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"Reverse Bayesianism": A Choice-Based Theory of Growing Awareness

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Ani Guerdjikova & Jürgen Eichberger, 2023. "Cases and States ," Working Papers hal-03962412, HAL.
  2. Wenjun Ma & Burkhard C. Schipper, 2017. "Does exposure to unawareness affect risk preferences? A preliminary result," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 83(2), pages 245-257, August.
  3. Serguey Braguinsky & Atsushi Ohyama & Tetsuji Okazaki & Chad Syverson, 2021. "Product Innovation, Product Diversification, and Firm Growth: Evidence from Japan's Early Industrialization," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 111(12), pages 3795-3826, December.
  4. Heinsalu, Sander, 2014. "Universal type structures with unawareness," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 255-266.
  5. Joseph Y. Halpern & Evan Piermont & Marie-Louise Viero, 2026. "Unintended Consequences: Updating Causal Models," Papers 2603.09387, arXiv.org.
  6. Galanis, Spyros, 2016. "The value of information in risk-sharing environments with unawareness," Discussion Paper Series In Economics And Econometrics 1602, Economics Division, School of Social Sciences, University of Southampton.
  7. Paul Frijters & Benno Torgler & Brendan Markey-Towler, 2016. "On the Problem of Constructing Rational Preferences," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 92, pages 68-82, June.
  8. Karni, Edi & Valenzuela-Stookey, Quiteze & Viero, Marie-Louise, 2018. ""Reverse Bayesianism": A clarification and generalization," Queen's Economics Department Working Papers 274726, Queen's University - Department of Economics.
  9. Karni, Edi & Vierø, Marie-Louise, 2017. "Awareness of unawareness: A theory of decision making in the face of ignorance," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 301-328.
  10. Carmen-Elena Dorobat & Matthew McCaffrey & Nicolai J. Foss & Peter G. Klein, 2026. "Knightian Uncertainty in Entrepreneurship Research: Retrospect and Prospect," Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, , vol. 50(1), pages 192-230, January.
  11. Yulin Liu & Luyao Zhang, 2022. "Cryptocurrency Valuation: An Explainable AI Approach," Papers 2201.12893, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2023.
  12. Joseph Y. Halpern & Evan Piermont, 2020. "Dynamic Awareness," Papers 2007.02823, arXiv.org.
  13. Vierø, Marie-Louise, 2021. "An intertemporal model of growing awareness," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
  14. Grant Simon & Guerdjikova Ani & Quiggin John, 2021. "Ambiguity and Awareness: A Coherent Multiple Priors Model," The B.E. Journal of Theoretical Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 21(2), pages 571-612, June.
  15. Edi Karni & Marie-Louise Vierø, 2015. "Probabilistic sophistication and reverse Bayesianism," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 50(3), pages 189-208, June.
  16. Dominiak, Adam & Tserenjigmid, Gerelt, 2018. "Belief consistency and invariant risk preferences," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 157-162.
  17. Auster, Sarah & Kettering, Jeremy & Kochov, Asen, 2024. "Sequential trading with coarse contingencies," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
  18. Christoph K. Becker & Tigran Melkonyan & Eugenio Proto & Andis Sofianos & Stefan T. Trautmann, 2020. "Reverse Bayesianism: Revising Beliefs in Light of Unforeseen Events," CESifo Working Paper Series 8662, CESifo.
  19. Marina Agranov & Anastasia Buyalskaya, 2022. "Deterrence Effects of Enforcement Schemes: An Experimental Study," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(5), pages 3573-3589, May.
  20. Oliver Walker, 2011. "Unawareness with �possible� possible worlds," GRI Working Papers 69, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment.
  21. Ehud Lehrer & Roee Teper, 2014. "Extension Rules or What Would the Sage Do?," American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 6(1), pages 5-22, February.
  22. John Quiggin, 2016. "The value of information and the value of awareness," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 80(2), pages 167-185, February.
  23. Piacquadio, Paolo G., 2020. "The ethics of intergenerational risk," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
  24. Konrad Grabiszewski, 2015. "Rationalizing epistemic bounded rationality," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 78(4), pages 629-637, April.
  25. Adam Dominiak & Ani Guerdjikova, 2021. "Pessimism and optimism towards new discoveries," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 90(3), pages 321-370, May.
  26. Dietrich, Franz, 2018. "Savage's theorem under changing awareness," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 1-54.
  27. Auster, Sarah, 2013. "Asymmetric awareness and moral hazard," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 503-521.
  28. Chakravarty, Surajeet & Kelsey, David & Teitelbaum, Joshua C., 2022. "Reverse Bayesianism and act independence," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
  29. Weijia Wang, 2025. "Preference aggregation with heterogeneous beliefs and catastrophe risk," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 146(2), pages 263-279, October.
  30. Brendan Markey-Towler, 2018. "Antifragility, the Black Swan and psychology," Evolutionary and Institutional Economics Review, Springer, vol. 15(2), pages 367-384, December.
  31. Oliver Walker & Simon Dietz, 2011. "A representation result for choice under conscious unawareness," GRI Working Papers 59, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment.
  32. Gaia Belardinelli & Burkhard C. Schipper, 2023. "Implicit Knowledge in Unawareness Structures," Working Papers 360, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics.
  33. Rafael R. Guthmann, 2025. "Imperfect Competition as a Result of Unawareness," Review of Industrial Organization, Springer;The Industrial Organization Society, vol. 67(1), pages 35-53, June.
  34. John Quiggin, 2017. "Dynamic awareness and zero probability beliefs," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 83(3), pages 309-313, October.
  35. Boissonnet, Niels & Ghersengorin, Alexis & Gleyze, Simon, 2020. "Revealed Deliberate Preference Changes," MPRA Paper 101756, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  36. John Quiggin, 2016. "The value of information and the value of awareness," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 80(2), pages 167-185, February.
  37. Virginia Cecchini Manara & Lorenzo Sacconi, 2019. "Institutions, Frames, and Social Contract Reasoning," Econometica Working Papers wp71, Econometica.
  38. T. Florian Kauffeldt & Boris R. Wiesenfarth, 2018. "Product Design Competition Under Different Degrees of Demand Ambiguity," Review of Industrial Organization, Springer;The Industrial Organization Society, vol. 53(2), pages 397-420, September.
  39. Faro, José Heleno & Lefort, Jean-Philippe, 2019. "Dynamic objective and subjective rationality," Theoretical Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 14(1), January.
  40. Dominiak, Adam & Tserenjigmid, Gerelt, 2022. "Ambiguity under growing awareness," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
  41. Chollete, Lorán & Jaffee, Dwight & Mamun, Khawaja A., 2022. "Policy suggestions from a simple framework with extreme outcomes," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 374-398.
  42. Ani Guerdjikova & John Quiggin, 2018. "Intertemporal Portfolio Choice with Incorrect Beliefs and Aversion to Surprise," Post-Print hal-02086151, HAL.
  43. Surajeet Chakravarty & David Kelsey & Joshua C. Teitelbaum, 2020. "Operationalizing Reverse Bayesianism," Discussion Papers 2020-18, The Centre for Decision Research and Experimental Economics, School of Economics, University of Nottingham.
  44. Chollete, Lorán & de la Peña, Victor & Klass, Michael, 2023. "The price of independence in a model with unknown dependence," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 51-58.
  45. Grant, Simon & Quiggin, John, 2013. "Bounded awareness, heuristics and the Precautionary Principle," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 17-31.
  46. Takashi Hayashi, 2012. "Expanding state space and extension of beliefs," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 73(4), pages 591-604, October.
  47. Weijia Wang & Shaoan Huang, 2021. "Risk sharing and financial stability: a welfare analysis," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 16(1), pages 211-228, January.
  48. H. Orri Stefánsson, 2019. "On the Limits of the Precautionary Principle," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(6), pages 1204-1222, June.
  49. Loïc Berger & Johannes Emmerling & Massimo Tavoni, 2017. "Managing Catastrophic Climate Risks Under Model Uncertainty Aversion," Post-Print hal-03027150, HAL.
  50. Izhakian, Yehuda & Yermack, David, 2017. "Risk, ambiguity, and the exercise of employee stock options," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(1), pages 65-85.
  51. Borgonovo, E. & Cappelli, V. & Maccheroni, F. & Marinacci, M., 2018. "Risk analysis and decision theory: A bridge," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 264(1), pages 280-293.
  52. Loïc Berger & Johannes Emmerling & Massimo Tavoni, 2017. "Managing Catastrophic Climate Risks Under Model Uncertainty Aversion," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 63(3), pages 749-765, March.
  53. Yehuda Izhakian & David Yermack & Jaime F. Zender, 2016. "Ambiguity and the Tradeoff Theory of Capital Structure," NBER Working Papers 22870, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  54. Kochov, Asen, 2018. "A behavioral definition of unforeseen contingencies," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 265-290.
  55. Joshua S. Gans & Peter Landry, 2019. "Self-recognition in teams," International Journal of Game Theory, Springer;Game Theory Society, vol. 48(4), pages 1169-1201, December.
  56. Marek Pycia & Peter Troyan, 2023. "A Theory of Simplicity in Games and Mechanism Design," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 91(4), pages 1495-1526, July.
  57. Ani Guerdjikova & John Quiggin, 2019. "Market Selection With Differential Financial Constraints," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 87(5), pages 1693-1762, September.
  58. Jonathan Dark, 2021. "The lead of oil price rises on US equity market beliefs and preferences," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(11), pages 1861-1887, November.
  59. Brenner, Menachem & Izhakian, Yehuda, 2018. "Asset pricing and ambiguity: Empirical evidence⁎," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(3), pages 503-531.
  60. Djeutem Edouard & Nguimkeu Pierre, 2020. "Robust learning in the foreign exchange market," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 20(1), pages 1-14, January.
  61. Luo, Xiao & Qian, Xuewen, 2025. "Conditional hypothesis testing systems," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
  62. Faro, José Heleno & Lefort, Jean Philippe, 2013. "Dynamic Objective and Subjective Rationality," Insper Working Papers wpe_312, Insper Working Paper, Insper Instituto de Ensino e Pesquisa.
  63. Surajeet Chakravarty & David Kelsey & Joshua C. Teitelbaum, 2024. "Tort Liability And Unawareness," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 65(4), pages 1851-1876, November.
  64. Piermont, Evan, 2017. "Context dependent beliefs," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 63-73.
  65. Timo Ehrig & Todd Zenger, 2024. "Competing with Theories: Using Awareness and Confidence to secure Resources and Rents," Working Papers TIMES² 2024-078, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
  66. Shabnam Mousavi & Shyam Sunder, 2019. "Physical Laws and Human Behavior: A Three-Tier Framework," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2173, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  67. Lorán Chollete & Sharon G. Harrison, 2021. "Unintended Consequences: Ambiguity Neglect and Policy Ineffectiveness," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 47(2), pages 206-226, April.
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