Quantifying Confidence

Citations

Cited by:

1. Yongheng Hu, 2025. "How Big Data Dilutes Cognitive Resources, Interferes with Rational Decision-making and Affects Wealth Distribution ?," Papers 2508.20435, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2025.
2. Oscar Pavlov & Mark Weder, 2017. "Product Scope and Endogenous Fluctuations," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 24, pages 175-191, March.
   • Mark Weder & Oscar Pavlov, 2015. "Product Scope and Endogenous Fluctuations," Adelaide Economics Working Papers 2015-03, Adelaide University, School of Economics.
   • Weder, Mark & Pavlov, Oscar, 2015. "Product Scope and Endogenous Fluctuations," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 112942, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
   • Oscar Pavlov & Mark Weder, 2017. "Online Appendix to "Product Scope and Endogenous Fluctuations"," Online Appendices 15-129, Review of Economic Dynamics.
   • Oscar Pavlov & Mark Weder, 2017. "Code and data files for "Product Scope and Endogenous Fluctuations"," Computer Codes 15-129, Review of Economic Dynamics.
3. Carbonari, Lorenzo & Maurici, Filippo, 2023. "Firm heterogeneity, financial frictions and ambiguity," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
4. Moench, Emanuel & Soofi-Siavash, Soroosh, 2022. "What moves treasury yields?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(3), pages 1016-1043.
   • Soroosh Soofi-Siavash & Emanuel Moench, 2021. "What Moves Treasury Yields?," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series 88, Bank of Lithuania.
   • Moench, Emanuel & Soofi Siavash, Soroosh, 2022. "What Moves Treasury Yields?," CEPR Discussion Papers 15978, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
5. Stephen McKnight & Laura Povoledo, 2022. "Endogenous fluctuations and international business cycles," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 55(1), pages 312-348, February.
   • Stephen McKnight & Laura Povoledo, 2015. "Can indeterminacy and self-fulfilling expectations help explain international business cycles?," Working Papers 20151504, Department of Accounting, Economics and Finance, Bristol Business School, University of the West of England, Bristol.
   • Stephen McKnight & Laura Povoledo, 2021. "Endogenous Fluctuations and International Business Cycles," Serie documentos de trabajo del Centro de Estudios Económicos 2021-10, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos.
   • Stephen McKnight & Laura Povoledo, 2016. "Can indeterminacy and self-fulfilling expectations help explain international business cycles?," Working Papers 20161610, Department of Accounting, Economics and Finance, Bristol Business School, University of the West of England, Bristol.
   • Stephen McKnight & Laura Povoledo, 2016. "Can indeterminacy and self-fulfilling expectations help explain international business cycles?," Serie documentos de trabajo del Centro de Estudios Económicos 2016-07, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos.
6. Zeno Enders & Michael Kleemann & Gernot J. Muller, 2021. "Growth Expectations, Undue Optimism, and Short-Run Fluctuations," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 103(5), pages 905-921, December.
   • Enders, Zeno & Kleemann, Michael & Müller, Gernot, 2013. "Growth expectations, undue optimism, and short-run fluctuations," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 80009, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
   • Müller, Gernot & Enders, Zeno & Kleemann, Michael, 2016. "Growth expectations, undue optimism, and short-run fluctuations," CEPR Discussion Papers 11521, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
   • Michael Kleemann & Gernot Mueller & Zeno Enders, 2015. "Growth expectations, undue optimism, and short-run fluctuations," 2015 Meeting Papers 406, Society for Economic Dynamics.
   • Enders, Zeno & Kleemann, Michael & Müller, Gernot J., 2017. "Growth expectations, undue optimism, and short-run fluctuations," Discussion Papers 11/2017, Deutsche Bundesbank.
   • Zeno Enders & Michael Kleemann & Gernot Müller, 2013. "Growth Expectations, Undue Optimism, and Short-Run Fluctuations," CESifo Working Paper Series 4548, CESifo.
7. Laura Nowzohour & Livio Stracca, 2020. "More Than A Feeling: Confidence, Uncertainty, And Macroeconomic Fluctuations," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(4), pages 691-726, September.
   • Nowzohour, Laura & Stracca, Livio, 2017. "More than a feeling: confidence, uncertainty and macroeconomic fluctuations," Working Paper Series 2100, European Central Bank.
8. Cole, Stephen J. & Milani, Fabio, 2021. "Heterogeneity in individual expectations, sentiment, and constant-gain learning," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 627-650.
   • Stephen J. Cole & Fabio Milani, 2020. "Heterogeneity in Individual Expectations, Sentiment, and Constant-Gain Learning," Working Papers 192005, University of California-Irvine, Department of Economics.
   • Cole, Stephen J. & Milani, Fabio, 2021. "Heterogeneity in Individual Expectations, Sentiment, and Constant-Gain Learning," Working Papers and Research 2021-05, Marquette University, Center for Global and Economic Studies and Department of Economics.
   • Stephen J. Cole & Fabio Milani, 2020. "Heterogeneity in Individual Expectations, Sentiment, and Constant-Gain Learning," CESifo Working Paper Series 8343, CESifo.
9. Gabriel Pino & Jose Barrales-Ruiz, 2026. "Heterogeneous impact of consumer confidence on US aggregate consumption over the business cycle," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 70(1), pages 1-15, January.
10. Silva, Mario Rafael & Urias, Marshall, 2025. "Productive demand and sectoral capacity utilization," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
11. Benhima, Kenza & Poilly, Céline, 2021. "Does demand noise matter? Identification and implications," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 278-295.
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12. Martin Iseringhausen & Ivan Petrella & Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2026. "Aggregate Skewness and the Business Cycle," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 108(3), pages 851-861, May.
    • Iseringhausen, Martin & Petrella, Ivan & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2021. "Aggregate Skewness and the Business Cycle," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2021/30, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
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    • Iseringhausen, Martin & Petrella, Ivan & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2022. "Aggregate Skewness and the Business Cycle," CEPR Discussion Papers 17162, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
13. Leon Podkaminer, 2021. "Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium: macroeconomics at a dead end," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 52(2), pages 97-122.
14. Alexandra Born & Zeno Enders, 2019. "Global Banking, Trade, and the International Transmission of the Great Recession," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 129(623), pages 2691-2721.
    • Enders, Zeno & Peter, Alexandra, 2015. "Global Banking, Trade, and the International Transmission of the Great Recession," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 113022, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    • Alexandra Born & Zeno Enders, 2018. "Global Banking, Trade, and the International Transmission of the Great Recession," CESifo Working Paper Series 6912, CESifo.
15. Dées, Stephane & Zimic, Srečko, 2019. "Animal spirits, fundamental factors and business cycle fluctuations," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1-1.
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16. Saccal, Alessandro, 2023. "A role for confidence: volition regimes and news," MPRA Paper 117484, University Library of Munich, Germany.
17. Bennani, Hamza, 2019. "Does People's Bank of China communication matter? Evidence from stock market reaction," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 1-1.
    • Bennani, Hamza, 2019. "Does People's Bank of China communication matter? Evidence from stock market reaction," BOFIT Discussion Papers 9/2019, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
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18. Lance Kent, 2015. "Relaxing Rational Expectations," Working Papers 159, Economics Department, William & Mary.
19. Lansing, Kevin J., 2024. "Replicating business cycles and asset returns with sentiment and low risk aversion," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    • Kevin J. Lansing, 2024. "Replicating Business Cycles and Asset Returns with Sentiment and Low Risk Aversion," Working Paper Series 2021-02, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
20. Albonico, Alice & Ascari, Guido & Haque, Qazi, 2025. "Monetary policy in the euro area: Active or passive?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
    • Alice Albonico & Guido Ascari & Qazi Haque, 2024. "Monetary Policy in the Euro Area: Active or Passive?," Working Papers 535, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Mar 2025.
    • Alice Albonico & Guido Ascari & Qazi Haque, 2024. "Monetary Policy in the Euro Area: Active or Passive?," CAMA Working Papers 2024-34, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    • Alice Albonico & Guido Ascari & Qazi Haque, 2024. "Monetary Policy in the Euro Area: Active or Passive?," Adelaide Economics Working Papers 2024-02 Classification-E3, Adelaide University, School of Economics.
21. Kanzari, Dalel & Nakhli, Mohamed Sahbi & Gaies, Brahim & Sahut, Jean-Michel, 2023. "Predicting macro-financial instability – How relevant is sentiment? Evidence from long short-term memory networks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
22. Martin Iseringhausen & Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2025. "A survey-based measure of asymmetric macroeconomic risk in the euro area," Working Papers 68, European Stability Mechanism, revised 11 Feb 2025.
23. Saki Bigio & Eduardo Zilberman, 2020. "Speculation-driven Business Cycles," Working Papers 161, Peruvian Economic Association.
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24. Aabid Karim & Heman Das Lohano, 2024. "Sentiment Analysis of State Bank of Pakistan's Monetary Policy Documents and its Impact on Stock Market," Papers 2408.03328, arXiv.org.
25. Alexandre N. Kohlhas & Ansgar Walther, 2021. "Asymmetric Attention," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 111(9), pages 2879-2925, September.
26. Pollak, Andreas, 2022. "A Unified Theory of Growth, Cycles and Unemployment - Part II: Business Cycles and Unemployment," MPRA Paper 117769, University Library of Munich, Germany.
27. Samuele Ridolfi, 2024. "Behavioral Macroeconomics: A Systematic Review for Policy Insights," Journal of Behavioral Economics for Policy, Society for the Advancement of Behavioral Economics (SABE), vol. 8(S2), pages 35-42, December.
28. Neri, Stefano, 2023. "Long-term inflation expectations and monetary policy in the euro area before the pandemic," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
29. Bijapur, Mohan, 2014. "What Drives Business Cycle Fluctuations: Aggregate or Idiosyncratic Uncertainty Shocks?," MPRA Paper 60361, University Library of Munich, Germany.
30. Cascaldi-Garcia, Danilo, 2025. "Forecast revisions as instruments for news shocks," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
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31. Michał Brzoza‐Brzezina & Jacek Kotłowski & Grzegorz Wesołowski, 2022. "International information flows, sentiments, and cross‐country business cycle fluctuations," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(4), pages 1110-1147, September.
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32. Ascari, Guido & Fasani, Stefano & Grazzini, Jakob & Rossi, Lorenza, 2023. "Endogenous uncertainty and the macroeconomic impact of shocks to inflation expectations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(S), pages 48-63.
33. Patella, Valeria & Tancioni, Massimiliano, 2021. "Confidence Swings and Sovereign Risk Dynamics," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 195-206.
34. Xuewen Liu & Pengfei Wang & Sichuang Xu, 2024. "Asset‐Market Sentiments And Business Cycle Fluctuations," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 65(4), pages 1795-1819, November.
35. Gondhi, Naveen, 2023. "Rational inattention, misallocation, and the aggregate economy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 50-75.
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38. Xu, Zhiwei & Zhou, Fei & Zhou, Jing, 2022. "Sentiments and real business cycles," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
39. Christian Myohl & Yannic Stucki, 2018. "Confidence and the Financial Accelerator," Diskussionsschriften dp1823, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft.
40. Andres Algaba & David Ardia & Keven Bluteau & Samuel Borms & Kris Boudt, 2020. "Econometrics Meets Sentiment: An Overview Of Methodology And Applications," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(3), pages 512-547, July.
41. Eggers, Andrew C. & Ellison, Martin & Lee, Sang Seok, 2021. "The economic impact of recession announcements," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 40-52.
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42. Simionescu, Mihaela, 2022. "Econometrics of sentiments- sentometrics and machine learning: The improvement of inflation predictions in Romania using sentiment analysis," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
43. Acharya, Sushant & Benhabib, Jess & Huo, Zhen, 2021. "The anatomy of sentiment-driven fluctuations," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
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44. Berardi, Michele, 2022. "Uncertainty and sentiments in asset prices," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 202(C), pages 498-516.
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45. Francesco Bianchi & Giovanni Nicolò & Dongho Song, 2023. "Inflation and Real Activity over the Business Cycle," NBER Working Papers 31075, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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46. Chenxi Wang, 2023. "Asset bubbles and frictional intermediation," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 76(3), pages 921-961, October.
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49. Roberta Terranova, 2025. "Endogenous beliefs and social influence in a simple macroeconomic framework," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 20(3), pages 583-641, July.
50. Angelos Kanas & Panagiotis D. Zervopoulos, 2021. "Systemic risk, real GDP growth, and sentiment," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 461-485, August.
51. Hashmat Khan & Santosh Upadhayaya, 2020. "Does business confidence matter for investment?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(4), pages 1633-1665, October.
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53. Ryan Chahrour & Kristoffer Nimark & Stefan Pitschner, 2021. "Sectoral Media Focus and Aggregate Fluctuations," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 111(12), pages 3872-3922, December.
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54. Alvarado, Mauricio & Rodríguez, Gabriel, 2025. "Time-varying effects of financial uncertainty shocks on macroeconomic fluctuations in Peru," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
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55. Bassanin, Marzio & Faia, Ester & Patella, Valeria, 2021. "Ambiguity attitudes and the leverage cycle," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
56. Fiori, Giuseppe & Scoccianti, Filippo, 2023. "The economic effects of firm-level uncertainty: Evidence using subjective expectations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 92-105.
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57. Zaccaria, Niccolò, 2025. "Overconfidence and Information Aggregation," Discussion Paper 2025-004, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
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59. Chatterjee, Pratiti & Milani, Fabio, 2020. "Perceived uncertainty shocks, excess optimism-pessimism, and learning in the business cycle," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 342-360.
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73. Francesca Vinci & Omar Licandro, 2020. "Switching-track after the Great Recession," Discussion Papers 2020/02, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
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74. Benhabib, Jess & Liu, Xuewen & Wang, Pengfei, 2016. "Sentiments, financial markets, and macroeconomic fluctuations," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(2), pages 420-443.
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75. Wu, Jieran, 2022. "Comments on “Sentiments and real business cycles”," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
76. Genaro Mart'in Damiani, 2024. "An essay on the history of DSGE models," Papers 2409.00812, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2025.
77. Michał Brzoza-Brzezina & Jacek Kotłowski, 2021. "International confidence spillovers and business cycles in small open economies," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(2), pages 773-798, August.
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