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Why the Euro Will Be Strong: An Approach Based on Equilibrium Exchange Rates

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Author Info
Michel Aglietta
Camille Baulant
Virginie Coudert

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Abstract

For the last few years macroeconomic analysis of equilibrium exchange rates has been rejuvenated. Transition and developing countries have linked their exchange rates more or less loosely to key-currencies or baskets of currencies. Besides the prospect of EMU entails hopes or fears about the external value of the Euro Assessing equilibrium real exchange rates is the way to bring some insight into the matter.

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Paper provided by CEPII research center in its series Working Papers with number 1997-18.

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Date of creation: Dec 1997
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Handle: RePEc:cii:cepidt:1997-18

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Keywords: EXCHANGE RATE MONETARY AREAS EUROPE

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:

  1. Ronald MacDonald, 1997. "What Determines Real Exchange Rates? The Long and Short of It," IMF Working Papers 97/21, International Monetary Fund.
  2. Phillips, Peter C B & Loretan, Mico, 1991. "Estimating Long-run Economic Equilibria," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 58(3), pages 407-36, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  3. Phillips, Peter C B & Ouliaris, S, 1990. "Asymptotic Properties of Residual Based Tests for Cointegration," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 58(1), pages 165-93, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  4. Kenneth Rogoff, 1996. "The Purchasing Power Parity Puzzle," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 34(2), pages 647-668, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Tamim Bayoumi & Peter B. Clark & Steven A. Symansky & Mark P. Taylor, 1994. "Robustness of Equilibrium Exchange Rate Calculations to Alternative Assumptions and Methodologies," IMF Working Papers 94/17, International Monetary Fund.
  6. Ronald MacDonald, 1995. "Long-Run Exchange Rate Modeling - A Survey of the Recent Evidence," IMF Working Papers 95/14, International Monetary Fund.
  7. Thomas Helnling & Bart Turtelboom, 1995. "Real Interest Rates, Real Exchange Rates, and Net Foreign Assets in the Adjustment Process," IMF Working Papers 95/129, International Monetary Fund.
  8. Menzie David Chinn, 1997. "Sectoral Productivity, Government Spending and Real Exchange Rates: Empirical Evidence for OECD Countries," NBER Working Papers 6017, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Hamid Faruqee, 1994. "Long-Run Determinants of the Real Exchange Rate - A Stock-Flow Perspective," IMF Working Papers 94/90, International Monetary Fund.
  10. Dolado, Juan J & Jenkinson, Tim & Sosvilla-Rivero, Simon, 1990. " Cointegration and Unit Roots," Journal of Economic Surveys, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 4(3), pages 249-73.
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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Balázs Egert & Carol S. Leonard, 2007. "Dutch Disease Scare in Kazakhstan: Is it real?," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo GmbH. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Balázs Égert, 2005. "Equilibrium Exchange Rates in Southeastern Europe, Russia, Ukraine and Turkey: Healthy or (Dutch) Diseased?," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series wp770, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan Stephen M. Ross Business School. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Ian Babetskii & Balázs Égert, 2005. "Equilibrium Exchange Rate in the Czech Republic: How Good is the Czech BEER?," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series wp781, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan Stephen M. Ross Business School. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Imed Drine & Christophe Rault, 2003. "On the long-run determinants of real exchange rates for developing countries : Evidence from Africa, Latin America and Asia," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series 2003-571, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan Stephen M. Ross Business School. [Downloadable!]
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  5. Kirsten Lommatzsch & Balazs Egert & Amina Lahreche-Revil, 2005. "The Stock-Flow Approach to the Real Exchange Rate of CEE Transition Economies:," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2005 14, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
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  6. French-German Economic Forum, 1999. "Reduction of working time - Eastward Enlargement of the European Union," Working Papers 1999-13, CEPII research center. [Downloadable!]
  7. Loic Cadiou & Stephanie Guichard & Mathilde Maurel, 1999. "La diversite des marches du travail en Europe: les implications macro-economiques," Working Papers 1999-11, CEPII research center. [Downloadable!]
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