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Estimación de la tasa natural de desempleo para Costa Rica

Author

Listed:
  • Jonathan Garita-Garita

    (Department of Economic Research, Central Bank of Costa Rica)

Abstract

Este estudio aplica diversas metodologías para estimar la tendencia de largo plazo o nivel natural de la tasa de desempleo en Costa Rica. Los resultados sugieren que la tasa natural se ubica en torno al 8,6% al segundo trimestre de 2025. Asimismo, se observa una moderación en los indicadores de desempleo natural posterior a la pandemia, según reflejan los datos más recientes de la Encuesta Continua de Empleo. Esta dinámica indica que, a pesar del choque severo que representó la pandemia, el mercado laboral costarricense ha logrado un ajuste relativamente rápido hacia niveles más cercanos a su equilibrio de largo plazo.

Suggested Citation

  • Jonathan Garita-Garita, 2025. "Estimación de la tasa natural de desempleo para Costa Rica," Ensayos de Política Económica 2503, Banco Central de Costa Rica.
    • Handle: RePEc:apk:epolec:2503
    as

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    File URL: https://repositorioinvestigaciones.bccr.fi.cr/handle/20.500.12506/503
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Marc Giannoni & Aysegul Sahin, 2019. "A Unified Approach to Measuring u," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 50(1 (Spring), pages 143-238.
    2. repec:fth:harver:1418 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Hall, Robert & Kudlyak, Marianna, 2023. "The Active Role of the Natural Rate of Unemployment during Cyclical Recoveries," CEPR Discussion Papers 18544, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    4. J. Bradford DeLong & Lawrence H. Summers, 1988. "How Does Macroeconomic Policy Affect Output?," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 19(2), pages 433-494.
    5. Robert E. Hall & Marianna Kudlyak, 2023. "The Active Role of the Natural Rate of Unemployment," NBER Working Papers 31848, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search

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