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Andreas Graefe

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This is information that was supplied by Andreas Graefe in registering through RePEc. If you are Andreas Graefe , you may change this information at the RePEc Author Service. Or if you are not registered and would like to be listed as well, register at the RePEc Author Service. When you register or update your RePEc registration, you may identify the papers and articles you have authored.

Personal Details

First Name: Andreas
Middle Name:
Last Name: Graefe
Suffix:

RePEc Short-ID: pgr243

Email:
Homepage: http://www.andreas-graefe.org
Postal Address:
Phone:

Affiliation

Institut für Kommunikationswissenschaft und Medienforschung, LMU München (Department of Communication Science and Media Research, LMU Munich)
Homepage: http://www.en.ifkw.uni-muenchen.de/index.html
Location: Munich, Germany

Lists

This author is featured on the following reading lists, publication compilations or Wikipedia entries:
  1. Technology Assessment

Works

as in new window

Working papers

  1. Armstrong, J. Scott & Graefe, Andreas, 2009. "Predicting Elections from Biographical Information about Candidates," MPRA Paper 16461, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  2. Graefe, Andreas & Armstrong, J. Scott, 2008. "Forecasting Elections from Voters’ Perceptions of Candidates’ Positions on Issues and Policies," MPRA Paper 9829, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  3. Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott & Graefe, Andreas, 2007. "Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared," MPRA Paper 4663, University Library of Munich, Germany.

Articles

  1. Andreas Graefe & J. Scott Armstrong, & Randall J. Jones & Alfred G. Cuz‡n, 2013. "Combined Forecasts of the 2012 Election: The PollyVote," Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, issue 28, pages 50-51, Winter.
  2. Andreas Graefe & Randy Jones & Scott Armstrong & Alfred Cuzán, 2012. "The PollyVote’s Year-Ahead Forecast of the 2012 U.S. Presidential Election," Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, issue 24, pages 13-14, Winter.
  3. Graefe, Andreas & Armstrong, J. Scott, 2011. "Comparing face-to-face meetings, nominal groups, Delphi and prediction markets on an estimation task," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 183-195.
  4. Armstrong, J. Scott & Graefe, Andreas, 2011. "Predicting elections from biographical information about candidates: A test of the index method," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 64(7), pages 699-706, July.
  5. Andreas Graefe, 2011. "Prediction Markets and the “Trough of Disillusionment”," Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, issue 23, pages 43-46, Fall.
  6. Graefe, Andreas & Armstrong, J. Scott, 2011. "Conditions under which index models are useful: Reply to bio-index commentaries," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 64(7), pages 693-695, July.
  7. Andreas Graefe, 2010. "Are Prediction Markets More Accurate than Simple Surveys?," Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, issue 19, pages 39-43, Fall.
  8. Andreas Graefe, 2010. "Prediction Markets for Forecasting Drug Development," Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, issue 17, pages 8-12, Spring.
  9. Andreas Graefe & J. Scott Armstrong & Alfred G. Cuzán & Randall J. Jones, Jr., 2009. "Combined Forecasts of the 2008 Election: The Pollyvote," Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, issue 12, pages 41-42, Winter.
  10. Andreas Graefe, 2008. "Prediction Markets – Defining Events and Motivating Participation," Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, issue 9, pages 30-32, Spring.
  11. Andreas Graefe & Christof Weinhardt, 2008. "Long-Term Forecasting with Prediction Markets - A Field Experiment on Applicability and Expert Confidence," Journal of Prediction Markets, University of Buckingham Press, vol. 2(2), pages 71-91, September.
  12. Kesten Green & J. Scott Armstrong & Andreas Graefe, 2007. "Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared," Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, issue 8, pages 17-20, Fall.

NEP Fields

3 papers by this author were announced in NEP, and specifically in the following field reports (number of papers):
  1. NEP-CBE: Cognitive & Behavioural Economics (2) 2007-09-09 2008-08-14. Author is listed
  2. NEP-CDM: Collective Decision-Making (2) 2008-08-14 2009-08-02. Author is listed
  3. NEP-ECM: Econometrics (1) 2009-08-02. Author is listed
  4. NEP-FOR: Forecasting (3) 2007-09-09 2008-08-14 2009-08-02. Author is listed
  5. NEP-POL: Positive Political Economics (2) 2008-08-14 2009-08-02. Author is listed

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