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Dollarization Persistence and Individual Heterogeneity

Author

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  • Paul Castillo

    (London School of Economics & Central bank of Peru)

  • Diego Winkelried

    (St John�s College, University of Cambridge)

Abstract

The most salient feature of financial dollarization, and the one that causes more concern to policymakers, is its persistence: even after successful macroeconomic stabilizations, dollarization ratios often remain high. In this paper we claim that this persistence is connected to the fact that the participants in the dollar deposit market are fairly heterogenous, and so is the way they form their optimal currency portfolio. We develop a simple model when agents differ in their ability to process information, which turns out to be enough to generate persistence upon aggregation. We find empirical support for this claim with data from three Latin American countries and Poland.

Suggested Citation

  • Paul Castillo & Diego Winkelried, 2005. "Dollarization Persistence and Individual Heterogeneity," Macroeconomics 0512014, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 31 Dec 2005.
    • Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpma:0512014
    Note: Type of Document - pdf; pages: 25
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Contreras, Alex & Quispe,Zenón & Regalado, Fernando & Martínez, Martín, 2017. "Dolarización real en el Perú," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 33, pages 43-55.
    2. Sanchez Alan, 2006. "Financial Dollarization, the portfolio approach and expectations: evidence for Latin America (1995-2005)," Working Papers 2006-010, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
    3. Willy Alanya & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2019. "Asymmetries in Volatility: An Empirical Study for the Peruvian Stock and Forex Markets," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(01), pages 1-18, March.
    4. Brown, Martin & De Haas, Ralph & Sokolov, Vladimir, 2013. "Regional Inflation and Financial Dollarization," Working Papers on Finance 1327, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance.
    5. Carlos E. León Rincón & Alejandro Revéiz Herault, 2008. "La dolarización financiera: experiencia internacional y perspectivas para Colombia," Revista de Economía Institucional, Universidad Externado de Colombia - Facultad de Economía, vol. 10(18), pages 313-341, January-J.
    6. Paul Castillo & Alberto Humala & Vicente Tuesta, 2007. "Monetary Policy, Regime Shifts, and Inflation Uncertainty in Peru (1949-2006)," Working Papers 2007-005, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
    7. Branko Uroševic & Ivana Rajkovic, 2016. "Dollarization of Deposits in the Short and Long Run: Evidence from CESE Countries," CESifo Working Paper Series 5745, CESifo.
    8. Rossini, Renzo & Quispe, Zenón & Rodríguez, Donita, 2013. "Flujo de capitales, política monetaria e intervención cambiaria en el Perú," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 25, pages 39-50.
    9. Mr. Luis Catão & Mr. Marco Terrones, 2016. "Financial De-Dollarization: A Global Perspective and the Peruvian Experience," IMF Working Papers 2016/097, International Monetary Fund.
    10. Ramírez, Juan & Vásquez, José & Pereda, Javier, 2015. "Determinants of the Demand for Cash in Peru: A Non Linear Approach," Working Papers 2015-006, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
    11. Arrieta Vidal, Johar & Florián Hoyle, David & López Vargas, Kristian & Morales Vásquez, Valeria, 2022. "Policies for transactional de-dollarization: A laboratory study," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 200(C), pages 31-54.
    12. Branko Urošević & Ivana Rajković, 2017. "Dollarization of Deposits in the Short and Long Run: Evidence from CESE Countries," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 64(1), pages 31-44, December.
    13. Castillo, Paul & Vega, Hugo & Serrano, Enrique & Burga, Carlos, 2016. "De-dollarization of credit in Peru: the role of unconventional monetary policy tools," Working Papers 2016-002, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
    14. de Haas, R. & Brown, M. & Sokolov, V., 2015. "Regional Inflation, Financial Integration and Dollarization (This is a revision of CentER DP 2013-073)," Discussion Paper 2015-012, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    15. Caglayan, Mustafa & Talavera, Oleksandr, 2016. "Dollarization, liquidity and performance: Evidence from Turkish banking," MPRA Paper 72812, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Nicoleta Bărbuță-Mișu & Tuna Can Güleç & Selim Duramaz & Florina Oana Virlanuta, 2020. "Determinants of Dollarization of Savings in the Turkish Economy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(15), pages 1-16, July.
    17. de Haas, R. & Brown, M. & Sokolov, V., 2015. "Regional Inflation, Financial Integration and Dollarization," Other publications TiSEM ef569549-635c-490c-b44c-2, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    18. Winkelried, Diego, 2013. "Modelo de Proyección Trimestral del BCRP: Actualización y novedades," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 26, pages 9-60.
    19. Martin Brown & Ralph De Haas & Vladimir Sokolov, 2013. "Regional inflation and financial dollarisation," Working Papers 163, European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, Office of the Chief Economist.
    20. Cesteros, Santiago Rodrigo, 2018. "Sobre volatilidad macroeconómica y dolarización de la riqueza: el caso argentino [On macroeconomic volatility and wealth dollarization: the Argentine case]," MPRA Paper 88968, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Dollarization; individual heterogeneity; persistence; aggregation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C43 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Index Numbers and Aggregation
    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General
    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General

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