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Why the Euro will be Strong: an Approach Based on Equilibrium Exchange Rates

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  • Michel Aglietta
  • Camille Baulant
  • Virginie Coudert

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by CEPII research center in its series Working Papers with number 1997-18.

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Date of creation: Dec 1997
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Handle: RePEc:cii:cepidt:1997-18

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Keywords: euro; exchange rate;

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References

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  1. Ronald MacDonald, 1995. "Asset Market and Balance of Payments Characteristics," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund 95/55, International Monetary Fund.
  2. Charles Engel, 1998. "Long-Run PPP May Not Hold After All," Discussion Papers in Economics at the University of Washington, Department of Economics at the University of Washington 0050, Department of Economics at the University of Washington.
  3. Menzie David Chinn, 1997. "Sectoral Productivity, Government Spending and Real Exchange Rates: Empirical Evidence for OECD Countries," NBER Working Papers 6017, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  4. Florence Thibault & Cécile Couharde & Didier Borowski, 1998. "Sensibilités des taux de change d'équilibre aux output gaps et aux cibles de la balance courante," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, Programme National Persée, vol. 134(3), pages 71-96.
  5. Hamid Faruqee, 1994. "Long-Run Determinants of the Real Exchange Rate," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund 94/90, International Monetary Fund.
  6. Thomas Helbling & Bart Turtelboom, 1995. "Real Interest Rates, Real Exchange Rates, and Net Foreign Assets in the Adjustment Process," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund 95/129, International Monetary Fund.
  7. Camille Baulant & Michel Aglietta, 1994. "Contrainte extérieure et compétitivité dans la transition vers l'union économique et monétaire," Revue de l'OFCE, Programme National Persée, Programme National Persée, vol. 48(1), pages 7-54.
  8. Peter C.B. Phillips & Sam Ouliaris, 1987. "Asymptotic Properties of Residual Based Tests for Cointegration," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University 847R, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Jul 1988.
  9. Nicolas Sobczak & Céline Prigent & Hervé Joly, 1996. "Le taux de change réel d'équilibre : une introduction," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, Programme National Persée, vol. 123(2), pages 1-21.
  10. Michel Aglietta & Camille Baulant, 1994. "Contrainte extérieure et compétitivité dans la transition vers l'union économique et monétaire," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(1), pages 7-54.
  11. Hamid Faruqee, 1995. "Long-Run Determinants of the Real Exchange Rate: A Stock-Flow Perspective," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 42(1), pages 80-107, March.
  12. Kenneth Rogoff, 1996. "The Purchasing Power Parity Puzzle," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, American Economic Association, vol. 34(2), pages 647-668, June.
  13. Peter C.B. Phillips & Mico Loretan, 1989. "Estimating Long Run Economic Equilibria," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University 928, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  14. Ronald MacDonald, 1995. "Long-Run Exchange Rate Modeling," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund 95/14, International Monetary Fund.
  15. Ronald MacDonald, 1997. "What Determines Real Exchange Rates? The Long and Short of it," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund 97/21, International Monetary Fund.
  16. Dolado, Juan J & Jenkinson, Tim & Sosvilla-Rivero, Simon, 1990. " Cointegration and Unit Roots," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 4(3), pages 249-73.
  17. John Williamson, 1994. "Estimating Equilibrium Exchange Rates," Peterson Institute Press: All Books, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Peterson Institute for International Economics, number 17, July.
  18. Peter B. Clark & Steven A. Symansky & Tamim Bayoumi & Mark P. Taylor, 1994. "Robustness of Equilibrium Exchange Rate Calculations to Alternative Assumptions and Methodologies," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund 94/17, International Monetary Fund.
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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Maria Gelman & Axel Jochem & Stefan Reitz & Mark P. Taylor, 2014. "Real Financial Market Exchange Rates and Capital Flows," Kiel Working Papers 1945, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
  2. Jesus Crespo Cuaresma & Jarko Fidrmuc & Maria Antoinette Silgoner, 2004. "Exchange Rate Developments and Fundamentals in Four EU Accession and Candidate Countries: Bulgaria, Croatia, Romania and Turkey," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 2, pages 119-137.
  3. Ian Babetskii & Balázs Égert, 2005. "Equilibrium Exchange Rate in the Czech Republic: How Good is the Czech BEER?," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan wp781, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan.
  4. Balázs Égert, 2004. "Equilibrium Exchange Rates in Southeastern Europe, Russia, Ukraine and Turkey: Healthy or (Dutch) Diseased?," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 2, pages 138-181.
  5. Balazs Egert & Carol Leonard, 2008. "Dutch Disease Scare in Kazakhstan: Is it real?," Open Economies Review, Springer, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 147-165, April.
  6. Kirsten Lommatzsch & Balazs Egert & Amina Lahreche-Revil, 2005. "The Stock-Flow Approach to the Real Exchange Rate of CEE Transition Economies:," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2005, Money Macro and Finance Research Group 14, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
  7. Christophe Rault & Imed Drine, 2004. "On the long-run determinants of real exchange rates for developing countries : Evidence from Africa, Latin America and Asia," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings, Econometric Society 403, Econometric Society.
  8. Chinn, Menzie David, 2000. "The empirical determinants of the Euro: Short and long run perspectives," SFB 373 Discussion Papers, Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes 2000,43, Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes.
  9. Loïc Cadiou & Stéphanie Guichard & Mathilde Maurel, 1999. "La diversité des marchés du travail en Europe : Quelles conséquences pour l'Union Monétaire," Working Papers, CEPII research center 1999-11, CEPII research center.
  10. Balazs Egert, 2012. "Nominal and Real Exchange Rate Models in South Africa: How Robust are they?," CESifo Working Paper Series 3853, CESifo Group Munich.
  11. French-German Economic Forum, 1999. "Reduction of Working Time," Working Papers, CEPII research center 1999-13, CEPII research center.

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