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Long-term interest rates and bank loan supply: Evidence from firm-bank loan-level data

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  • Arito Ono, Kosuke Aoki
  • hinichi Nishioka
  • Kohei Shintani
  • Yosuke Yasui

Abstract

Based on a mean-variance model of bank portfolio selection subject to the value-at-risk constraint, we make predictions on transmission channels through which lower long-term interest rates increase bank loan supply: the portfolio balance channel, the bank balance sheet channel, and the risk-taking channel. Using a firm-bank loan-level panel dataset for Japan, we find evidence of the presence of these channels. First, an unanticipated reduction in long-term rates increased bank loan supply. Second, banks that enjoyed larger capital gains on their bond holdings increased loan supply. Further, this effect was stronger for loans to smaller, more leveraged, and less creditworthy firms.

Suggested Citation

  • Arito Ono, Kosuke Aoki & hinichi Nishioka & Kohei Shintani & Yosuke Yasui, 2018. "Long-term interest rates and bank loan supply: Evidence from firm-bank loan-level data," Working Papers e119, Tokyo Center for Economic Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:tcr:wpaper:e119
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    Cited by:

    1. Yoshiaki Ogura, 2019. "Search-for-Yield under Prolonged Monetary Easing and Aging," Working Papers e142, Tokyo Center for Economic Research.
    2. Ugo Albertazzi & Andrea Nobili & Federico M. Signoretti, 2021. "The Bank Lending Channel of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(2-3), pages 261-299, March.
    3. Katsuhiro Oshima, 2017. "Search-for-Yield and Business Cycles," KIER Working Papers 962, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
    4. Kiyotaka Nakashima & Masahiko Shibamoto & Koji Takahashi, 2017. "Risk-Taking Channel of Unconventional Monetary Policies in Bank Lending," Discussion Paper Series DP2017-24, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University, revised Apr 2019.
    5. Rodrigo Barbone Gonzalez, 2019. "Monetary policy surprises and employment: evidence from matched bank-firm loan data on the bank lending-channel," BIS Working Papers 799, Bank for International Settlements.
    6. Ogura, Yoshiaki, 2020. "Intensified lending competition and search-for-yield under prolonged monetary easing," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    7. Kensuke Fukunaga & Daisuke Miyakawa, 2022. "Supply Chain Network and Credit Supply," IMES Discussion Paper Series 22-E-08, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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