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- Francesco D'Amuri & Marta De Philippis & Elisa Guglielminetti & Salvatore Lo Bello, 2021. "Natural unemployment and activity rates: flow-based determinants and implications for price dynamics," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 599, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Marco Del Negro & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri & Andrea Tambalotti, 2020.
"What's Up with the Phillips Curve?,"
Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 51(1 (Spring), pages 301-373.
- Del Negro, Marco & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio E. & Tambalotti, Andrea, 2020. "What’s up with the Phillips Curve?," Working Paper Series 2435, European Central Bank.
- William Chen & Marco Del Negro & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri & Andrea Tambalotti, 2020. "What’s Up with the Phillips Curve?," Liberty Street Economics 20200918a, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Primiceri, Giorgio & Del Negro, Marco & Lenza, Michele & Tambalotti, Andrea, 2020. "What's up with the Phillips Curve?," CEPR Discussion Papers 14583, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Marco Del Negro & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri & Andrea Tambalotti, 2020. "What’s up with the Phillips Curve?," NBER Working Papers 27003, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Hie Joo Ahn & Bart Hobijn & Ayşegül Şahin, 2023.
"The Dual U.S. Labor Market Uncovered,"
NBER Working Papers
31241, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Hie Joo Ahn & Bart Hobijn & Ayşegül Şahin, 2023. "The Dual U.S. Labor Market Uncovered," Working Paper Series WP 2023-18, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Hie Joo Ahn & Bart Hobijn, 2023. "The Dual U.S. Labor Market Uncovered," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2023-031, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Xin Scott Chen & Ali Jaffery & Guillaume Nolin & Karim Salhab & Peter Shannon & Subrata Sarker, 2020. "Assessing Global Potential Output Growth: October 2020," Discussion Papers 2020-10, Bank of Canada.
- Crump, Richard K. & Eusepi, Stefano & Giannoni, Marc & Şahin, Ayşegül, 2024. "The unemployment–inflation trade-off revisited: The Phillips curve in COVID times," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(S).
- Fatih Karahan & Benjamin Pugsley & Ayşegül Şahin, 2024.
"Demographic Origins of the Start-up Deficit,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 114(7), pages 1986-2023, July.
- Fatih Karahan & Benjamin Pugsley & Ayseg�l Sahin, 2019. "Demographic Origins of the Startup Deficit," Working Papers 19-21, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau.
- Fatih Karahan & Benjamin Pugsley & Ayşegül Şahin, 2019. "Demographic origins of the startup deficit," Staff Reports 888, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Fatih Karahan & Benjamin Pugsley & Ayşegül Şahin, 2019. "Demographic Origins of the Startup Deficit," NBER Working Papers 25874, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Hall, Robert E. & Kudlyak, Marianna, 2022.
"The inexorable recoveries of unemployment,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 15-25.
- Robert E. Hall & Marianna Kudlyak, 2020. "The Inexorable Recoveries of Unemployment," NBER Working Papers 28111, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Hall, Robert E. & Kudlyak, Marianna, 2022. "The Inexorable Recoveries of Unemployment," IZA Discussion Papers 15135, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Kudlyak, Marianna & Hall, Robert, 2022. "The Inexorable Recoveries of Unemployment," CEPR Discussion Papers 15646, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Robert E. Hall & Marianna Kudlyak, 2021. "The Inexorable Recoveries of U.S. Unemployment," Working Paper Series 2021-20, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Janice C. Eberly & James H. Stock & Jonathan H. Wright, 2020.
"The Federal Reserve's Current Framework for Monetary Policy: A Review and Assessment,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(1), pages 5-71, February.
- Janice C. Eberly & James H. Stock & Jonathan H. Wright, 2019. "The Federal Reserve’s Current Framework for Monetary Policy: A Review and Assessment," NBER Working Papers 26002, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Bruce Fallick & Pawel Krolikowski, 2022.
"Excess Persistence in Employment of Disadvantaged Workers,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 18(4), pages 1-52, October.
- Bruce Fallick & Pawel Krolikowski, 2019. "Excess Persistence in Employment of Disadvantaged Workers," Working Papers 18-01R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- D’Amuri, Francesco & De Philippis, Marta & Guglielminetti, Elisa & Lo Bello, Salvatore, 2022. "Slack and prices during Covid-19: Accounting for labor market participation," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
- Richard K. Crump & Christopher J. Nekarda & Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau, 2020. "Unemployment Rate Benchmarks," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-072, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Christopher D. Cotton & Vaishali Garga, 2022. "The Role of Industrial Composition in Driving the Frequency of Price Change," Working Papers 22-9, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
- Sengul, Gonul & Tasci, Murat, 2020. "Unemployment flows, participation, and the natural rate of unemployment: Evidence from turkey," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
- Canova, Fabio, 2020. "FAQ: How do I measure the Output gap?," CEPR Discussion Papers 14943, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Artem Vdovychenko, 2022. "Estimating the natural rate of unemployment for Ukraine," IHEID Working Papers 21-2022, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
- Pascal Michaillat & Emmanuel Saez, 2019.
"Beveridgean Unemployment Gap,"
Papers
1911.05271, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2021.
- Michaillat, Pascal & Saez, Emmanuel, 2019. "Beveridgean Unemployment Gap," CEPR Discussion Papers 14132, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Pascal Michaillat & Emmanuel Saez, 2019. "Beveridgean Unemployment Gap," NBER Working Papers 26474, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Mary C. Daly, 2022.
"This Time Is Different…Because We Are,"
FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, vol. 2022(05), pages 1-08, February.
- Mary C. Daly, 2022. "This Time Is Different…Because We Are," Speech 93772, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Serdar Birinci & Kurt See & Shu Lin Wee, 2020.
"Job Applications and Labor Market Flows,"
Working Papers
2020-023, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised Jan 2023.
- Serdar Birinci & Kurt See & Shu Lin Wee, 2021. "Job Applications and Labour Market Flows," Staff Working Papers 21-49, Bank of Canada.
- Violante, Giovanni & Mongey, Simon, 2019.
"Macro Recruiting Intensity from Micro Data,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
14004, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Simon Mongey & Giovanni L. Violante, 2020. "Macro Recruiting Intensity from Micro Data," Working Papers 2020-67, Princeton University. Economics Department..
- Simon Mongey & Giovanni L. Violante, 2019. "Macro Recruiting Intensity from Micro Data," NBER Working Papers 26231, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Alexander Doser & Ricardo Nunes & Nikhil Rao & Viacheslav Sheremirov, 2023.
"Inflation expectations and nonlinearities in the Phillips curve,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(4), pages 453-471, June.
- Alexander Doser & Ricardo Nunes & Nikhil Rao & Viacheslav Sheremirov, 2017. "Inflation expectations and nonlinearities in the Phillips curve," Working Papers 17-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
- Alexander Doser & Ricardo Nunes & Nikhil Rao & Viacheslav Sheremirov, 2018. "Inflation Expectations and Nonlinearities in the Phillips Curve," School of Economics Discussion Papers 1018, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
- Brand, Claus & Obstbaum, Meri & Coenen, Günter & Sondermann, David & Lydon, Reamonn & Ajevskis, Viktors & Hammermann, Felix & Angino, Siria & Hernborg, Nils & Basso, Henrique & Hertweck, Matthias & Bi, 2021. "Employment and the conduct of monetary policy in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 275, European Central Bank.
- Ahn, Hie Joo, 2023. "Duration structure of unemployment hazards and the trend unemployment rate," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
- James McNeil & Gregor W. Smith, 2023.
"The All‐Gap Phillips Curve,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 85(2), pages 269-282, April.
- James McNeil & Gregor W. Smith, 2022. "The All-Gap Phillips Curve," Working Paper 1488, Economics Department, Queen's University.
- Ayşegül Şahin & Murat Tasci & Jin Yan, 2021.
"Unemployment in the Time of COVID-19: A Flow-Based Approach to Real-time Unemployment Projections,"
NBER Working Papers
28445, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Ayşegül Şahin & Murat Tasci & Jin Yan, 2021. "Unemployment in the Time of COVID-19: A Flow-Based Approach to Real-time Unemployment Projections," Working Papers 21-25, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Venkata Raamasrinivas Mangapuram, 2022. "A Constant Gain Learning Explanation of U.S. Post War Inflation and Unemployment," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 20(3), pages 701-721, September.
- Sebastian Heise & Fatih Karahan & Ayşegül Şahin, 2022.
"The Missing Inflation Puzzle: The Role of the Wage‐Price Pass‐Through,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(S1), pages 7-51, February.
- Sebastian Heise & Fatih Karahan & Ayşegül Şahin, 2020. "The Missing Inflation Puzzle: The Role of the Wage-Price Pass-Through," NBER Working Papers 27663, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- R. Jason Faberman & Andreas I. Mueller & Ayşegül Şahin* & Giorgio Topa, 2020.
"The Shadow Margins of Labor Market Slack,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 52(S2), pages 355-391, December.
- R. Jason Faberman & Andreas I. Mueller & Ayşegül Şahin & Giorgio Topa, 2020. "The Shadow Margins of Labor Market Slack," NBER Working Papers 26852, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Ayşegül Şahin & Murat Tasci, 2020. "The Unemployment Cost of COVID-19: How High and How Long?," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2020(09), May.
- Bart Hobijn & Ayşegül Şahin, 2021. "Maximum Employment and the Participation Cycle," NBER Working Papers 29222, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Ayşegül Şahin, 2021. "Comment on "Why Has the US Economy Recovered So Consistently from Every Recession in the Past 70 Years?"," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2021, volume 36, pages 68-79, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Canova, Fabio, 2020. "FAQ: How do I extract the output gap?," Working Paper Series 386, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
- Saeed Zaman, 2021. "A Unified Framework to Estimate Macroeconomic Stars," Working Papers 21-23R2, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 31 May 2024.
- Kurt Graden Lunsford, 2020. "Recessions and the Trend in the US Unemployment Rate," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2021(01), pages 1-8, February.
- Peter D. Williams & Mr. Yasser Abdih & Emanuel Kopp, 2020. "Reading the Stars," IMF Working Papers 2020/136, International Monetary Fund.
- Crump, Richard K. & Eusepi, Stefano & Giannoni, Marc & Şahin, Ayşegül, 2024.
"The unemployment–inflation trade-off revisited: The Phillips curve in COVID times,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(S).
- Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Marc Giannoni & Ayşegül Şahin, 2022. "The Unemployment-Inflation Trade-off Revisited: The Phillips Curve in COVID Times," NBER Working Papers 29785, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Marc Giannoni & Aysegul Sahin, 2024. "The Unemployment-Inflation Trade-off Revisited: The Phillips Curve in COVID Times," Staff Reports 1086, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Murasawa Yasutomo, 2022.
"Bayesian multivariate Beveridge–Nelson decomposition of I(1) and I(2) series with cointegration,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 26(3), pages 387-415, June.
- Murasawa, Yasutomo, 2019. "Bayesian multivariate Beveridge--Nelson decomposition of I(1) and I(2) series with cointegration," MPRA Paper 91979, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Kurt Graden Lunsford, 2023. "Business Cycles and Low-Frequency Fluctuations in the US Unemployment Rate," Working Papers 23-19, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Bruce Fallick & Christopher L. Foote, 2022.
"The Impact of the Age Distribution on Unemployment: Evidence from US States,"
Working Papers
22-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
- Bruce Fallick & Christopher L. Foote, 2022. "The Impact of the Age Distribution on Unemployment: Evidence from US States," Working Papers 22-27, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Richard K. Crump & Nikolay Gospodinov & Hunter Wieman, 2023. "Sparse Trend Estimation," Staff Reports 1049, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Burger, John D. & Warnock, Francis E. & Warnock, Veronica Cacdac, 2022.
"A natural level of capital flows,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 1-16.
- John D. Burger & Francis E. Warnock & Veronica Cacdac Warnock, 2019. "The Natural Level of Capital Flows," NBER Working Papers 26184, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Acharya, Sushant & Wee, Shu Lin, 2020. "On-the-job Search and the Productivity-Wage Gap," CEPR Discussion Papers 14430, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2020. "Slack and Cyclically Sensitive Inflation," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 52(S2), pages 393-428, December.