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Content
2008
2007
- 2007-68 Continuous time extraction of a nonstationary signal with illustrations in continuous low-pass and band-pass filtering
by Tucker S. McElroy & Thomas M. Trimbur
- 2007-67 Nominal mortgage contracts and the effects of inflation on portfolio allocation
by Joseph B. Nichols
- 2007-66 Stability of risk preference
by Claudia R. Sahm
- 2007-65 Bank core deposits and the mitigation of monetary policy
by Lamont K. Black & Diana Hancock & Wayne Passmore
- 2007-64 Two pitfalls of linearization methods
by Jinill Kim & Sunghyun Henry Kim
- 2007-63 Explaining a productive decade
by Stephen D. Oliner & Daniel E. Sichel & Kevin J. Stiroh
- 2007-62 Risk and concentration in payment and securities settlement systems
by David C. Mills & Travis D. Nesmith
- 2007-61 The evolution of household income volatility
by Karen E. Dynan & Douglas W. Elmendorf & Daniel E. Sichel
- 2007-60 Gauging the uncertainty of the economic outlook from historical forecasting errors
by David L. Reifschneider & Peter Tulip
- 2007-59 Hyperbolic discounting and uniform savings floors
by Benjamin A. Malin
- 2007-58 Imperfect monitoring and the discounting of inside money
by David C. Mills
- 2007-57 Financial market perceptions of recession risk
by Thomas B. King & Andrew T. Levin & Roberto Perli
- 2007-56 Welfare-maximizing monetary policy under parameter uncertainty
by Rochelle M. Edge & Thomas Laubach & John C. Williams
- 2007-55 Implied interest rate skew, term premiums, and the \"conundrum\"
by J. Benson Durham
- 2007-54 Reserve requirement systems in OECD countries
by Yueh-Yun C. O'Brien
- 2007-53 Documentation of the Research and Statistics Division’s estimated DSGE model of the U.S. economy: 2006 version
by Rochelle M. Edge & Michael T. Kiley & Jean-Philippe Laforte
- 2007-52 Do high debt payments hinder household consumption smoothing?
by Kathleen W. Johnson & Geng Li
- 2007-51 The effects of past entry, market consolidation, and expansion by incumbents on the probability of entry
by Robert M. Adams & Dean F. Amel
- 2007-50 Choice of mortgage contracts: evidence from the Survey of Consumer Finances
by Brahima Coulibaly & Geng Li
- 2007-49 Operational problems and aggregate uncertainty in the federal funds market
by Elizabeth C. Klee
- 2007-48 Habit persistence, non-separability between consumption and leisure, or rule-of thumb consumers: which accounts for the predictability of consumption growth?
by Michael T. Kiley
- 2007-47 Credit derivatives and risk management
by Michael S. Gibson
- 2007-46 Cracking the conundrum
by David K. Backus & Jonathan H. Wright
- 2007-45 Does health affect portfolio choice?
by David A. Love & Paul A. Smith
- 2007-44 Will monetary policy become more of a science?
by Frederic S. Mishkin
- 2007-43 Combining forecasts from nested models
by Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken
- 2007-42 Averaging forecasts from VARs with uncertain instabilities
by Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken
- 2007-41 Forecasting with small macroeconomic VARs in the presence of instabilities
by Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken
- 2007-40 Housing and the monetary transmission mechanism
by Frederic S. Mishkin
- 2007-39 An efficiency perspective on the gains from mergers and asset purchases
by Sugata Ray & Missaka Warusawitharana
- 2007-38 Transaction costs and consumption
by Geng Li
- 2007-37 The rise in U.S. household indebtedness: causes and consequences
by Karen E. Dynan & Donald L. Kohn
- 2007-36 Why do firms offer risky defined benefit pension plans?
by David A. Love & Paul A. Smith & David W. Wilcox
- 2007-35 Executive compensation: a new view from a long-term perspective, 1936-2005
by Carola Frydman & Raven E. Saks
- 2007-34 News, noise, and estimates of the \"true\" unobserved state of the economy
by Dennis J. Fixler & Jeremy J. Nalewaik
- 2007-33 Robust monetary policy with imperfect knowledge
by Athanasios Orphanides & John C. Williams
- 2007-32 Labor reallocation over the business cycle: new evidence from internal migration
by Raven E. Saks & Abigail Wozniak
- 2007-31 Federal Home Loan Bank advances and commercial bank portfolio composition
by W. Scott Frame & Diana Hancock & Wayne Passmore
- 2007-30 Employer-to-employer flows in the United States: estimates using linked employer-employee data
by Melissa Bjelland & Bruce Fallick & John Haltiwanger & Erika McEntarfer
- 2007-29 Bank commercial loan fair value practices
by Michael Moise & James M. O'Brien & John Tschirhart & Emily Yang
- 2007-28 Racial dispersion in consumer credit interest rates
by Wendy Edelberg
- 2007-27 Corporate asset purchases and sales: theory and evidence
by Missaka Warusawitharana
- 2007-26 The rise and fall of U.S. inflation persistence
by Meredith J. Beechey & Pär Österholm
- 2007-25 Estimating the long-run user cost elasticity for a small open economy: evidence using data from South Africa
by Brahima Coulibaly & Jonathan N. Millar
- 2007-24 Sectoral productivity in the United States: recent developments and the role of IT
by Eric J. Bartelsman & J. Joseph Beaulieu & Carol Corrado & Paul Lengermann
- 2007-23 Incorporating vintage differences and forecasts into Markov switching models
by Jeremy J. Nalewaik
- 2007-22 Bond risk premia and realized jump volatility
by Jonathan H. Wright & Hao Zhou
- 2007-21 The contribution of multinational corporations to U.S. productivity growth, 1977-2000
by Carol Corrado & Paul Lengermann & Lawrence Slifman
- 2007-20 Sources and uses of equity extracted from homes
by Alan Greenspan & James E. Kennedy
- 2007-19 The value of Medicare managed care plans and their prescription drug benefits
by Anne E. Hall
- 2007-18 Taylor rules
by Athanasios Orphanides
- 2007-17 Do households have enough wealth for retirement?
by David A. Love & Lucy C. McNair & Paul A. Smith
- 2007-14 Diagnosing and treating bifurcations in perturbation analysis of dynamic macro models
by Jinill Kim & Andrew T. Levin & Tack Yun
- 2007-12 Anchoring bias in consensus forecasts and its effect on market prices
by Sean D. Campbell & Steven A. Sharpe
- 2007-10 Alternative methods of unit nonresponse weighting adjustments: an application from the 2003 Survey of Small Business Finances
by Lieu N. Hazelwood & Traci L. Mach & John D. Wolken
- 2007-08 Natural rate measures in an estimated DSGE model of the U.S. economy
by Rochelle M. Edge & Michael T. Kiley & Jean-Philippe Laforte
- 2007-05 Rounding and the impact of news: a simple test of market rationality
by Meredith J. Beechey & Jonathan H. Wright
- 2007-01 A primer on the macroeconomic implications of population aging
by Louise Sheiner & Daniel E. Sichel & Lawrence Slifman
2006
- 2007-16 Studying consumption with the Panel Study of Income Dynamics: comparisons with the Consumer Expenditure Survey and an application to the intergenerational transmission of well-being
by Kerwin Kofi Charles & Sheldon Danziger & Geng Li & Robert F. Schoeni
- 2007-15 Learning by investing--embodied technology and business cycles
by Geng Li
- 2007-13 A brief history of the 1987 stock market crash with a discussion of the Federal Reserve response
by Mark A. Carlson
- 2007-11 Expected stock returns and variance risk premia
by Tim Bollerslev & Hao Zhou
- 2007-09 A cohort-based model of labor force participation
by Bruce Fallick & Jonathan F. Pingle
- 2007-07 Estimating probabilities of recession in real time using GDP and GDI
by Jeremy J. Nalewaik
- 2007-06 A closer look at the sensitivity puzzle: the sensitivity of expected future short rates and term premia to macroeconomic news
by Meredith J. Beechey
- 2007-04 Rational seasonality
by Travis D. Nesmith
- 2007-03 Linear cointegration of nonlinear time series with an application to interest rate dynamics
by Barry E. Jones & Travis D. Nesmith
- 2007-02 Measurement of monetary aggregates across countries
by Yueh-Yun C. O'Brien
- 2006-46 The competitive effects of risk-based bank capital regulation: an example from U.S. mortgage markets
by Diana Hancock & Andreas Lehnert & Wayne Passmore & Shane M. Sherlund
- 2006-45 A quantitative comparison of sticky-price and sticky-information models of price setting
by Michael T. Kiley
- 2006-44 Shifting trends in semiconductor prices and the pace of technological progress
by Ana M. Aizcorbe & Stephen D. Oliner & Daniel E. Sichel
- 2006-43 Inflation measurement
by David E. Lebow & Jeremy B. Rudd
- 2006-42 An estimate of the inflation risk premium using a three-factor affine term structure model
by J. Benson Durham
- 2006-41 The profitability of small, single-market banks in an era of multimarket banking
by Timothy H. Hannan & Robin A. Prager
- 2006-40 Acquisition targets and motives in the banking industry
by Timothy H. Hannan & Steven J. Pilloff
- 2006-39 Incorporating judgement in fan charts
by Pär Österholm
- 2006-38 A model in which outside and inside money are essential
by David C. Mills
- 2006-37 Social Security's delayed retirement credit and the labor supply of older men
by Jonathan F. Pingle
- 2006-36 Incompatibility and investment in ATM networks
by Ron Borzekowski & Timothy H. Hannan
- 2006-35 Realized jumps on financial markets and predicting credit spreads
by George Tauchen & Hao Zhou
- 2006-34 Requirements and prospects for a new time to payoff disclosure for open end credit under Truth in Lending
by Thomas A. Durkin
- 2006-33 The relocation decisions of working couples
by Jonathan F. Pingle
- 2006-32 What do financial asset prices say about the housing market?
by J. Benson Durham
- 2006-31 Why are plant deaths countercyclical: reallocation timing or fragility?
by Andrew Figura
- 2006-30 GSEs, mortgage rates, and secondary market activities
by Andreas Lehnert & Wayne Passmore & Shane M. Sherlund
- 2006-29 A trend and variance decomposition of the rent-price ratio in housing markets
by Sean D. Campbell & Morris A. Davis & Joshua H. Gallin & Robert F. Martin
- 2006-28 The U.S. Treasury yield curve: 1961 to the present
by Refet S. Gürkaynak & Brian P. Sack & Jonathan H. Wright
- 2006-27 Are longer bankruptcies really more costly?
by Daniel M. Covitz & Song Han & Beth Anne Wilson
- 2006-26 Solving linear rational expectations models: a horse race
by Gary S. Anderson
- 2006-25 The price of residential land in large U.S. cities
by Morris A. Davis & Michael G. Palumbo
- 2006-24 Intangible capital and economic growth
by Carol Corrado & Charles R. Hulten & Daniel E. Sichel
- 2006-23 Explaining cyclical movements in employment: creative destruction or changes in utilization
by Andrew Figura
- 2006-22 Monetary policy implementation without averaging or rate corridors
by William C. Whitesell
- 2006-21 Likelihood ratio tests on cointegrating vectors, disequilibrium adjustment vectors, and their orthogonal complements
by Norman J. Morin
- 2006-20 Inflation targeting under imperfect knowledge
by Athanasios Orphanides & John C. Williams
- 2006-19 A retrospective evaluation of the effects of temporary partial expensing
by Darrel Cohen & Jason G. Cummins
- 2006-18 'Captive markets': the impact of kidnappings on corporate investment in Colombia
by Rony Pshisva & Gustavo A. Suarez
- 2006-17 The choice at the checkout: quantifying demand across payment instruments
by Ron Borzekowski & Elizabeth K. Kiser
- 2006-16 Consumers' use of debit cards: patterns, preferences, and price response
by Shaista Ahmed & Ron Borzekowski & Elizabeth K. Kiser
- 2006-15 Do macro variables, asset markets, or surveys forecast inflation better?
by Andrew Ang & Geert Bekaert & Min Wei
- 2006-14 Executive financial incentives and payout policy: firm responses to the 2003 dividend tax cut
by Jeffrey R. Brown & J. Nellie Liang & Scott Weisbenner
- 2006-13 Currents and undercurrents: changes in the distribution of wealth, 1989-2004
by Arthur B. Kennickell
- 2006-12 A fully-rational liquidity-based theory of IPO underpricing and underperformance
by Matthew Pritsker
- 2006-11 Credit market competition and capital regulation
by Franklin Allen & Elena Carletti & Robert Marquez
- 2006-10 Forecasting professional forecasters
by Eric Ghysels & Jonathan H. Wright
- 2006-09 Incentives and prices for motor vehicles: what has been happening in recent years?
by Carol Corrado & Wendy E. Dunn & Maria Ward Otoo
- 2006-08 Real-time model uncertainty in the United States: the Fed from 1996-2003
by Brian Ironside & Robert J. Tetlow
- 2006-07 The yield curve and predicting recessions
by Jonathan H. Wright
- 2006-06 Taxation with representation: intergovernmental grants in a plebiscite democracy
by Byron F. Lutz
- 2006-05 The road to price stability
by Athanasios Orphanides
- 2006-04 Outstanding outsourcers: a firm- and plant-level analysis of production sharing
by Christopher J. Kurz
- 2006-03 Do homeowners know their house values and mortgage terms?
by Brian Bucks & Karen M. Pence
- 2006-02 Paper or plastic? the effect of time on the use of check and debit cards at grocery stores
by Elizabeth C. Klee
- 2006-01 Families' use of payment instruments during a decade of change in the U.S. payment system
by Elizabeth C. Klee
2005
- 2005-70 Expectations formation and the effectiveness of strategies for limiting the consequences of the zero bound on interest rates
by David L. Reifschneider & John M. Roberts
- 2005-69 Using structural shocks to identify models of investment
by John M. Roberts
- 2005-68 Using subjective expectations to forecast longevity: do survey respondents know something we don't know?
by Maria G. Perozek
- 2005-67 Escaping the Samaritan's Dilemma: implications of a dynamic model of altruistic intergenerational transfers
by Maria G. Perozek
- 2005-66 Modelling inflation dynamics: a critical review of recent research
by Jeremy B. Rudd & Karl Whelan
- 2005-65 Retail deposit fees and multimarket banking
by Timothy H. Hannan
- 2005-64 Post Brown vs. the Board of Education: the effects of the end of court-ordered desegregation
by Byron F. Lutz
- 2005-63 Explaining credit default swap spreads with the equity volatility and jump risks of individual firms
by Benjamin Y. Zhang & Hao Zhou & Haibin Zhu
- 2005-62 An inflation goal with multiple reference measures
by William C. Whitesell
- 2005-61 How did the 2003 dividend tax cut affect stock prices?
by Gene Amromin & Paul Harrison & Steven A. Sharpe
- 2005-60 The sustainability of health spending growth
by Glenn Follette & Louise Sheiner
- 2005-59 A no-arbitrage analysis of economic determinants of the credit spread term structure
by Liuren Wu & Frank X. Zhang
- 2005-58 Robustifying learnability
by Robert J. Tetlow & Peter Von zur Muehlen
- 2005-57 How did the 2003 dividend tax cut affect stock prices and corporate payout policy?
by Gene Amromin & Paul Harrison & J. Nellie Liang & Steven A. Sharpe
- 2005-56 Competition and price discrimination in the market for mailing lists
by Ron Borzekowski & Charles Taragin & Raphael Thomadsen
- 2005-55 Alternative central bank credit policies for liquidity provision in a model of payments
by David C. Mills
- 2005-54 Can financial innovation help to explain the reduced volatility of economic activity?
by Karen E. Dynan & Douglas W. Elmendorf & Daniel E. Sichel
- 2005-53 Jump-diffusion processes and affine term structure models: additional closed-form approximate solutions, distributional assumptions for jumps, and parameter estimates
by J. Benson Durham
- 2005-52 Solving stochastic money-in-the-utility-function models
by Travis D. Nesmith
- 2005-51 Monetary policy with imperfect knowledge
by Athanasios Orphanides & John C. Williams
- 2005-50 Measuring counterparty credit exposure to a margined counterparty
by Michael S. Gibson
- 2005-49 Job creation and housing construction: constraints on metropolitan area employment growth
by Raven E. Saks
- 2005-48 Term structure estimation with survey data on interest rate forecasts
by Don H. Kim & Athanasios Orphanides
- 2005-47 Stock market volatility and the Great Moderation
by Sean D. Campbell
- 2005-46 ATM surcharge bans and bank market structure: the case of Iowa and its neighbors
by Timothy H. Hannan
- 2005-45 The effects of welfare reform and related policies on single mothers' welfare use and employment
by Adam Looney
- 2005-44 The effect of anticipated tax changes on intertemporal labor supply and the realization of taxable income
by Adam Looney & Monica Singhal
- 2005-43 The effects of mortgage prepayments on M2
by Yueh-Yun C. O'Brien
- 2005-42 Nowcasting GDP and inflation: the real-time informational content of macroeconomic data releases
by Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & David H. Small
- 2005-41 Estimates of home mortgage originations, repayments, and debt on one-to-four-family residences
by Alan Greenspan & James E. Kennedy
- 2005-40 Risk, uncertainty, and asset prices
by Geert Bekaert & Eric Engstrom & Yuhang Xing
- 2005-39 Do nonfinancial firms use interest rate derivatives to hedge?
by Daniel M. Covitz & Steven A. Sharpe
- 2005-38 How biased are measures of cyclical movements in productivity and hours?
by Stephanie Aaronson & Andrew Figura
- 2005-37 A computationally efficient characterization of pure strategy Nash equilibria in large entry games
by Andrew M. Cohen
- 2005-36 Large investors: implications for equilibrium asset, returns, shock absorption, and liquidity
by Matthew Pritsker
- 2005-35 Liquidity, default, taxes and yields on municipal bonds
by Junbo Wang & Chunchi Wu & Frank X. Zhang
- 2005-34 Optimal policy projections
by Lars E. O. Svensson & Robert J. Tetlow
- 2005-33 An arbitrage-free three-factor term structure model and the recent behavior of long-term yields and distant-horizon forward rates
by Don H. Kim & Jonathan H. Wright
- 2005-32 The household spending response to the 2003 tax cut: evidence from survey data
by Julia Lynn Coronado & Joseph P. Lupton & Louise Sheiner
- 2005-31 Has output become more predictable? changes in Greenbook forecast accuracy
by Peter Tulip
- 2005-30 Why and when do spot prices of crude oil revert to futures price levels?
by Mark W. French
- 2005-29 Using federal funds futures contracts for monetary policy analysis
by Refet S. Gürkaynak
- 2005-28 Gestation lags and the relationship between investment and Q in regressions
by Jonathan N. Millar
- 2005-27 External habit and the cyclicality of expected stock returns
by Thomas D. Tallarini & Harold H. Zhang
- 2005-26 From the horse's mouth: gauging conditional expected stock returns from investor surveys
by Gene Amromin & Steven A. Sharpe
- 2005-25 Prices, production, and inventories over the automotive model year
by Adam Copeland & Wendy E. Dunn & George J. Hall
- 2005-24 Gestation lags for capital, cash flows, and Tobin's Q
by Jonathan N. Millar
- 2005-23 Raising the bar for models of turnover
by Erwan Quintin & John J. Stevens
- 2005-22 Growing old together: firm survival and employee turnover
by Erwan Quintin & John J. Stevens
- 2005-21 A review of backtesting and backtesting procedures
by Sean D. Campbell
- 2005-20 Branch banking, bank competition, and financial stability
by Mark A. Carlson & Kris James Mitchener
- 2005-19 Temporary partial expensing in a general-equilibrium model
by Rochelle M. Edge & Jeremy B. Rudd