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Rational expectations models with anticipated shocks and optimal policy: a general solution method and a new Keynesian example

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  • Wohltmann, Hans-Werner
  • Winkler, Roland C.

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to show how to solve linear dynamic rational expectations models with anticipated shocks by using the generalized Schur decomposition method. Furthermore, we determine the optimal unrestricted and restricted policy responses to anticipated shocks. We demonstrate our solution method by means of a micro-founded hybrid New Keynesian model and show that anticipated cost-push shocks entail higher welfare losses than unanticipated shocks of equal size. --

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics in its series Economics Working Papers with number 2009,01.

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Date of creation: 2009
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Handle: RePEc:zbw:cauewp:200901

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Keywords: Anticipated Shocks; Optimal Monetary Policy; Rational Expectations; Generalized Schur Decomposition; Welfare Effects;

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  1. Glenn D. Rudebusch & Lars E. O. Svensson, 1998. "Policy rules for inflation targeting," Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco 98-03, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  2. Wohltmann, Hans-Werner & Winkler, Roland C., 2008. "On the Non-Optimality of Information: An Analysis of the Welfare Effects of Anticipated Shocks in the New Keynesian Model," Economics Working Papers 2008,21, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
  3. Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe & Martin Uribe, 2008. "What's News in Business Cycles," NBER Working Papers 14215, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  4. Currie,David & Levine,Paul, 2009. "Rules, Reputation and Macroeconomic Policy Coordination," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521104609.
  5. Söderlind, Paul, 1998. "Solution and Estimation of RE Macromodels with Optimal Policy," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 256, Stockholm School of Economics.
  6. Merkl, Christian & Snower, Dennis J., 2007. "Monetary Persistence, Imperfect Competition, and Staggering Complementarities," IZA Discussion Papers 3033, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
  7. Backus, David & Driffill, John, 1986. "The Consistency of Optimal Policy in Stochastic Rational Expectations Models," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers 124, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  8. Beaudry, Paul & Portier, Franck, 2003. "Stock Prices, News and Economic Fluctuations," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers 3844, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  9. Ippei Fujiwara & Yasuo Hirose & Mototsugu Shintani, 2009. "Can News Be a Major Source of Aggregate Fluctuations? A Bayesian DSGE Approach," Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers 0921, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics.
  10. Calvo, Guillermo A., 1983. "Staggered prices in a utility-maximizing framework," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 12(3), pages 383-398, September.
  11. Miguel Casares, 2007. "Monetary Policy Rules in a New Keynesian Euro Area Model," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 39(4), pages 875-900, 06.
  12. Marc P. Giannoni & Michael Woodford, 2003. "Optimal Inflation Targeting Rules," NBER Working Papers 9939, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  13. Klein, Paul, 2000. "Using the generalized Schur form to solve a multivariate linear rational expectations model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 24(10), pages 1405-1423, September.
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Cited by:
  1. Samuel Wills, 2014. "Optimal Monetary Responses to Oil Discoveries," OxCarre Working Papers, Oxford Centre for the Analysis of Resource Rich Economies, University of Oxford 121, Oxford Centre for the Analysis of Resource Rich Economies, University of Oxford.
  2. Paul Beaudry & Franck Portier, 2013. "News Driven Business Cycles: Insights and Challenges," NBER Working Papers 19411, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  3. Sacht, Stephen, 2014. "Optimal monetary policy responses and welfare analysis within the highfrequency New-Keynesian framework," Economics Working Papers 2014-03, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
  4. Kapinos, Pavel, 2011. "Forward-looking monetary policy and anticipated shocks to inflation," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 620-633.

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