On the Non-Optimality of Information: An Analysis of the Welfare Effects of Anticipated Shocks in the New Keynesian Model
Abstract
This paper compares the welfare effects of anticipated and unanticipated cost-push shocks in the canonical New Keynesian model with optimal monetary policy. We find that, for empirically plausible degrees of nominal rigidity, the anticipation of a future cost-push shock leads to a higher welfare loss than an unanticipated shock. A welfare gain from the anticipation of a future cost shock may only occur if prices are sufficiently flexible. We analytically show that this surprising result holds although unanticipated shocks lead to higher negative impact effects on welfare than anticipated shocks. --Download Info
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Paper provided by Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics in its series Economics Working Papers with number 2008,21.
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Date of creation: 2008
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Handle: RePEc:zbw:cauewp:7469
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Keywords: Anticipated Shocks; Optimal Monetary Policy; Sticky Prices; Welfare Analysis;Other versions of this item:
- Hans-Werner Wohltmann & Roland Winkler, 2009. "On the Non-Optimality of Information: An Analysis of the Welfare Effects of Anticipated Shocks in the New Keynesian Model," Kiel Working Papers 1497, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
- E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
- E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
- E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2009-02-07 (All new papers)
- NEP-CBA-2009-02-07 (Central Banking)
- NEP-MAC-2009-02-07 (Macroeconomics)
- NEP-MIC-2009-02-07 (Microeconomics)
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Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.Cited by:
- Wohltmann, Hans-Werner & Winkler, Roland C., 2009.
"Rational expectations models with anticipated shocks and optimal policy: a general solution method and a new Keynesian example,"
Economics Working Papers
2009,01, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
- Hans-Werner Wohltmann & Roland Winkler, 2009. "Rational Expectations Models with Anticipated Shocks and Optimal Policy: A General Solution Method and a New Keynesian Example," Kiel Working Papers 1507, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
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