IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/uow/depec1/wp05-20.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Catastrophic Shocks and Capital markets: A Comparative Analysis by Disaster and Sector

Author

Abstract

This paper provides an analysis of the impact of natural, industrial and terrorist disasters on the Australian capital market using the Box and Tiao intervention analysis and the data on daily returns in the following ten market sectors: consumer discretionary, consumer staples, energy, financial, health care, industrial, information technology, materials, telecommunication services and utilities. Inter alia, we have found that the shocks provided by natural disasters have an influence on market sector returns, depending upon the sector in question. The sectors most sensitive to disasters of any type are the consumer discretionary, financial services and materials sectors while the most significant single event during the past eight years would appear to be the September 11 terrorist attack, at least in terms of its impact upon the capital market.

Suggested Citation

  • Worthington, Andrew & Valadkhani, Abbas, 2005. "Catastrophic Shocks and Capital markets: A Comparative Analysis by Disaster and Sector," Economics Working Papers wp05-20, School of Economics, University of Wollongong, NSW, Australia.
    • Handle: RePEc:uow:depec1:wp05-20
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.uow.edu.au/content/groups/public/@web/@commerce/@econ/documents/doc/uow012203.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Thomas Aiuppa & Robert J. Carney & Thomas M. Krueger, 1993. "An Examination of Insurance Stock Prices Following the 1989 Loma Prieta Earthquake," Journal of Insurance Issues, Western Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 16(1), pages 1-15.
    2. St Pierre, Eileen F, 1998. "The Impact of Option Introduction on the Conditional Return Distribution of Underlying Securities," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 33(1), pages 105-118, February.
    3. Andrew Worthington & Abbas Valadkhani, 2004. "Measuring the impact of natural disasters on capital markets: an empirical application using intervention analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(19), pages 2177-2186.
    4. Ada Ho & Alan Wan, 2002. "Testing for covariance stationarity of stock returns in the presence of structural breaks: an intervention analysis," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(7), pages 441-447.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Valizadeh, Pourya & Karali, Berna & Ferreira, Susana, 2017. "Ripple effects of the 2011 Japan earthquake on international stock markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 556-576.
    2. Vikash Ramiah, 2012. "The Impact of International Terrorist Attacks on the Risk and Return of Malaysian Equity Portfolios," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 15(04), pages 1-26.
    3. Heonbae Jeon & Soonbong Lee & Hongseon Kim & Seung Bum Soh & Seongmoon Kim, 2023. "Portfolio Evaluation with the Vector Distance Based on Portfolio Composition," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-19, January.
    4. Xu, Xin & Xu, Yonghao & Zhu, Feifei, 2024. "Shaken to action: Natural disaster experience and enterprises' sustainable decision-making," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    5. Daniel Castillo & Joseph Falzon, 2018. "An Analysis of the Impact of WannaCry Cyberattack on Cybersecurity Stock Returns," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 13, pages 93-100, August.
    6. Ramiah, Vikash & Cam, Marie-Anne & Calabro, Michael & Maher, David & Ghafouri, Shahab, 2010. "Changes in equity returns and volatility across different Australian industries following the recent terrorist attacks," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 64-76, January.
    7. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Chen, Mei-Ping, 2020. "Do natural disasters and geopolitical risks matter for cross-border country exchange-traded fund returns?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    8. Md. Noman Siddikee & Mohammad Mafizur Rahman, 2017. "Effect of catastrophic disaster in financial market contagion," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 1288772-128, January.
    9. Pagnottoni, Paolo & Spelta, Alessandro & Flori, Andrea & Pammolli, Fabio, 2022. "Climate change and financial stability: Natural disaster impacts on global stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 599(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Montero, José-María & Naimy, Viviane & Farraj, Nermeen Abi & El Khoury, Rim, 2024. "Natural disasters, stock price volatility in the property-liability insurance market and sustainability: An unexplored link," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    2. Andrew Worthington & Abbas Valadkhani, 2004. "Measuring the impact of natural disasters on capital markets: an empirical application using intervention analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(19), pages 2177-2186.
    3. Valizadeh, Pourya & Karali, Berna & Ferreira, Susana, 2017. "Ripple effects of the 2011 Japan earthquake on international stock markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 556-576.
    4. Andrew Worthington & Abbas Valadkhani, 2004. "Measuring the impact of natural disasters on capital markets: an empirical application using intervention analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(19), pages 2177-2186.
    5. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Chen, Mei-Ping, 2020. "Do natural disasters and geopolitical risks matter for cross-border country exchange-traded fund returns?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    6. Eduardo Cavallo & Ilan Noy, 2009. "The Economics of Natural Disasters: A Survey," Research Department Publications 4649, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
    7. Takuya Maruyama & Kazutake Taguchi, 2021. "Increased motor vehicle crashes following the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake, Japan: an interrupted time series analysis of property damage crashes," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 108(2), pages 1877-1899, September.
    8. Sabrina Ecca & Michele Marchesi & Alessio Setzu, 2008. "Modeling and Simulation of an Artificial Stock Option Market," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 32(1), pages 37-53, September.
    9. Juan Pablo Bermúdez-Cespedes & Luis Fernando Melo-Velandia & Daniel Parra-Amado, 2025. "Sovereign Risk and Stock Market Response to Natural Disasters in Emerging Economies," Borradores de Economia 1303, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    10. Dumitru-Cristian Oanea & Stela Jakova, 2016. "Impact of SNB Decision to Unpeg the Franc from Euro on Financial Markets: Event Study Approach," EuroEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 2(12), pages 217-227, April.
    11. Vijay Aseervatham & Patricia Born & Dominik Lohmaier & Andreas Richter, 2017. "Hazard-Specific Supply Reactions in the Aftermath of Natural Disasters," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 42(2), pages 193-225, April.
    12. António Miguel Martins & Pedro Correia & Ricardo Gouveia, 2024. "The impact of the Russia–Ukraine war on the world’s largest listed insurance firms," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 49(4), pages 779-803, October.
    13. Dumitru-Cristian Oanea & Stela Jakova, 2016. "Impact of SNB Decision to Unpeg the Franc from Euro on Financial Markets: Event Study Approach," Acta Universitatis Danubius. OEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 12(2), pages 217-227, April.
    14. Assis, T.P. & Cordeiro, F.F. & Schiavon, L.C., 2023. "How stock market reacts to environmental disasters and judicial decisions: A case study of Mariana’s dam collapse in Brazil," International Review of Law and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    15. Dey, Asim K. & Hoque, G.M. Toufiqul & Das, Kumer P. & Panovska, Irina, 2022. "Impacts of COVID-19 local spread and Google search trend on the US stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 589(C).
    16. Ihtisham A. Malik & Robert Faff, 2022. "Industry market reaction to natural disasters: do firm characteristics and disaster magnitude matter?," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 111(3), pages 2963-2994, April.
    17. Abbas Valadkhani, 2005. "Goods and Services Tax Effects on Goods and Services Included in the Consumer Price Index Basket," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 81(s1), pages 104-114, August.
    18. Valadkhani, Abbas, 2005. "Pre- and Post-Dynamic GST Effects on Goods and Services Included in the CPI Basket," Economics Working Papers wp05-08, School of Economics, University of Wollongong, NSW, Australia.
    19. Ercio Muñoz S. & Alfredo Pistelli M., 2010. "¿Tienen los Terremotos un Impacto Inflacionario en el Corto Plazo? Evidencia para una Muestra de Países," Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 13(2), pages 113-127, April.
    20. Chang, Chiu-Lan & Cai, Qingyun, 2023. "Stock return anomalies identification during the Covid-19 with the application of a grouped multiple comparison procedure," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 168-183.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Intervention Analysis; Capital Markets; Natural Disasters;
    All these keywords.

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:uow:depec1:wp05-20. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Peter Siminski The email address of this maintainer does not seem to be valid anymore. Please ask Peter Siminski to update the entry or send us the correct address (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/deuowau.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.