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The effects of macroprudential policies on house prices: Evidence from an event study using Korean real transaction data

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  • Jung, Hosung
  • Lee, Jieun

Abstract

This study analyzes the impact on housing price growth of targeted macroprudential policies—specifically limits on the loan-to-value (LTV) and debt-to-income (DTI) ratios in Korea, one of the few developed countries with relatively long and successful experience in implementing these policies. Using an event study methodology with real-transaction data for a monthly panel of 73 districts, we find that DTI limits play important roles in stabilizing housing prices than LTV limits. The loosening of both DTI and LTV limits boosts house price growth whereas the tightening only of DTI limits reverses it. After factors other than implementation of these regulations are controlled for, the results are robust except for the cases of LTV loosening. Furthermore, we uncover that the levels of and extents of changes LTV limits are important factors that can amplify or reduce the regulation effects. Overall, the results suggest that macroprudential policies, especially DTI limits, can be useful tools for curbing excessive household debt and subsequent house price bubbles.

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  • Jung, Hosung & Lee, Jieun, 2017. "The effects of macroprudential policies on house prices: Evidence from an event study using Korean real transaction data," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 167-185.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finsta:v:31:y:2017:i:c:p:167-185
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2017.07.001
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhong, Changbiao & Xie, Lijuan & Shi, Yu & Xu, Xiangyun, 2023. "Macro-prudential policy, its alignment with monetary policy and house price growth: A cross-country study," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 51-62.
    2. Lake, A., 2020. "Behavioural Finance at Home: Testing Deviations of House Prices from their Fundamental Values," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 20104, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    3. Chunil Kim & Jinsoo Ko, 2023. "Unintended Consequences of Housing Policies: Evidence from South Korea," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-25, February.
    4. Dąbrowski, Marek A. & Widiantoro, Dimas Mukhlas, 2022. "Effectiveness and conduct of macroprudential policy in Indonesia in 2003-2020: Evidence from the structural VAR models," MPRA Paper 112963, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Chrysovalantis Gaganis & Emilios Galariotis & Fotios Pasiouras & Christos Staikouras, 2021. "Macroprudential regulations and bank profit efficiency: international evidence," Journal of Regulatory Economics, Springer, vol. 59(2), pages 136-160, April.
    6. Victor Pontines, 2021. "The real effects of loan-to-value limits: empirical evidence from Korea," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(3), pages 1311-1350, September.
    7. Wilhelmsson, Mats, 2022. "What is the impact of macroprudential regulations on the Swedish housing market?," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    8. Lo Duca, Marco & Hallissey, Niamh & Jurca, Pavol & Kouratzoglou, Charalampos & Lima, Diana & Pirovano, Mara & Prapiestis, Algirdas & Saldías, Martín & Tereanu, Eugen & Bartal, Mehdi & Giedraitė, Edita, 2023. "The more the merrier? Macroprudential instrument interactions and effective policy implementation," Occasional Paper Series 310, European Central Bank.
    9. Suh, Hyunduk, 2023. "Regionally heterogeneous housing cycles and housing market stabilization policies: Evidence from Korea," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    House prices; Macroprudential policies; LTV; DTI; Event study;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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