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Dollarization Persistence and Individual Heterogeneity

Author

Listed:
  • Paul Castillo

    (London School of Economics, Central Bank of Peru)

  • Diego Winkelried

    (St John’s College, University of Cambridge)

Abstract

The most salient feature of financial dollarization, and the one that causes more concern to policy makers, is its persistence: even after successful macroeconomic stabilizations, dollarization ratios often remain high. In this paper we claim that this persistence is connected to the fact that the participants in the dollar deposit market are fairly heterogenous, and so is the way they form their optimal currency portfolio.We develop as simple model when agents differ in their ability to process information, which turns out to be enough to generate persistence up on aggregation. We find empirical support for this claim with data from three Latin American countries and Poland.

Suggested Citation

  • Paul Castillo & Diego Winkelried, 2007. "Dollarization Persistence and Individual Heterogeneity," Working Papers 2007-004, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
    • Handle: RePEc:rbp:wpaper:2007-004
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Cesteros, Santiago Rodrigo, 2018. "Sobre volatilidad macroeconómica y dolarización de la riqueza: el caso argentino [On macroeconomic volatility and wealth dollarization: the Argentine case]," MPRA Paper 88968, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Ivana Rajkoviæ & Branko Uroseviæ, 2014. "Dollarization of deposits in short and long run: evidence from CESE countries," Working papers 28, National Bank of Serbia.
    3. de Haas, R. & Brown, M. & Sokolov, V., 2015. "Regional Inflation, Financial Integration and Dollarization (This is a revision of CentER DP 2013-073)," Discussion Paper 2015-012, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    4. Arrieta Vidal, Johar & Florián Hoyle, David & López Vargas, Kristian & Morales Vásquez, Valeria, 2022. "Policies for transactional de-dollarization: A laboratory study," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 200(C), pages 31-54.
    5. Castillo, Paul & Vega, Hugo & Serrano, Enrique & Burga, Carlos, 2016. "De-dollarization of credit in Peru: the role of unconventional monetary policy tools," Working Papers 2016-002, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
    6. Brown, M. & de Haas, R. & Sokolov, V., 2013. "Regional Inflation and Financial Dollarization," Other publications TiSEM 9ff11062-bd85-49b8-a0e1-3, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    7. Branko Uroševic & Ivana Rajkovic, 2016. "Dollarization of Deposits in the Short and Long Run: Evidence from CESE Countries," CESifo Working Paper Series 5745, CESifo.
    8. Carlos E. León Rincón & Alejandro Revéiz Herault, 2008. "La dolarización financiera: experiencia internacional y perspectivas para Colombia," Revista de Economía Institucional, Universidad Externado de Colombia - Facultad de Economía, vol. 10(18), pages 313-341, January-J.
    9. Willy Alanya & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2019. "Asymmetries in Volatility: An Empirical Study for the Peruvian Stock and Forex Markets," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(01), pages 1-18, March.
    10. Rossini, Renzo & Quispe, Zenón & Rodríguez, Donita, 2013. "Flujo de capitales, política monetaria e intervención cambiaria en el Perú," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 25, pages 39-50.
    11. Caglayan, Mustafa & Talavera, Oleksandr, 2016. "Dollarization, liquidity and performance: Evidence from Turkish banking," MPRA Paper 72812, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. repec:nsb:wpaper:28 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Winkelried, Diego, 2013. "Modelo de Proyección Trimestral del BCRP: Actualización y novedades," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 26, pages 9-60.
    14. Mr. Luis Catão & Mr. Marco Terrones, 2016. "Financial De-Dollarization: A Global Perspective and the Peruvian Experience," IMF Working Papers 2016/097, International Monetary Fund.
    15. Nicoleta Bărbuță-Mișu & Tuna Can Güleç & Selim Duramaz & Florina Oana Virlanuta, 2020. "Determinants of Dollarization of Savings in the Turkish Economy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(15), pages 1-16, July.
    16. Martin Brown & Ralph De Haas & Vladimir Sokolov, 2013. "Regional inflation and financial dollarisation," Working Papers 163, European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, Office of the Chief Economist.
    17. de Haas, R. & Brown, M. & Sokolov, V., 2015. "Regional Inflation, Financial Integration and Dollarization," Other publications TiSEM ef569549-635c-490c-b44c-2, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    18. World Bank, 2022. "Lebanon Economic Monitor, Fall 2022," World Bank Publications - Reports 38339, The World Bank Group.
    19. Contreras, Alex & Quispe,Zenón & Regalado, Fernando & Martínez, Martín, 2017. "Dolarización real en el Perú," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 33, pages 43-55.
    20. Paul Castillo & Alberto Humala & Vicente Tuesta, 2007. "Monetary Policy, Regime Shifts, and Inflation Uncertainty in Peru (1949-2006)," Working Papers 2007-005, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
    21. Branko Urošević & Ivana Rajković, 2017. "Dollarization of Deposits in the Short and Long Run: Evidence from CESE Countries," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 64(1), pages 31-44, December.
    22. Ramírez, Juan & Vásquez, José & Pereda, Javier, 2015. "Determinants of the Demand for Cash in Peru: A Non Linear Approach," Working Papers 2015-006, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
    23. Sanchez Alan, 2006. "Financial Dollarization, the portfolio approach and expectations: evidence for Latin America (1995-2005)," Working Papers 2006-010, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Dollarization; individual heterogeneity; persistence; aggregation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C43 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Index Numbers and Aggregation
    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General
    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General

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