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Implied volatility and future portfolio returns

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Cited by:

  1. Turan G. Bali & Armen Hovakimian, 2009. "Volatility Spreads and Expected Stock Returns," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 55(11), pages 1797-1812, November.
  2. Chalamandaris, Georgios & Tsekrekos, Andrianos E., 2010. "Predictable dynamics in implied volatility surfaces from OTC currency options," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(6), pages 1175-1188, June.
  3. Thomas Chiang & Jiandong Li & Sheng-Yung Yang, 2015. "Dynamic stock–bond return correlations and financial market uncertainty," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 45(1), pages 59-88, July.
  4. Li, Chenchen & Wang, Yudong & Wu, Chongfeng, 2022. "Oil implied volatility and expected stock returns along the worldwide supply chain," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
  5. Eduard Baitinger & Samuel Flegel, 2021. "The better turbulence index? Forecasting adverse financial markets regimes with persistent homology," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 35(3), pages 277-308, September.
  6. Johannes Stübinger & Lucas Schneider, 2019. "Statistical Arbitrage with Mean-Reverting Overnight Price Gaps on High-Frequency Data of the S&P 500," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-19, April.
  7. Zolotoy, Leon & Frederickson, James R. & Lyon, John D., 2017. "Aggregate earnings and stock market returns: The good, the bad, and the state-dependent," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 157-175.
  8. Qadan, Mahmoud & David, Or & Snunu, Iyad & Shuval, Kerem, 2024. "The VIX's term structure of individual active stocks," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
  9. Demirer, Rıza & Ferrer, Román & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2020. "Oil price shocks, global financial markets and their connectedness," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
  10. Poshakwale, Sunil S. & Chandorkar, Pankaj & Agarwal, Vineet, 2019. "Implied volatility and the cross section of stock returns in the UK," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 271-286.
  11. Ding, Wenjie & Mazouz, Khelifa & Wang, Qingwei, 2021. "Volatility timing, sentiment, and the short-term profitability of VIX-based cross-sectional trading strategies," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 42-56.
  12. Henriques, Irene & Sadorsky, Perry, 2023. "Forecasting rare earth stock prices with machine learning," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
  13. Pati, Pratap Chandra & Rajib, Prabina & Barai, Parama, 2019. "The role of the volatility index in asset pricing: The case of the Indian stock market," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 336-346.
  14. Libo Yin & Liyan Han, 2013. "Exogenous Shocks and Information Transmission in Global Copper Futures Markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(8), pages 724-751, August.
  15. Holger Fink & Yulia Klimova & Claudia Czado & Jakob Stober, 2016. "Regime switching vine copula models for global equity and volatility indices," Papers 1604.05598, arXiv.org.
  16. Bartosz Łamasz & Natalia Iwaszczuk, 2020. "The Impact of Implied Volatility Fluctuations on Vertical Spread Option Strategies: The Case of WTI Crude Oil Market," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-23, October.
  17. Sarwar, Ghulam, 2014. "U.S. stock market uncertainty and cross-market European stock returns," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 1-14.
  18. Angelos Kanas, 2013. "The risk-return relation and VIX: evidence from the S&P 500," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 44(3), pages 1291-1314, June.
  19. Božović, Miloš, 2024. "VIX-managed portfolios," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PA).
  20. Manuela Pedio, 2021. "Option-Implied Network Measures of Tail Contagion and Stock Return Predictability," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 21154, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
  21. Lavín, Jaime F. & Valle, Mauricio A. & Magner, Nicolás S., 2024. "Stock market pattern recognition using symbol entropy analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
  22. Just, Małgorzata & Echaust, Krzysztof, 2020. "Stock market returns, volatility, correlation and liquidity during the COVID-19 crisis: Evidence from the Markov switching approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
  23. Yang, Heejin & Kutan, Ali M. & Ryu, Doojin, 2019. "Volatility information trading in the index options market: An intraday analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 412-426.
  24. Ume Habibah & Suresh Rajput & Ranjeeta Sadhwani, 2017. "Stock market return predictability: Google pessimistic sentiments versus fear gauge," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 1390897-139, January.
  25. Kozarski, R., 2013. "Pricing and hedging in the VIX derivative market," Other publications TiSEM 221fefe0-241e-4914-b6bd-c, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
  26. Sarwar, Ghulam, 2012. "Is VIX an investor fear gauge in BRIC equity markets?," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 55-65.
  27. Fabio Bellini & Edit Rroji & Carlo Sala, 2022. "Implicit quantiles and expectiles," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(2), pages 733-753, June.
  28. Sinha, Pankaj & Mathur, Kritika, 2013. "A study on the Price Behavior of Base Metals traded in India," MPRA Paper 47028, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  29. Omar Esqueda & Yongli Luo & Dave Jackson, 2015. "The linkage between the U.S. “fear index” and ADR premiums under non-frictionless stock markets," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 39(3), pages 541-556, July.
  30. Dina Azhgaliyeva & Ranjeeta Mishra & Zhanna Kapsalyamova, 2021. "Oil Price Shocks and Green Bonds: A Longitudinal Multilevel Model," ADBI Working Papers 1278, Asian Development Bank Institute.
  31. Athanasios P. Fassas & Nikolas Hourvouliades, 2019. "VIX Futures as a Market Timing Indicator," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-9, July.
  32. Cochran, Steven J. & Mansur, Iqbal & Odusami, Babatunde, 2015. "Equity market implied volatility and energy prices: A double threshold GARCH approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 264-272.
  33. Li, Lei & Yin, Libo & Zhou, Yimin, 2016. "Exogenous shocks and the spillover effects between uncertainty and oil price," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 224-234.
  34. Bales, Stephan & Burghartz, Kaspar & Burghof, Hans-Peter & Hitz, Lukas, 2023. "Does the source of uncertainty matter? The impact of financial, newspaper and Twitter-based measures on U.S. banks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
  35. Angelos Kanas, 2014. "Uncovering a positive risk-return relation: the role of implied volatility index," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 42(1), pages 159-170, January.
  36. Cochran, Steven J. & Mansur, Iqbal & Odusami, Babatunde, 2012. "Volatility persistence in metal returns: A FIGARCH approach," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 64(4), pages 287-305.
  37. Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Zakaria Moussa, 2014. "The sensitivity of Fama-French factors to economic uncertainty," Working Papers hal-01015702, HAL.
  38. Muhammad Abubakr Naeem & Fiza Qureshi & Saqib Farid & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Mohamed Elheddad, 2024. "Time-frequency information transmission among financial markets: evidence from implied volatility," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 334(1), pages 701-729, March.
  39. Cliff R. Moll & Stephen P. Huffman, 2016. "The incremental information content of innovations in implied idiosyncratic volatility," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 30(1), pages 33-44, September.
  40. Kvam, Emilie & Molnar, Peter & Wankel, Ingvild & Odegaard, Bernt Arne, 2022. "Do sustainable company stock prices increase with ESG scrutiny? Evidence using social media," UiS Working Papers in Economics and Finance 2022/1, University of Stavanger.
  41. Kemper, Kris & Lee, Allissa & Simkins, Betty J., 2012. "Diversification revisited," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 304-316.
  42. Deschamps, Bruno & Fei, Tianlun & Jiang, Ying & Liu, Xiaoquan, 2025. "Uncertainty and cross-sectional stock returns: Evidence from China," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
  43. Han, Heejoon & Kutan, Ali M. & Ryu, Doojin, 2015. "Effects of the US stock market return and volatility on the VKOSPI," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 9, pages 1-34.
  44. Manuela Pedio, 2021. "Option-Implied Network Measures of Tail Contagion and Stock Return Predictability," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 21154, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
  45. Barbara A. Bliss & Jeffrey A. Clark & R. Jared DeLisle, 2018. "Bank risk, financial stress, and bank derivative use," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(7), pages 804-821, July.
  46. Christoffersen, Peter & Jacobs, Kris & Chang, Bo Young, 2013. "Forecasting with Option-Implied Information," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 581-656, Elsevier.
  47. Han, Heejoon & Kutan, Ali M. & Ryu, Doojin, 2015. "Modeling and predicting the market volatility index: The case of VKOSPI," Economics Discussion Papers 2015-7, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  48. Julián Andrada-Félix & Adrian Fernandez-Perez & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero, 2018. "Fear connectedness among asset classes," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(39), pages 4234-4249, August.
  49. Raj Aggarwal & Brian M. Lucey & Fergal A. O'Connor, 2014. "Rationality in Precious Metals Forward Markets: Evidence of Behavioural Deviations in the Gold Markets," The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series iiisdp462, IIIS.
  50. Ghulam Sarwar, 2012. "Intertemporal relations between the market volatility index and stock index returns," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(11), pages 899-909, June.
  51. Cheraghali, Hamid & Høydal, Hannah & Lysebo, Caroline & Molnár, Peter, 2023. "Consumer attention and company performance: Evidence from luxury companies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
  52. Jin E. Zhang & Eric C. Chang & Huimin Zhao, 2020. "Market Excess Returns, Variance and the Third Cumulant," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 20(3), pages 605-637, September.
  53. Yaw‐Huei Wang & Kuang‐Chieh Yen, 2018. "The information content of option‐implied tail risk on the future returns of the underlying asset," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(4), pages 493-510, April.
  54. Huiling Yuan & Yong Zhou & Zhiyuan Zhang & Xiangyu Cui, 2019. "Forecasting security's volatility using low-frequency historical data, high-frequency historical data and option-implied volatility," Papers 1907.02666, arXiv.org.
  55. Kanas, Angelos, 2012. "Modelling the risk–return relation for the S&P 100: The role of VIX," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 795-809.
  56. Julián Andrada-Félix & Adrian Fernandez-Perez & Fernando Fernández-Rodríguez & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero, 2022. "Time connectedness of fear," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(3), pages 905-931, March.
    • Julián Andrada-Félixa & Adrian Fernandez-Perez & Fernando Fernández-Rodríguez & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero, 2018. "“Time connectedness of fear”," IREA Working Papers 201818, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Sep 2018.
  57. Szymon Lis, 2022. "Investor Sentiment in Asset Pricing Models: A Review," Working Papers 2022-14, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
  58. Lee, Bong Soo & Ryu, Doojin, 2013. "Stock returns and implied volatility: A new VAR approach," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 7, pages 1-20.
  59. Harshit Mishra & Parama Barai, 2024. "Entropy Augmented Asset Pricing Model: Study on Indian Stock Market," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 31(1), pages 81-99, March.
  60. Julia Höhler & Alfons Oude Lansink, 2021. "Measuring the impact of COVID‐19 on stock prices and profits in the food supply chain," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(1), pages 171-186, January.
  61. Naresh Bansal & Robert A. Connolly & Chris Stivers, 2022. "Beta and size equity premia following a high‐VIX threshold," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(8), pages 1491-1517, August.
  62. Echaust, Krzysztof, 2021. "Asymmetric tail dependence between stock market returns and implied volatility," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 23(C).
  63. Pan, Zheyao & Chan, Kam Fong, 2018. "A new government bond volatility index predictor for the U.S. equity premium," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 200-215.
  64. Holger Fink & Yulia Klimova & Claudia Czado & Jakob Stöber, 2017. "Regime Switching Vine Copula Models for Global Equity and Volatility Indices," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-38, January.
  65. Yu, Wayne W. & Lui, Evans C.K. & Wang, Jacqueline W., 2010. "The predictive power of the implied volatility of options traded OTC and on exchanges," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 1-11, January.
  66. Yu-Min Lian & Jian-Chi Yang & Ko-Liang Kuo, 2022. "The Impact of Market Factors and News Sentiments on Silver Futures ETFs," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 12(2), pages 1-2.
  67. Fu, Ruonan, 2025. "Essays on Ambiguity, Market Incompleteness, and Asset Pricing," Other publications TiSEM 5aac93d9-052e-4db2-a7e7-9, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
  68. Nicolás Magner Pulgar & Esteban José Antonio Terán Sánchez & Vicente Alfonso Guzmán Muñoz, 2022. "Stock Market Synchronization and Stock Volatility: The Case of an Emerging Market," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 17(3), pages 1-22, Julio - S.
  69. Yaw‐Huei Wang & Kuang‐Chieh Yen, 2019. "The information content of the implied volatility term structure on future returns," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 25(2), pages 380-406, March.
  70. Xingzhi Yao & Marwan Izzeldin, 2018. "Forecasting using alternative measures of model‐free option‐implied volatility," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(2), pages 199-218, February.
  71. Zhang, Qin & Wong, Jin Boon, 2022. "ESG reputational risks and board monitoring committees," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
  72. Li, Wei-Xuan & Chen, Clara Chia-Sheng & French, Joseph J., 2015. "Toward an early warning system of financial crises: What can index futures and options tell us?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 87-99.
  73. Plantinga, Auke & Scholtens, Bert, 2016. "The financial impact of divestment from fossil fuels," Research Report 16005-EEF, University of Groningen, Research Institute SOM (Systems, Organisations and Management).
  74. Gonzalez-Perez, Maria T., 2015. "Model-free volatility indexes in the financial literature: A review," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 141-159.
  75. Kim, Jun Sik & Ryu, Doojin, 2015. "Are the KOSPI 200 implied volatilities useful in value-at-risk models?," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 43-64.
  76. Andy Fodor & James S. Doran & James M. Carson & David P. Kirch, 2013. "On the Demand for Portfolio Insurance," Risk Management and Insurance Review, American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 16(2), pages 167-193, September.
  77. Kim, Neri & Lučivjanská, Katarína & Molnár, Peter & Villa, Roviel, 2019. "Google searches and stock market activity: Evidence from Norway," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 208-220.
  78. Konstantinidi, Eirini & Skiadopoulos, George & Tzagkaraki, Emilia, 2008. "Can the evolution of implied volatility be forecasted? Evidence from European and US implied volatility indices," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(11), pages 2401-2411, November.
  79. Szymon Lis, 2024. "Investor Sentiment in Asset Pricing Models: A Review of Empirical Evidence," Papers 2411.13180, arXiv.org.
  80. Moll, Cliff R. & Huffman, Stephen P., 2016. "The incremental information content of innovations in implied idiosyncratic volatility," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 33-44.
  81. Perras, Patrizia & Wagner, Niklas, 2025. "Give me a break: What does the equity premium compensate for?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
  82. Marie-Claude Beaulieu & Habiba Mrissa Bouden, 2015. "Firm-specific risk and IPO market cycles," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(50), pages 5354-5377, October.
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