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Diagnosing and treating bifurcations in perturbation analysis of dynamic macro models

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Author Info
Jinill Kim
Andrew T. Levin
Tack Yun

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Abstract

In perturbation analysis of nonlinear dynamic systems, the presence of a bifurcation implies that the first-order behavior of the economy cannot be characterized solely in terms of the first-order derivatives of the model equations. In this paper, we use two simple examples to illustrate how to detect the existence of a bifurcation. Following the general approach of Judd (1998), we then show how to apply l'Hospital's rule to characterize the solution of each model in terms of its higher-order derivatives. We also show that in some cases the bifurcation can be eliminated through renormalization of model variables; furthermore, renormalization may yield a more accurate first-order solution than applying l'Hospital's rule to the original formulation.

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Paper provided by Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) in its series Finance and Economics Discussion Series with number 2007-14.

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Date of creation: 2007
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Handle: RePEc:fip:fedgfe:2007-14

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Keywords: Bifurcation theory Perturbation (Mathematics)

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Kenneth L. Judd & Sy-Ming Guu, 2001. "Asymptotic Methods for Asset Market Equilibrium Analysis," NBER Working Papers 8135, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Benhabib, Jess & Nishimura, Kazuo, 1979. "The hopf bifurcation and the existence and stability of closed orbits in multisector models of optimal economic growth," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 421-444, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Tack Yun, 2005. "Optimal Monetary Policy with Relative Price Distortions," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 95(1), pages 89-109, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Richard Pierse, 2007. "Linear-quadratic approximation, external habit and targeting rules," Working Paper Series 759, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
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  5. Pierpaolo Benigno & Michael Woodford, 2005. "Inflation Stabilization And Welfare: The Case Of A Distorted Steady State," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 3(6), pages 1185-1236, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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