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Growth Paths and Survival Chances: An Application of Gambler's Ruin Theory

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  1. Ivan Savin & Maria Novitskaya, 2023. "Data-driven definitions of gazelle companies that rule out chance: application for Russia and Spain," Eurasian Business Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 13(3), pages 507-542, September.
  2. Alex Coad & Sven-Olov Daunfeldt & Daniel Halvarsson, 2018. "Bursting into life: firm growth and growth persistence by age," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 50(1), pages 55-75, January.
  3. Lu, Jinfeng & Dimov, Dimo, 2023. "A system dynamics modelling of entrepreneurship and growth within firms," Journal of Business Venturing, Elsevier, vol. 38(3).
  4. Coad, Alex & Frankish, Julian S. & Roberts, Richard G. & Storey, David J, 2015. "Are firm growth paths random? A reply to “Firm growth and the illusion of randomness”," Journal of Business Venturing Insights, Elsevier, vol. 3(C), pages 5-8.
  5. Alex Coad & Julian Frankish & Paul Nightingale & Richard Roberts, 2014. "Business experience and start-up size: Buying more lottery tickets next time around?," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 43(3), pages 529-547, October.
  6. Martin Binder, 2017. "Entrepreneurial Success and Subjective Well-Being: Worries about the Business Explain One's Well-Being Loss from Self-Employment," SOEPpapers on Multidisciplinary Panel Data Research 947, DIW Berlin, The German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP).
  7. Silviano Esteve-Pérez & Fabio Pieri & Diego Rodriguez, 2021. "Coping with high decline: firms’ resilience to adversity," DEM Working Papers 2021/08, Department of Economics and Management.
  8. Laurence Cohen & Peter Wirtz, 2022. "Decision-making style in entrepreneurial finance and growth," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 59(1), pages 183-210, June.
  9. Derbyshire, James & Garnsey, Elizabeth, 2015. "Are firm growth paths random? A further response regarding Gambler's Ruin Theory," Journal of Business Venturing Insights, Elsevier, vol. 3(C), pages 9-11.
  10. Elena Cefis & Orietta Marsili, 2019. "Good times, bad times: innovation and survival over the business cycle," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 28(3), pages 565-587.
  11. Michael Anyadike-Danes & Mark Hart, 2018. "All grown up? The fate after 15 years of a quarter of a million UK firms born in 1998," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 28(1), pages 45-76, January.
  12. Falco J. Bargagli-Stoffi & Jan Niederreiter & Massimo Riccaboni, 2020. "Supervised learning for the prediction of firm dynamics," Papers 2009.06413, arXiv.org.
  13. Elena Cefis & Cristina Bettinelli & Alex Coad & Orietta Marsili, 2022. "Understanding firm exit: a systematic literature review," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 59(2), pages 423-446, August.
  14. Giovanni Dosi & Emanuele Pugliese & Pietro Santoleri, 2017. "Growth and survival of the `fitter'? Evidence from US new-born firms," LEM Papers Series 2017/06, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
  15. David B. Audretsch & Maksim Belitski & Julia Korosteleva, 2021. "Cultural diversity and knowledge in explaining entrepreneurship in European cities," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 56(2), pages 593-611, February.
  16. Sven-Olov Daunfeldt & Daniel Halvarsson, 2015. "Are high-growth firms one-hit wonders? Evidence from Sweden," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 44(2), pages 361-383, February.
  17. Juan Federico & Joan-Lluis Capelleras, 2015. "The heterogeneous dynamics between growth and profits: the case of young firms," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 44(2), pages 231-253, February.
  18. Cheng, Ruiqi & Yuan, Peng & Jiang, Gongxiong, 2023. "Growth, agglomeration externalities, and survival: Evidence from Chinese manufacturing start-ups," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
  19. Alex Coad, 2018. "Firm age: a survey," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 28(1), pages 13-43, January.
  20. Josh Siepel & Marcus Dejardin, 2020. "How do we measure firm performance? A review of issues facing entrepreneurship researchers," Working Papers halshs-02571478, HAL.
  21. Pelin Demirel & Gamze Ozturk Danisman, 2019. "Eco‐innovation and firm growth in the circular economy: Evidence from European small‐ and medium‐sized enterprises," Business Strategy and the Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(8), pages 1608-1618, December.
  22. Binder, Martin & Blankenberg, Ann-Kathrin, 2021. "Self-employment and Subjective Well-Being," GLO Discussion Paper Series 744, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
  23. Alex Coad & Kristian Nielsen & Bram Timmermans, 2017. "My first employee: an empirical investigation," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 48(1), pages 25-45, January.
  24. Alex Coad & Sven-Olov Daunfeldt & Daniel Halvarsson, 2022. "Amundsen versus Scott: are growth paths related to firm performance?," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 59(2), pages 593-610, August.
  25. Bianchini, Stefano & Pellegrino, Gabriele, 2019. "Innovation persistence and employment dynamics," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 48(5), pages 1171-1186.
  26. Alex Coad, 2022. "Lumps, Bumps and Jumps in the Firm Growth Process," Foundations and Trends(R) in Entrepreneurship, now publishers, vol. 18(4), pages 212-267, April.
  27. Canarella, Giorgio & Miller, Stephen M., 2018. "The determinants of growth in the U.S. information and communication technology (ICT) industry: A firm-level analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 259-271.
  28. Thomas W. Archibald & Edgar Possani, 2021. "Investment and operational decisions for start-up companies: a game theory and Markov decision process approach," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 299(1), pages 317-330, April.
  29. Josh Siepel & Roberto Camerani & Monica Masucci, 2021. "Skills combinations and firm performance," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 56(4), pages 1425-1447, April.
  30. Michael Fritsch & Florian Noseleit & Yvonne Schindele, 2014. "Surviving Against the Tide: Are New Businesses in Innovative Industries Less Affected by General Economic Trends?," Jena Economics Research Papers 2014-017, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.
  31. Burke, Andrew & Millán, José María & Román, Concepción & van Stel, André, 2018. "Exploring the impact of different types of prior entrepreneurial experience on employer firm performance," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 107-122.
  32. Arjen van Witteloostuijn & Marcus Dejardin & Julie Hermans & Dendi Ramdani, & Johanna Vanderstraeten & Jacqueline Brassey & Hendrik Slabbinck, 2015. "Fitting entrepreneurial, firm-level and environmental contingencies for better performance," Post-Print halshs-01379907, HAL.
  33. Robert Wapshott & Oliver Mallett, 2018. "Small and medium-sized enterprise policy: Designed to fail?," Environment and Planning C, , vol. 36(4), pages 750-772, June.
  34. Alex Coad & David J Storey & Richard G Roberts & Julian S Frankish, 2013. "New venture survival and growth: does the fog lift?," Working Papers 2013/36, Institut d'Economia de Barcelona (IEB).
  35. Razmdoost, Kamran & Alinaghian, Leila & Linder, Christian, 2020. "New venture formation: A capability configurational approach," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 290-302.
  36. Yuji Honjo & Masatoshi Kato, 2016. "Do initial financial conditions determine the fate of start-up firms?," Discussion Paper Series 139, School of Economics, Kwansei Gakuin University, revised Jan 2016.
  37. ARATA Yoshiyuki & MIYAKAWA Daisuke & MORI Katsuki, 2023. "The U-shaped Law of High-growth Firms," Discussion papers 23087, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
  38. Klaus Friesenbichler & Werner Hölzl, 2020. "High-growth firm shares in Austrian regions: the role of economic structures," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(11), pages 1585-1595, November.
  39. Ross Brown & Suzanne Mawson, 2016. "Targeted support for high growth firms: Theoretical constraints, unintended consequences and future policy challenges," Environment and Planning C, , vol. 34(5), pages 816-836, August.
  40. Ari Hyytinen & Petri Rouvinen & Mika Pajarinen & Joosua Virtanen, 2023. "Ex Ante Predictability of Rapid Growth: A Design Science Approach," Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, , vol. 47(6), pages 2465-2493, November.
  41. Nigel Driffield & Jun Du & Jan Godsell & Mark Hart & Katiuscia Lavoratori & Steven Roper & Irina Surdu & Wanrong Zhang, 2021. "Understanding productivity:Organisational Capital perspectives," Working Papers 013, The Productivity Institute.
  42. Alex Coad & Julian S. Frankish & Richard G. Roberts & David J. Storey, 2016. "Predicting new venture survival and growth: Does the fog lift?," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 47(1), pages 217-241, June.
  43. Weihua Su & Zhen Wang & Chonghui Zhang & Tomas Balezentis, 2023. "Determinants of the innovation efficiency of strategic emerging enterprises: evidence from the robust frontiers," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(3), pages 1433-1465, June.
  44. Massimo Baù & Philipp Sieger & Kimberly A. Eddleston & Francesco Chirico, 2017. "Fail but Try Again? The Effects of Age, Gender, and Multiple–Owner Experience on Failed Entrepreneurs’ Reentry," Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, , vol. 41(6), pages 909-941, November.
  45. Nicholas Litsardopoulos & George Saridakis & Chris Hand, 2020. "The Effects of Rural and Urban Areas on Time Allocated to Self-Employment: Differences between Men and Women," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-18, August.
  46. Christian Linder & Christian Lechner & Frank Pelzel, 2020. "Many Roads Lead to Rome: How Human, Social, and Financial Capital Are Related to New Venture Survival," Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, , vol. 44(5), pages 909-932, September.
  47. Terjesen, Siri A. & João Guedes, Maria & Patel, Pankaj C., 2016. "Founded in adversity: Operations-based survival strategies of ventures founded during a recession," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 161-169.
  48. Alex Coad & David J Storey & Richard G Roberts & Julian S Frankish, 2013. "New venture survival and growth: does the fog lift?," Working Papers 2013/36, Institut d'Economia de Barcelona (IEB).
  49. Wennberg, Karl & Delmar, Frédéric & McKelvie, Alexander, 2016. "Variable risk preferences in new firm growth and survival," Journal of Business Venturing, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 408-427.
  50. Maksim Belitski & Tatiana Stettler & William Wales & Jeff Martin, 2023. "Speed and Scaling: An Investigation of Accelerated Firm Growth," Journal of Management Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 60(3), pages 639-687, May.
  51. Ulrika Harlin & Martina Berglund, 2021. "Designing for sustainable work during industrial startups—the case of a high-growth entrepreneurial firm," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 807-819, August.
  52. Alex Coad & Masatoshi Kato, 2021. "Growth paths and routes to exit: 'shadow of death' effects for new firms in Japan," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 57(3), pages 1145-1173, October.
  53. Mili Shrivastava & Jagannadha Pawan Tamvada, 2019. "Which green matters for whom? Greening and firm performance across age and size distribution of firms," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 52(4), pages 951-968, April.
  54. Belitski, Maksim & Korosteleva, Julia & Piscitello, Lucia, 2023. "Digital affordances and entrepreneurial dynamics: New evidence from European regions," Technovation, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
  55. Freel, Mark & Gordon, Ian, 2020. "On the consequences of firm growth," MPRA Paper 111200, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  56. Goldenstein, Jan & Hunoldt, Michael & Oertel, Simon, 2019. "How optimal distinctiveness affects new ventures' failure risk: A contingency perspective," Journal of Business Venturing, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 477-495.
  57. Erik Lundmark & Anna Krzeminska & Dean A. Shepherd, 2019. "Images of Entrepreneurship: Exploring Root Metaphors and Expanding Upon Them," Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, , vol. 43(1), pages 138-170, January.
  58. Pankaj C. Patel & Marcus T. Wolfe & Maria João Guedes, 2023. "The triple‐edged sword of sensitivity of sales, cash flows, and debt to investments: Venture survival and capital investments," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(1), pages 473-489, January.
  59. Delmar, Frédéric & Wallin, Jonas & Nofal, Ahmed Maged, 2022. "Modeling new-firm growth and survival with panel data using event magnitude regression," Journal of Business Venturing, Elsevier, vol. 37(5).
  60. Venâncio, Ana & Picoto, Winnie & Pinto, Inês, 2023. "Time-to-unicorn and digital entrepreneurial ecosystems," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).
  61. Yuji Honjo & Masatoshi Kato, 2019. "Do initial financial conditions determine the exit routes of start-up firms?," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 29(3), pages 1119-1147, July.
  62. Omer Majeed & Antonio Balaguer & David Hansell & Luke Hendrickson & Abasi Latcham & Tessa Satherley, 2021. "What Drives High Growth? Characteristics of Australian Firms," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 97(318), pages 350-364, September.
  63. Masatoshi Kato & Yuji Honjo, 2020. "CEO Succession and New-Firm Performance: Does Successor Origin Matter?," Discussion Paper Series 213, School of Economics, Kwansei Gakuin University.
  64. Mario BENASSI & Matteo LANDONI & Francesco RENTOCCHINI, 2017. "University Management Practices and Academic Spin-offs," Departmental Working Papers 2017-11, Department of Economics, Management and Quantitative Methods at Università degli Studi di Milano.
  65. Parker, Simon C., 2020. "Editorial: On submitting economics articles to JBV," Journal of Business Venturing, Elsevier, vol. 35(4).
  66. Schneck, Stefan & Werner, Arndt & Wolter, Hans-Jürgen, 2021. "A replication study on growth paths of young firms: Evidence from German administrative data," Journal of Business Venturing Insights, Elsevier, vol. 16(C).
  67. Alex Coad & Julian S. Frankish & Albert N. Link, 2020. "The Economic Contribution of a Cohort of New Firms Over Time," Review of Industrial Organization, Springer;The Industrial Organization Society, vol. 57(3), pages 519-536, November.
  68. Marius Tuft Mathisen & Einar Rasmussen, 2019. "The development, growth, and performance of university spin-offs: a critical review," The Journal of Technology Transfer, Springer, vol. 44(6), pages 1891-1938, December.
  69. Douglas, Evan J. & Shepherd, Dean A. & Prentice, Catherine, 2020. "Using fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis for a finer-grained understanding of entrepreneurship," Journal of Business Venturing, Elsevier, vol. 35(1).
  70. Nusrat Hafiz & Ahmad Shaharudin Abdul Latiff & Md Asadul Islam & Abu Naser Mohammad Saif & Sazali Abd Wahab, 2022. "Towards the Underlying Theories of Small Firm Growth: A Literature Review," FIIB Business Review, , vol. 11(1), pages 36-51, March.
  71. Kholekile L. Gwebu & Jeffrey Sohl & Jing Wang, 2019. "Differential performance of science park firms: an integrative model," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 52(1), pages 193-211, January.
  72. Kovács, Olivér, 2020. "Gazellák az iparpolitika tükrében, I [Gazelles and industrial policy, Part 1]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(1), pages 54-87.
  73. Stefano Colombo & Luca Grilli, 2017. "Should I stay or should I go? Founder’s decision to leave an entrepreneurial venture during an industrial crisis," Industry and Innovation, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(2), pages 97-121, February.
  74. Erik Lundmark & Alex Coad & Julian S. Frankish & David J. Storey, 2020. "The Liability of Volatility and How it Changes Over Time Among New Ventures," Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, , vol. 44(5), pages 933-963, September.
  75. Ana-Maria Zamfir & Cristina Mocanu & Adriana Grigorescu, 2018. "Resilient Entrepreneurship among European Higher Education Graduates," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-24, July.
  76. Habermann, Harald, 2017. "Business takeovers and firm growth: Empirical evidence from a German panel," Working Papers 01/17, Institut für Mittelstandsforschung (IfM) Bonn.
  77. Kotsopoulos, Dimosthenis & Karagianaki, Angeliki & Baloutsos, Stratos, 2022. "The effect of human capital, innovation capacity, and Covid-19 crisis on Knowledge-Intensive Enterprises’ growth within a VC-driven innovation ecosystem," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 1177-1191.
  78. Gjerløv-Juel, Pernille & Guenther, Christina, 2019. "Early employment expansion and long-run survival," Journal of Business Venturing, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 80-102.
  79. Åstebro, Thomas & Tåg, Joacim, 2015. "Jobs Incorporated: Incorporation Status and Job Creation," Working Paper Series 1059, Research Institute of Industrial Economics.
  80. Silviano Esteve-Pérez & Fabio Pieri & Diego Rodriguez, 2018. "Age and productivity as determinants of firm survival over the industry life cycle," Industry and Innovation, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(2), pages 167-198, February.
  81. Simon C. Parker & Thomas Åstebro & David B Audretsch & Robert Blackburn & Andrew Burke & Alex Coad & Marc Cowling & Per Davidsson & Michael Fritsch & Francis Greene & Paul D. Reynolds & Roy Thurik, 2024. "“Remembering David J Storey, a pioneer of the entrepreneurship field”," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 62(1), pages 1-21, January.
  82. Bimbo Onaolapo Adejare & Gbemi Oladipo Olaore & Ekpenyong Ekpenyong Udofia & Oluwaseun Ademola Adenigba, 2022. "COVID-19 Pandemic and Business Survival as Mediation on the Performance of Firms in the FMCG-Sector," Athens Journal of Business & Economics, Athens Institute for Education and Research (ATINER), vol. 8(3), pages 239-260, July.
  83. Alexander McKelvie & Anna Brattström & Karl Wennberg, 2017. "How young firms achieve growth: reconciling the roles of growth motivation and innovative activities," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 49(2), pages 273-293, August.
  84. Derbyshire, James & Garnsey, Elizabeth, 2014. "Firm growth and the illusion of randomness," Journal of Business Venturing Insights, Elsevier, vol. 1, pages 8-11.
  85. Salim Muhammad Ogaji & Mahmuda Mohammed & Ahmed Abdullahi Ibrahim, 2019. "Performance Management and Growth of Fast Food Restaurants in Nasarawa State," Academic Journal of Economic Studies, Faculty of Finance, Banking and Accountancy Bucharest,"Dimitrie Cantemir" Christian University Bucharest, vol. 5(4), pages 62-68, December.
  86. Masatoshi Kato & Koichiro Onishi & Yuji Honjo, 2022. "Does patenting always help new firm survival? Understanding heterogeneity among exit routes," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 59(2), pages 449-475, August.
  87. Alona Martiarena & Jonathan Levie & Susan Marlow & Mark Hart & Karen Bonner, 2023. "A ‘deviant men’ theory of business expectations in nascent entrepreneurs," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 61(3), pages 909-930, October.
  88. Sarra Kouada & Bénédicte Aldebert & Serge Amabile, 2018. "L’hypercroissance des start-up n’est pas un long fleuve tranquille : rôle et place des structures d’accompagnement ?," Post-Print halshs-01943501, HAL.
  89. McKelvie, Alexander & Brattström, Anna & Wennberg, Karl, 2013. "The Relationship Between Innovation and New Firm Growth," Ratio Working Papers 206, The Ratio Institute.
  90. Silviano Esteve Pérez & Fabio Pieri & Diego Rodriguez, 2015. "Age and productivity as determinants of firm survival over the product life cycle," Working Papers 1502, Department of Applied Economics II, Universidad de Valencia.
  91. Nidal A. Darwish, 2022. "High-Growth Entrepreneurial Firms in Extreme Context: The Case of Palestine," Businesses, MDPI, vol. 2(4), pages 1-15, October.
  92. Hyytinen, Ari & Pajarinen, Mika & Rouvinen, Petri, 2015. "Does innovativeness reduce startup survival rates?," Journal of Business Venturing, Elsevier, vol. 30(4), pages 564-581.
  93. Friesenbichler, Klaus S. & Hoelzl, Werner, 2022. "Firm-growth and Functional Strategic Domains: Exploratory evidence for differences between frontier and catching-up economies," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
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