerian agricultural supply response," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 45(4), pages 1-16, December.
    8. T. Palanivel, 1995. "Aggregate Supply Responses in Indian Agriculture: Some Empirical Evidence and Policy Implications," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, vol. 30(2), pages 251-263, July.
    9. Andrew McKay & Oliver Morrissey & Charlotte Vaillant, 1998. "Aggregate Export and Food Crop Supply Response in Tanzania," Discussion Papers 98/4, University of Nottingham, CREDIT.
    10. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254.
    11. Johansen, Søren & Juselius, Katarina, 1992. "Testing structural hypotheses in a multivariate cointegration analysis of the PPP and the UIP for UK," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 53(1-3), pages 211-244.
    12. Dickey, David A & Fuller, Wayne A, 1981. "Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 49(4), pages 1057-1072, June.
    13. Johansen, Soren & Juselius, Katarina, 1990. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration--With Applications to the Demand for Money," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 52(2), pages 169-210, May.
    14. Paltasingh, Kirtti Ranjan & Goyari, Phanindra & Mishra, R.K., 2012. "Measuring Weather Impact on Crop Yield Using Aridity Index: Evidence from Odisha," Agricultural Economics Research Review, Agricultural Economics Research Association (India), vol. 25(2).
    15. Just, Richard E., 1993. "Discovering Production and Supply Relationships: Present Status and Future Opportunities," Review of Marketing and Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 61(01), pages 1-30, April.
    16. Rao, N. Chandrasekhara, 2004. "Aggregate Agricultural Supply Response in Andhra Pradesh," Indian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Indian Society of Agricultural Economics, vol. 59(1), pages 1-14.
    17. Bingxin Yu & Fengwei Liu & Liangzhi You, 2012. "Dynamic Agricultural Supply Response Under Economic Transformation: A Case Study of Henan, China," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 94(2), pages 370-376.
    18. Hallam, David & Zanoli, Raffaele, 1993. "Error Correction Models and Agricultural Supply Response," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 20(2), pages 151-166.
    19. Surajit Deb, 2003. "Terms of Trade and Supply Response of Indian Agriculture: Analysis in Cointegration Framework," Working papers 115, Centre for Development Economics, Delhi School of Economics.
    20. Jae-Kwang Hwang, 2002. "The demand for money in korea: Evidence from the cointegration test," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 8(3), pages 188-195, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Salamatu Jebuni-Dotsey, 2023. "Price Incentives and Supply Response in Cocoa -A Case of Border Regions of Ghana," Journal of Sustainable Development, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 16(3), pages 1-1, May.
    2. Antony, Nyerere, 2016. "Determinants Of Rice Supply In Tanzania," Research Theses 276426, Collaborative Masters Program in Agricultural and Applied Economics.
    3. Paltasingh, Kirtti Ranjan & Goyari, Phanindra, 2013. "Analyzing Growth and Instability in Subsistence Agriculture of Odisha: Evidence from Major Crops," Agricultural Economics Research Review, Agricultural Economics Research Association (India), vol. 26(Conferenc).
    4. Muhammad Aamir, Shahzad, 2017. "Price Forecasting Model for Perishable Commodities: A Case of Tomatoes in Punjab, Pakistan," MPRA Paper 81531, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Aug 2017.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Antony, Nyerere, 2016. "Determinants Of Rice Supply In Tanzania," Research Theses 276426, Collaborative Masters Program in Agricultural and Applied Economics.
    2. Chebbi, Houssem Eddine & Lachaal, Lassaad, 2007. "Agricultural Sector and Economic Growth in Tunisia: Evidence from Co-integration and Error Correction Mechanism," 103rd Seminar, April 23-25, 2007, Barcelona, Spain 9416, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    3. Kirtti Ranjan Paltasingh & Phanindra Goyari, 2018. "Statistical Modeling of Crop-Weather Relationship in India: A Survey on Evolutionary Trend of Methodologies," Asian Journal of Agriculture and Development, Southeast Asian Regional Center for Graduate Study and Research in Agriculture (SEARCA), vol. 15(1), pages 42-60, June.
    4. M. T. Alguacil & V. Orts, 2003. "Inward Foreign Direct Investment and Imports in Spain," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(3), pages 19-38.
    5. Duasa, Jarita, 2008. "Impact of exchange rate shock on prices of imports and exports," MPRA Paper 11624, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Levent KORAP, 2008. "Exchange Rate Determination Of Tl/Us$:A Co-Integration Approach," Istanbul University Econometrics and Statistics e-Journal, Department of Econometrics, Faculty of Economics, Istanbul University, vol. 7(1), pages 24-50, May.
    7. Pedro Hugo Clavijo Cortes, 2017. "Balance comercial y volatilidad del tipo de cambio nominal: Un estudio de series de tiempo para Colombia," Revista Economía y Región, Universidad Tecnológica de Bolívar, vol. 11(1), pages 37-58, June.
    8. Erdal Demirhan & Banu Demirhan, 2015. "The Dynamic Effect of ExchangeRate Volatility on Turkish Exports: Parsimonious Error-Correction Model Approach," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 62(4), pages 429-451, September.
    9. Usman Qamar Sheikh & Muhammad Zafar Iqbal & Hafiz Khalil Ahmad, 2016. "The Impact of Foreign Aid, Energy Production and Human Capital on Income Inequality: A Case Study of Pakistan," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 5(1), pages 1-9, March.
    10. Fakhri J. Hasanov & Muhammad Javid & Frederick L. Joutz, 2022. "Saudi Non-Oil Exports before and after COVID-19: Historical Impacts of Determinants and Scenario Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-38, February.
    11. Mariam Camarero & Cecilio Tamarit, 1996. "Cointegration and the PPP and the UIP hypotheses: An application to the Spanish integration in the EC," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 61-76, January.
    12. Alexander Schätz, 2010. "Macroeconomic Effects on Emerging Market Sector Indices," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 9(2), pages 131-169, August.
    13. Eugenio Martínez & Raúl Mejía & Eliseo Pérez Stable, 2008. "Elasticity of cigarette demand in Argentina: An empirical analysis using vector error-correction model," Working Papers 1, Instituto de Estudios Laborales y del Desarrollo Económico (IELDE) - Universidad Nacional de Salta - Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Jurídicas y Sociales.
    14. Houssem Eddine Chebbi & Marcelo Olarreaga & Habib Zitouna, 2011. "Trade Openness Andco2emissions In Tunisia," Middle East Development Journal (MEDJ), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 3(01), pages 29-53.
    15. Bremnes, Helge & Gjerde, Oystein & Soettem, Frode, 2001. "Linkages among Interest Rates in the United States, Germany and Norway," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 103(1), pages 127-145, March.
    16. Luca Taschini & Matteo Bonato, 2016. "Comovement and the Financialization of Commodities," Working Papers 64, Economic Research Southern Africa.
    17. Asche, Frank & Osmundsen, Petter & Tveteras, Ragnar, 2002. "European market integration for gas? Volume flexibility and political risk," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 249-265, May.
    18. Phylaktis, Kate & Girardin, Eric, 2001. "Foreign exchange markets in transition economies: China," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(1), pages 215-235, February.
    19. Camarero, Mariam & Tamarit, Cecilio, 1995. "A rationale for macroeconomic policy coordination: Evidence based on the Spanish peseta," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 11(1), pages 65-82, March.
    20. Yoon, Jongyeol & Brown, Scott, 2017. "Examination of asymmetric supply response in the U.S. livestock industry," 2017 Annual Meeting, February 4-7, 2017, Mobile, Alabama 252779, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:aergaa:253547. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/etagrea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.