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Jointness of Growth Determinants

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Author Info
Doppelhofer, G.
Weeks, M.

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Abstract

Model uncertainty arises from uncertainty about correct economic theories, data issues and empirical specification problems. This paper investigates mutual dependence or jointness among variables in explaining the dependent variable. Jointness departs from univariate measures of variable importance, while addressing model uncertainty and allowing for generally unknown forms of dependence. Positive jointness implies that regressors are complements, representing distinct, but interacting economic factors. Negative jointness implies that explanatory variables are substitutes and act as proxies for a similar underlying mechanism. In a cross-country dataset, we show that jointness among 67 determinants of growth is important, ffecting inference and economic policy.

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Paper provided by Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge in its series Cambridge Working Papers in Economics with number 0542.

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Date of creation: Sep 2005
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Handle: RePEc:cam:camdae:0542

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Related research
Keywords: Model Uncertainty; Dependencies among Regressors; Jointness; Determinants of Economic Growth;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Bayesian Analysis
C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation and Testing
O20 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - General
O50 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - General

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  6. Granger, Clive W. J. & King, Maxwell L. & White, Halbert, 1995. "Comments on testing economic theories and the use of model selection criteria," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 67(1), pages 173-187, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  17. Doppelhofer, G. & Weeks, M., 2005. "Jointness of Growth Determinants," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0542, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Jesus Crespo Cuaresma & Tomas Slacik, . "On the determinants of currency crises: The role of model uncertainty," Working Papers 2008-03, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, University of Innsbruck. [Downloadable!]
  2. Scharnagl, Michael & Schumacher, Christian, 2007. "Reconsidering the role of monetary indicators for euro area inflation from a Bayesian perspective using group inclusion probabilities," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2007,09, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre. [Downloadable!]
  3. Gernot Doppelhofer & Melvyn Weeks, 2007. "Jointness of Growth Determinants," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Jesús Crespo-Cuaresma & Gernot Doppelhofer & Martin Feldkircher, 2009. "The Determinants of Economic Growth in European Regions," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. Eduardo Ley & Mark F.J. Steel, 2009. "On the effect of prior assumptions in Bayesian model averaging with applications to growth regression

    This article was published online on 30 M," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(4), pages 651-674. [Downloadable!]

  6. Ley, Eduardo & Steel, Mark F.J., 2008. "On the Effect of Prior Assumptions in Bayesian Model Averaging with Applications to Growth Regression," MPRA Paper 6772, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 06 Jan 2008. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  7. Ley, Eduardo & Steel, Mark F. J., 2006. "Jointness in Bayesian variable selection with applications to growth regression," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4063, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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