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MTEFs and fiscal performance: panel data evidence

  • Grigoli, Francesco
  • Mills, Zachary
  • Verhoeven, Marijn
  • Vlaicu, Razvan

In the last two decades more than 120 countries have adopted a version of a Medium-Term Expenditure Framework (MTEF). These are budget institutions whose rationale it is to enable the central government to make credible multi-year fiscal commitments. This paper analyzes a newly-collected dataset of worldwide MTEF adoptions during 1990-2008. It exploits within-country variation in MTEF adoption in a dynamic panel framework to estimate their impacts. The analysis finds that MTEFs strongly improve fiscal discipline, with more advanced MTEF phases having a larger impact. Higher-phase MTEFs also improve allocative efficiency. Only top-phase MTEFs have a significantly positive effect on technical efficiency.

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Paper provided by The World Bank in its series Policy Research Working Paper Series with number 6186.

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Date of creation: 01 Sep 2012
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Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:6186
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