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Expert biases in technology foresight. Why they are a problem and how to mitigate them

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  • Bonaccorsi, Andrea
  • Apreda, Riccardo
  • Fantoni, Gualtiero

Abstract

The paper addresses an issue largely discussed in the field of Forecasting and in many future-oriented scientific and professional disciplines, but less frequently considered in the Foresight literature, particularly in the technology foresight field- i.e. the extent to which biases of human experts influence the foresight process.

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  • Bonaccorsi, Andrea & Apreda, Riccardo & Fantoni, Gualtiero, 2020. "Expert biases in technology foresight. Why they are a problem and how to mitigate them," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:151:y:2020:i:c:s0040162519305426
    DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2019.119855
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