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Has Monetary Policy Reacted to Asset Price Movements? Evidence from the UK

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Author Info
Alexandros Kontonikas (Department of Economics and Finance, Brunel University, Uxbridge, United Kingdom)
Alberto Montagnoli (Department of Economics and Finance, Brunel University, Uxbridge, United Kingdom)

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Abstract

This paper examines the relationship between monetary policy and asset prices in the context of empirical policy rules. We begin our analysis by establishing the forecasting ability of house and stock price changes with respect to future aggregate demand. We then report estimates of monetary policy reaction functions for the United Kingdom over the period 1992-2003. UK policymakers appear to take into account the effect of asset price inflation when setting interest rates with a higher weight being assigned to property market fluctuations. Asset inflation-augmented rules describe more accurately actual policy, and the results are robust to modelling the effect of the Bank of England independence.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Cyprus Economic Society and University of Cyprus in its journal Ekonomia.

Volume (Year): 7 (2004)
Issue (Month): 1 (Summer)
Pages: 18-33
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Handle: RePEc:ekn:ekonom:v:7:y:2004:i:1:p:18-33

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Web page: http://www.ekonomia.ucy.ac.cy/society.html
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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:

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  2. Svensson, Lars E.O., 1997. "Inflation Forecast Targeting: Implementing and Monitoring Inflation Targets," Seminar Papers 615, Stockholm University, Institute for International Economic Studies. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Orphanides, Athanasios & Porter, Richard D. & Reifschneider, David & Tetlow, Robert & Finan, Frederico, 2000. "Errors in the measurement of the output gap and the design of monetary policy," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 52(1-2), pages 117-141. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Richard Clarida & Jordi Gali & Mark Gertler, 1999. "The Science of Monetary Policy: A New Keynesian Perspective," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 37(4), pages 1661-1707, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Mark M. Spiegel, 1998. "Central bank independence and inflation expectations: evidence from British index-linked gilts," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, pages 3-14. [Downloadable!]
  6. Bennett T. McCallum & Edward Nelson, 1998. "Performance of Operational Policy Rules in an Estimated Semi-Classical Structural Model," NBER Working Papers 6599, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Christopher Kent & Philip Lowe, 1997. "Asset-price Bubbles and Monetary Policy," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp9709, Reserve Bank of Australia. [Downloadable!]
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  15. Ben Bernanke & Mark Gertler, 1999. "Monetary policy and asset price volatility," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 77-128. [Downloadable!]
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  21. Goodhart, Charles, 2001. "What Weight Should Be Given to Asset Prices in the Measurement of Inflation?," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 111(472), pages F335-56, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Alexandros Kontikas & Alberto Montagnoli, 2004. "Optimal Monetary Policy and Asset Price Misalignments," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2004 80, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Alexandros Kontonikas & Christos Ioannidis, 2004. "Should Monetary Policy Respond to Asset Price Misalignments?," Macroeconomics 0404026, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Alberto Montagnoli & Oreste Napolitano, 2004. "Financial Condition Index and interest rate settings: a comparative analysis," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2004 1, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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