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The Dynamics of Financial Markets -- Mandelbrot's multifractal cascades, and beyond

Author

Listed:
  • Lisa Borland

    (Evnine-Vaughan Associates, Inc.)

  • Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

    (Science & Finance, Capital Fund Management
    CEA Saclay;)

  • Jean-Francois Muzy

    (Centre de Recherche Paul Pascal, Pessac, FRANCE)

  • Gilles Zumbach

    (Consulting in Financial Research)

Abstract

This is a short review in honor of B. Mandelbrot's 80st birthday, to appear in W ilmott magazine. We discuss how multiplicative cascades and related multifractal ideas might be relevant to model the main statistical features of financial time series, in particular the intermittent, long-memory nature of the volatility. We describe in details the Bacry-Muzy-Delour multifractal random walk. We point out some inadequacies of the current models, in particular concerning time reversal symmetry, and propose an alternative family of multi-timescale models, intermediate between GARCH models and multifractal models, that seem quite promising.

Suggested Citation

  • Lisa Borland & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Jean-Francois Muzy & Gilles Zumbach, 2005. "The Dynamics of Financial Markets -- Mandelbrot's multifractal cascades, and beyond," Science & Finance (CFM) working paper archive 500061, Science & Finance, Capital Fund Management.
    • Handle: RePEc:sfi:sfiwpa:500061
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Cited by:

    1. Kristoufek, Ladislav, 2009. "Distinguishing between short and long range dependence: Finite sample properties of rescaled range and modified rescaled range," MPRA Paper 16424, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. J. Cruz & P. Lind, 2012. "The dynamics of financial stability in complex networks," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 85(8), pages 1-9, August.
    3. Giacomo Bormetti & Sofia Cazzaniga, 2011. "Multiplicative noise, fast convolution, and pricing," Papers 1107.1451, arXiv.org.
    4. P. Peirano & D. Challet, 2012. "Baldovin-Stella stochastic volatility process and Wiener process mixtures," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 85(8), pages 1-12, August.
    5. Oussama Tilfani & My Youssef El Boukfaoui, 2020. "Multifractal Analysis of African Stock Markets During the 2007–2008 US Crisis," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(04), pages 1-31, January.
    6. L. Borland & J. -Ph. Bouchaud, 2005. "On a multi-timescale statistical feedback model for volatility fluctuations," Papers physics/0507073, arXiv.org.
    7. Lisa Borland & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2005. "On a multi-timescale statistical feedback model for volatility fluctuations," Science & Finance (CFM) working paper archive 500059, Science & Finance, Capital Fund Management.
    8. Zoltan Eisler & Janos Kertesz, 2006. "Liquidity and the multiscaling properties of the volume traded on the stock market," Papers physics/0606161, arXiv.org.
    9. Yang, Chunxia & Zhu, Xueshuai & Li, Qian & Chen, Yanhua & Deng, Qiangqiang, 2014. "Research on the evolution of stock correlation based on maximal spanning trees," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 415(C), pages 1-18.
    10. Omar El Euch & Jim Gatheral & Radov{s} Radoiv{c}i'c & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2018. "The Zumbach effect under rough Heston," Papers 1809.02098, arXiv.org.
    11. Leopoldo S'anchez-Cant'u & Carlos Arturo Soto-Campos & Andriy Kryvko, 2016. "Evidence of Self-Organization in Time Series of Capital Markets," Papers 1604.03996, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2017.
    12. Filimonov, Vladimir & Sornette, Didier, 2015. "Power law scaling and “Dragon-Kings” in distributions of intraday financial drawdowns," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 27-45.
    13. Challet, Damien & Peirano, Pier Paolo, 2008. "The ups and downs of the renormalization group applied to financial time series," MPRA Paper 9770, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Giacomo Bormetti & Sofia Cazzaniga, 2014. "Multiplicative noise, fast convolution and pricing," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(3), pages 481-494, March.
    15. Lisa Borland & Yoan Hassid, 2010. "Market panic on different time-scales," Papers 1010.4917, arXiv.org.

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