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Estimación de la tasa natural de desempleo para Costa Rica

Author

Listed:
  • Jonathan Garita-Garita

    (Department of Economic Research, Central Bank of Costa Rica)

Abstract

Este estudio aplica diversas metodologías para estimar la tendencia de largo plazo o nivel natural de la tasa de desempleo en Costa Rica. Los resultados sugieren que la tasa natural se ubica en torno al 8,6% al segundo trimestre de 2025. Asimismo, se observa una moderación en los indicadores de desempleo natural posterior a la pandemia, según reflejan los datos más recientes de la Encuesta Continua de Empleo. Esta dinámica indica que, a pesar del choque severo que representó la pandemia, el mercado laboral costarricense ha logrado un ajuste relativamente rápido hacia niveles más cercanos a su equilibrio de largo plazo.

Suggested Citation

  • Jonathan Garita-Garita, 2025. "Estimación de la tasa natural de desempleo para Costa Rica," Ensayos de Política Económica 2503, Banco Central de Costa Rica.
    • Handle: RePEc:apk:epolec:2503
    as

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    File URL: https://repositorioinvestigaciones.bccr.fi.cr/handle/20.500.12506/503
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hall, Robert & Kudlyak, Marianna, 2023. "The Active Role of the Natural Rate of Unemployment during Cyclical Recoveries," CEPR Discussion Papers 18544, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    2. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Marc Giannoni & Aysegul Sahin, 2019. "A Unified Approach to Measuring u," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 50(1 (Spring), pages 143-238.
    3. J. Bradford DeLong & Lawrence H. Summers, 1988. "How Does Macroeconomic Policy Affect Output?," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 19(2), pages 433-494.
    4. repec:fth:harver:1418 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Hall, Robert E. & Kudlyak, Marianna, 2025. "The active role of the natural rate of unemployment," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(4).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search

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