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Monetary policy transparency, public commentary, and market perceptions about monetary policy in Canada

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  • Siklos, Pierre L.

Abstract

The introduction of inflation targets in Canada in 1991 ostensibly clarified the objectives of monetary policy, namely the pursuit of price stability. In doing so, one of the objectives of the new policy was to ensure that the public would henceforth be able to assess more easily monetary policy performance based on the Bank of Canada's record at achieving low and stable inflation. An obvious question then is to ascertain whether in fact, as the Governor the Bank stated recently, "... public commentary on monetary policy since 1991 has involved a fairer assessment of the performance of the Bank of Canada." Using information compiled on commentary about the Bank of Canada, and monetary policy in general, collected from the Globe and Mail and Financial Post national newspapers, we evaluate how favourable or critical such commentaries have been since 1986. In so doing, we examine a sample before inflation control targets were introduced, as well as the period since. The Bank of Canada also aims to influence expectations and financial market perceptions of its performance. Additional tests, using daily interest rate and exchange rates and monthly inflation and inflation forecast data, are presented which shed light on this question.

Suggested Citation

  • Siklos, Pierre L., 2000. "Monetary policy transparency, public commentary, and market perceptions about monetary policy in Canada," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2000,08, Deutsche Bundesbank.
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:bubdp1:4144
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    1. Meixing Dai, 2009. "Public debt and currency crisis: how central bank opacity can make things bad?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 29(1), pages 190-198.
    2. Eijffinger, Sylvester & Geraats, Petra & van der Cruijsen, Carin, 2006. "Does Central Bank Transparency Reduce Interest Rates?," CEPR Discussion Papers 5526, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. Helder Ferreira de Mendonça & José Simao Filho, 2008. "Macroeconomic Effects of Central Bank Transparency: The Case of Brazil," Cato Journal, Cato Journal, Cato Institute, vol. 28(1), pages 117-137, Winter.
    4. Helder Ferreira de Mendonça & Ivando Faria, 2015. "Brazilian Central Bank communication and interest rate expectations," Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1-2), pages 25-44, July.
    5. Helder Ferreira de Mendonça & Délio José Cordeiro Galvão & Renato Falci Villela Loures, 2012. "Financial regulation and transparency of information: evidence from banking industry," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 39(4), pages 380-397, August.
    6. Helder Ferreira de Mendonça & Délio José Cordeiro Galvão & Renato Falci Villela Loures, 2011. "Financial Regulation and Transparency of Information: first steps on new land," Working Papers Series 248, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    7. Helder Ferreira de Mendonça & José Simão Filho, 2011. "Central Bank Transparency and Financial Market: Evidence for the Brazilian Case," Brazilian Review of Finance, Brazilian Society of Finance, vol. 9(1), pages 51-67.

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