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The Impact of the Logistic Sector on Competitiveness in the Presence of Structural Breaks: A Study on Turkey

Author

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  • Hilal Y?ld?r?r Keser*

    (Bursa Technical University, International Trade and Logistics Department, Turkey)

  • Kadir Y. Eryi?it

    (Bursa Uludag University,Econometrics Department, Turkey)

Abstract

The main aim of this paper, based on the importance of the logistics sector for economic growth and, accordingly, competitiveness, is to explain the impact of the logistics sector on competitiveness by testing its relationship with macroeconomic factors. In accordance with this aim, principally, some research literature has been given a place. A cointegration model with structural breaks has been used to analyze the effects of the logistics sector, exports, imports, the industry production index and oil prices on GDP, which is an indication of competitiveness. For two different pairs of structural breaks and the two cointegration relationships there is a mutual positive relationship between the logistics sector and the GDP. Along with this, while export, import and industrial production index affect the GDP, the finding that oil prices reduce the performance of the logistics sector has been reached.

Suggested Citation

  • Hilal Y?ld?r?r Keser* & Kadir Y. Eryi?it, 2018. "The Impact of the Logistic Sector on Competitiveness in the Presence of Structural Breaks: A Study on Turkey," The Journal of Social Sciences Research, Academic Research Publishing Group, vol. 4(11), pages 246-256, 11-2018.
    • Handle: RePEc:arp:tjssrr:2018:p:246-256
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin, 2002. "Long-Run Structural Modelling," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(1), pages 49-87.
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    4. Alises, Ana & Vassallo, Jose Manuel & Guzmán, Andrés Felipe, 2014. "Road freight transport decoupling: A comparative analysis between the United Kingdom and Spain," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 186-193.
    5. Søren Johansen & Rocco Mosconi & Bent Nielsen, 2000. "Cointegration analysis in the presence of structural breaks in the deterministic trend," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 3(2), pages 216-249.
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