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Valuing malaria morbidity: Results from a global metaanalysis

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  • Y Mehmet Kutluay

    (Department of Environmental Economics, Institute for Environmental Studies, Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
    Tinbergen Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands Author-Name: Roy Brouwer
    Department of Environmental Economics, Institute for Environmental Studies, Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam, The Netherlands)

  • Richard S. J. Tol

    (Department of Economics, University of Sussex, UK
    Institute for Environmental Studies, Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
    Department of Spatial Economics, Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
    Tinbergen Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands)

Abstract

The risk of malaria transmission worldwide is expected to increase with climate change. In order to estimate the welfare implications, we analyse the factors that explain willingness to pay to avoid malaria morbidity using a meta-analysis. We compare multiple regression models via a cross-validation exercise to assess best fit, the first in the meta-analysis literature to do so. Weighted random effects gives best fit. Confirming previous studies, we find that revealed preferences are significantly lower than stated preferences; and that there is no significant difference in the willingness to pay for policies that prevent (pre-morbidity) or treat malaria (post-morbidity). We add two new results to the morbidity literature. 1) Age has a non-linear impact on mean willingness to pay and 2) willingness to pay decreases if malaria policies target communities instead of individual households.

Suggested Citation

  • Y Mehmet Kutluay & Richard S. J. Tol, 2015. "Valuing malaria morbidity: Results from a global metaanalysis," Working Paper Series 7615, Department of Economics, University of Sussex Business School.
  • Handle: RePEc:sus:susewp:7615
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    File URL: http://www.sussex.ac.uk/economics/documents/wps-76-2015.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Kutluay & Roy Brouwer & Haripriya Gundimeda & Nitin Lokhande & Richard S. J. Tol, 2017. "Public preferences and valuation of new malaria risk," Working Paper Series 1917, Department of Economics, University of Sussex Business School.
    2. Mehmet Kutluay & Roy Brouwer & Richard S. J. Tol, 2017. "Preference updating in public health risk valuation," Working Paper Series 1517, Department of Economics, University of Sussex Business School.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Malaria; Meta-analysis; Willingness-to-pay; Morbidity; Stated Preferences;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • I10 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - General

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