Persistent Overconfidence and Biased Memory: Evidence from Managers
Citations
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Cited by:
- Bhatt, Vipul & Smith, Angela M., 2025. "Overconfidence and performance: Evidence from a simple real-effort task," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
- Hanspach, Philip & Sapi, Geza & Wieting, Marcel, 2024. "Algorithms in the marketplace: An empirical analysis of automated pricing in e-commerce," Information Economics and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
- Barron, Kai & Becker, Anna & Huck, Steffen, 2025.
"Motivated political reasoning: On the emergence of belief-value constellations,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
- Barron, Kai & Becker, Anna & Huck, Steffen, 2025. "Motivated political reasoning: On the emergence of belief-value constellations," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 172.
- Kai Barron & Anna Becker & Steffen Huck, 2024. "Motivated Political Reasoning: On the Emergence of Belief-Value Constellations," Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series 510, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition.
- Rustamdjan Hakimov & Renke Schmacker & Camille Terrier, 2023. "Confidence and College Applications: Evidence from a Randomized Intervention," Working Papers 962, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Caballero, Adrián & López-Pérez, Raúl, 2024. "Memory bias beyond ego: Selective recall of positive financial outcomes," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
- Huang, Wei & Wang, Yu & Zhao, Xiaojian, 2024.
"Motivated Beliefs, Independence and Cooperation,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
- Wei Huang & Yu Wang & Xiaojian Zhao, 2023. "Motivated Beliefs, Independence and Cooperation," Monash Economics Working Papers 2023-08, Monash University, Department of Economics.
- Friehe, Tim & Pham, Cat Lam & Xemaire, Simon, 2024. "On the strategic choice of overconfident lawyers," International Review of Law and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
- Falk, Armin & Kosse, Fabian & Schildberg-Hörisch, Hannah & Zimmermann, Florian, 2023.
"Self-assessment: The role of the social environment,"
Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
- Armin Falk & Fabian Kosse & Hannah Schildberg-Hörisch & Florian Zimmermann, 2020. "Self-Assessment: The Role of the Social Environment," CESifo Working Paper Series 8308, CESifo.
- Armin Falk & Fabian Kosse & Hannah Schildberg-Hörisch & Florian Zimmermann, 2020. "Self-Assessment: The Role of the Social Environment," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2020_172, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
- Falk, Armin & Kosse, Fabian & Schildberg-Hörisch, Hannah & Zimmermann, Florian, 2020. "Self-Assessment: The Role of the Social Environment," Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series 244, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition.
- Falk, Armin & Kosse, Fabian & Schildberg-Hörisch, Hannah & Zimmermann, Florian, 2020. "Self-assessment: The role of the social environment," DICE Discussion Papers 339, Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf Institute for Competition Economics (DICE).
- Grunewald, Andreas & Klockmann, Victor & von Schenk, Alicia & von Siemens, Ferdinand, 2024. "Are biases contagious? The influence of communication on motivated beliefs," W.E.P. - Würzburg Economic Papers 109, University of Würzburg, Department of Economics.
- Ahmed, Haseeb & Giffin, Erin & Manian, Shanthi, 2025. "Memory constraints in adoption of productive technologies," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
- Heath, Rebecca & Roy-Chowdhury, Vivek, 2025. "Recall distortion and past choices," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 240(C).
- Katherine Coffman & Maria Paola Ugalde Araya & Basit Zafar, 2024. "A (dynamic) investigation of stereotypes, belief‐updating, and behavior," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 62(3), pages 957-983, July.
- Michele Dell'Era & Luca David Opromolla & Luís Santos‐Pinto, 2023. "Can optimism solve the entrepreneurial earnings puzzle?," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 125(1), pages 139-169, January.
- Andrea Amelio & Florian Zimmermann, 2023.
"Motivated Memory in Economics—A Review,"
Games, MDPI, vol. 14(1), pages 1-15, January.
- Andrea Amelio & Florian Zimmermann, 2022. "Motivated Memory in Economics - a Review," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 213, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
- Ignacio Esponda & Emanuel Vespa & Sevgi Yuksel, 2024.
"Mental Models and Learning: The Case of Base-Rate Neglect,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 114(3), pages 752-782, March.
- Esponda, Ignacio & Vespa, Emanuel & Yuksel, Sevgi, 2024. "Mental Models and Learning: The Case of Base-Rate Neglect," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series qt8cb387t8, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
- Adrian Bruhin & Fidel Petros & Luís Santos-Pinto, 2024.
"The role of self-confidence in teamwork: experimental evidence,"
Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 27(3), pages 687-712, July.
- Bruhin, Adrian & Petros, Fidel & Santos-Pinto, Luís, 2023. "The role of self-confidence in teamwork: Experimental evidence," Discussion Papers, Research Unit: Market Behavior SP II 2023-206, WZB Berlin Social Science Center.
- Giffin, Erin & Lillethun, Erik, 2025. "Long-run choice anomalies in reinforcement learning with bounded memory," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
- Andrea Kiss & Robert Garlick & Kate Orkin & Luke Hensel, 2023.
"Jobseekers’ Beliefs about Comparative Advantage and (Mis)Directed Search,"
Upjohn Working Papers
23-388, W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research.
- Lukas Hensel & Kate Orkin & Andrea Kiss & Robert Garlick, 2023. "Jobseekers' beliefs about comparative advantage and (mis)directed search," CSAE Working Paper Series 2023-11, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford.
- Kiss, Andrea & Garlick, Robert & Orkin, Kate & Hensel, Lukas, 2023. "Jobseekers' Beliefs about Comparative Advantage and (Mis)Directed Search," IZA Discussion Papers 16522, IZA Network @ LISER.
- Oliver Pfäuti & Fabian Seyrich & Jonathan Zinman, 2024. "Bad Luck or Bad Decisions? Macroeconomic Implications of Persistent Heterogeneity in Cognitive Skills and Overconfidence," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 2080, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Tyack, Nicholas & Arouna, Aminou & Dembélé, Urbain & Goeschl, Timo, 2026. "Underconfidence and the low-experimentation trap," Working Papers 0769, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
- Charlotte Cordes & Jana Friedrichsen & Simeon Schudy, 2025. "Motivated Beliefs Under Delayed Uncertainty Resolution," CESifo Working Paper Series 12286, CESifo.
- Rocco Zizzamia, 2025. "Ignorance is bliss? Rejection and discouragement in on-the-job search," CSAE Working Paper Series 2025-06, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford.
- Guo, Peng & Jiang, Fuwei & Li, Mengru & Liu, Yumin, 2024. "Managerial macroeconomic perception and systemic risk in China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
- Tsegay Tekleselassie & Marc Witte & Jonas Radbruch & Lukas Hensel & Ingo E. Isphording, 2025.
"Feedback, Confidence and Job Search Behavior,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
11746, CESifo.
- Tsegay Tekleselassie & Marc Witte & Jonas Radbruch & Lukas Hensel & Ingo E. Isphording, 2025. "Feedback, Confidence and Job Search Behavior," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2025_668, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
- Tsegay Tekleselassie & Marc Witte & Jonas Radbruch & Lukas Hensel & Ingo E. Isphording, 2025. "Feedback, Confidence and Job Search Behavior," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 25-019/V, Tinbergen Institute.
- Tekleselassie, Tsegay & Witte, Marc J. & Radbruch, Jonas & Hensel, Lukas & Isphording, Ingo E., 2025. "Feedback, Confidence and Job Search Behavior," IZA Discussion Papers 17761, IZA Network @ LISER.
- Ying Fan & A Yeşim Orhun & Dana Turjeman, 2023.
"A tale of two pandemics: The enduring partisan differences in actions, attitudes, and beliefs during the coronavirus pandemic,"
PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 18(10), pages 1-17, October.
- Fan, Ying & Orhun, Yesim & Turjeman, Dana, 2023. "A Tale of Two Pandemics: The Enduring Partisan Differences in Actions, Attitudes and Beliefs during the Coronavirus Pandemic," CEPR Discussion Papers 18241, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- de la Rosa, Leonidas Enrique & Lambertsen, Nikolaj Niebuhr, 2025. "Overconfidence and moral hazard without commitment," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
- Pedro Gonzalez-Fernandez, 2024. "Belief Bias Identification," Papers 2404.09297, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2026.
- Zhang, Kun & Feltovich, Nick & Zhang, Yanren, 2025. "Pride and persistence: Social comparisons in production," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
- Weidmann, Ben & Vecci, Joseph & Said, Farah & Bhalotra, Sonia & Adhvaryu, Achyuta & Nyshadham, Anant & Tamayo, Jorge & Deming, David, 2024.
"How Do You Identify A Good Manager?,"
CAGE Online Working Paper Series
715, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE).
- Achyuta Adhvaryu & Sonia Bhalotra & David Deming & Anant Nyshadham & Farah Said & Jorge Tamayo & Joseph Vecci & Ben Weidmann, 2025. "How do you identify a good manager?," IFS Working Papers W25/37, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
- Ben Weidmann & Joseph Vecci & Farah Said & Sonia Bhalotra & Achyuta Adhvaryu & Anant Nyshadham & Jorge Tamayo & David Deming, 2025. "How Do You Identify a Good Manager?," RFBerlin Discussion Paper Series 2591, ROCKWOOL Foundation Berlin (RFBerlin).
- Mitchell Hoffman & Christopher T. Stanton, 2024.
"People, Practices, and Productivity: A Review of New Advances in Personnel Economics,"
NBER Working Papers
32849, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Mitchell Hoffman & Christopher Stanton, 2025. "People, Practices, and Productivity: A Review of New Advances in Personnel Economics," RFBerlin Discussion Paper Series 2521, ROCKWOOL Foundation Berlin (RFBerlin).
- Nikolaj Niebuhr Lambertsen, 2025. "Exploiting overconfidence: optimal contracts with heterogeneous beliefs," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 79(4), pages 1225-1254, June.
- Zhou, Ye & Huang, Difang & Chen, Muzi & Wang, Yunlong & Yang, Xiaoguang, 2024. "How did small business respond to unexpected shocks? Evidence from a natural experiment in China," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
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