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Comparing smooth transition and Markov switching autoregressive models of US unemployment

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Hayashi, Masayoshi, 2014. "Forecasting welfare caseloads: The case of the Japanese public assistance program," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 48(2), pages 105-114.
  2. Charles, Amélie & Darné, Olivier & Diebolt, Claude & Ferrara, Laurent, 2015. "A new monthly chronology of the US industrial cycles in the prewar economy," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 17(C), pages 3-9.
  3. Deschamps, Philippe J., 2011. "Bayesian estimation of an extended local scale stochastic volatility model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 162(2), pages 369-382, June.
  4. Andrea Fracasso & Giuseppe Vittucci Marzetti, 2014. "International R&D Spillovers, Absorptive Capacity and Relative Backwardness: A Panel Smooth Transition Regression Model," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(1), pages 137-160, March.
  5. repec:lan:wpaper:2454 is not listed on IDEAS
  6. repec:lan:wpaper:2375 is not listed on IDEAS
  7. Dibooglu, Sel & Erdogan, Seyfettin & Yildirim, Durmus Cagri & Cevik, Emrah Ismail, 2020. "Financial conditions and monetary policy in the US," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 44(4).
  8. Glen Livingston Jr & Darfiana Nur, 2020. "Bayesian estimation and model selection of a multivariate smooth transition autoregressive model," Environmetrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(6), September.
  9. José Pedro Bastos Neves & Willi Semmler, 2022. "Credit, output and financial stress: A non‐linear LVSTAR application to Brazil," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 73(3), pages 900-923, July.
  10. Donayre, Luiggi, 2022. "On the behavior of Okun's law across business cycles," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
  11. Ringwald, Leopold & Zörner, Thomas O., 2023. "The money-inflation nexus revisited," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 293-333.
  12. Tom Boot & Andreas Pick, 2014. "Optimal forecasts from Markov switching models," DNB Working Papers 452, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
  13. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Stephen Miller, 2013. "Forecasting Nevada gross gaming revenue and taxable sales using coincident and leading employment indexes," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 44(2), pages 387-417, April.
  14. Paolo Di Caro, 2017. "Testing and explaining economic resilience with an application to Italian regions," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 96(1), pages 93-113, March.
  15. Gonzalo Jesús & Taamouti Abderrahim, 2017. "The reaction of stock market returns to unemployment," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 21(4), pages 1-20, September.
  16. DESCHAMPS, Philippe J., 2016. "Bayesian Semiparametric Forecasts of Real Interest Rate Data," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2016050, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
  17. Deschamps, Philippe J., 2012. "Bayesian estimation of generalized hyperbolic skewed student GARCH models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(11), pages 3035-3054.
  18. Gonzalo, Jesús & Taamouti, Abderrahim, 2011. "The reaction of stock market returns to anticipated unemployment," UC3M Working papers. Economics we1145, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía.
  19. Afsin Sahin, 2013. "Estimating Money Demand Function by a Smooth Transition Regression Model: An Evidence for Turkey," Working Papers 791, Economic Research Forum, revised Nov 2013.
  20. Jeremy Schwartz, 2012. "Labor market dynamics over the business cycle: evidence from Markov switching models," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 43(1), pages 271-289, August.
  21. Dakyung Seong & Jin Seo Cho & Timo Teräsvirta, 2019. "Comprehensive Testing of Linearity against the Smooth Transition Autoregressive Model," CREATES Research Papers 2019-17, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  22. Anoop Chaturvedi & Shivam Jaiswal, 2020. "Bayesian Estimation and Unit Root Test for Logistic Smooth Transition Autoregressive Process," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 18(4), pages 733-745, December.
  23. Deschamps, Philippe J., 2011. "Bayesian estimation of an extended local scale stochastic volatility model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 162(2), pages 369-382, June.
  24. Panayiotis C. Andreou & Christodoulos Louca & Christos S. Savva, 2016. "Short-horizon event study estimation with a STAR model and real contaminated events," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 47(3), pages 673-697, October.
  25. Urom, Christian & Onwuka, Kevin O. & Uma, Kalu E. & Yuni, Denis N., 2020. "Regime dependent effects and cyclical volatility spillover between crude oil price movements and stock returns," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 10-29.
  26. Goodwin, Barry K. & Holt, Matthew T. & Prestemon, Jeffrey P., 2019. "Nonlinear exchange rate pass-through in timber products: The case of oriented strand board in Canada and the United States," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
  27. Fredj Jawadi, 2009. "Essay in dividend modelling and forecasting: does nonlinearity help?," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(16), pages 1329-1343.
  28. Michael Dueker & Laura E Jackson & Michael T Owyang & Martin Sola, 2023. "A time-varying threshold STAR model with applications," Oxford Open Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 2, pages 63-98.
  29. Emrah I. Cevik & Sel Dibooglu & Max Gillman & Szilard Benk, 2025. "Granger predictability of real oil prices by us money and inflation in Markov-switching regimes," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 15(1), pages 29-52, March.
  30. Bilgili, Faik, 2012. "Linear and nonlinear TAR panel unit root analyses for solid biomass energy supply of European countries," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 16(9), pages 6775-6781.
  31. repec:lan:wpaper:2373 is not listed on IDEAS
  32. Pavlidis Efthymios G & Paya Ivan & Peel David A, 2010. "Specifying Smooth Transition Regression Models in the Presence of Conditional Heteroskedasticity of Unknown Form," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 14(3), pages 1-40, May.
  33. Deschamps, Philippe J., 2012. "Bayesian estimation of generalized hyperbolic skewed student GARCH models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(11), pages 3035-3054.
  34. Dalla, Violetta & Giraitis, Liudas & Robinson, Peter M., 2020. "Asymptotic theory for time series with changing mean and variance," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 219(2), pages 281-313.
  35. Donayre, Luiggi & Panovska, Irina, 2016. "Nonlinearities in the U.S. wage Phillips curve," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 19-43.
  36. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Stephen M. Miller, 2012. "Was the Recent Downturn in US GDP Predictable?," Working Papers 1210, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.
  37. Peter Congdon, 2022. "A Model for Highly Fluctuating Spatio-Temporal Infection Data, with Applications to the COVID Epidemic," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(11), pages 1-17, May.
  38. Eltejaei, Ebrahim & Montazeri Shoorekchali, Jalal, 2021. "Investigating the Relationship between Money Growth and Inflation in Turkey: A Nonlinear Causality Approach," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 16(3), pages 305-322, September.
  39. Rocha, Jordano Vieira & Pereira, Pedro L. Valls, 2015. "Forecast comparison with nonlinear methods for Brazilian industrial production," Textos para discussão 397, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
  40. Fernando Delbianco & Andrés Fioriti & Fernando Tohmé, 2023. "Markov chains, eigenvalues and the stability of economic growth processes," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(3), pages 1347-1373, March.
  41. Monica Billio & Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan & Gian Luigi Mazzi, 2009. "Evaluation of Nonlinear time-series models for real-time business cycle analysis of the Euro area," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00423890, HAL.
  42. Kerim Peren Arin & Emin Gahramanov & Tolga Omay & Xueli Tang & Mehmet A. Ulubasoglu, 2024. "A tale of two taxes: State‐dependency of tax policy," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 71(1), pages 1-27, February.
  43. repec:lan:wpaper:2596 is not listed on IDEAS
  44. Wai-Mun Chia & Mengling Li & Huanhuan Zheng, 2017. "Behavioral heterogeneity in the Australian housing market," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(9), pages 872-885, February.
  45. Glen Livingston & Darfiana Nur, 2020. "Bayesian inference of smooth transition autoregressive (STAR)(k)–GARCH(l, m) models," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 61(6), pages 2449-2482, December.
  46. Marianna Oliskevych & Iryna Lukianenko, 2020. "European unemployment nonlinear dynamics over the business cycles: Markov switching approach," Global Business and Economics Review, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 22(4), pages 375-401.
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