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Trends versus cycles in global wine export shares

  • Labys, Walter C.
  • Cohen, Bruce C.
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    The global wine market has witnessed major changes in recent years. Some of these changes are structural in nature or trend-following, whereas others are cyclical. Recently, new market entrants have increased their exports not only to traditional European markets but to other importing regions as well, whereas Old World producers have experienced declining market shares. However, the evidence examined here suggests that market share data also contain strong cyclical components. Mixed results also occur when the wine export data are disaggregated into products. This paper employs econometric methods to analyse the recent major shifts in world wine market shares and explains whether these are more of a secular trend-setting nature or of a temporary cyclical nature.

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    Article provided by Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society in its journal Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics.

    Volume (Year): 50 (2006)
    Issue (Month): 4 (December)

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    Handle: RePEc:ags:aareaj:116981
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    1. Wittwer, Glyn & Berger, Nick & Anderson, Kym, 2003. "A model of the world's wine markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 487-506, May.
    2. Glyn Wittwer & Kym Anderson, 2001. "Accounting for Growth in the Australian Wine Industry, 1987 to 2003," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 34(2), pages 179-189.
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