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What Drives Different Types of Capital Flows and Their Volatilities in Developing Asia?

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  • Mercado, Rogelio

    (Economics Department, De La Salle University-Manila)

  • Park, Cyn-Young

    (Asian Development Bank)

Abstract

Understanding the determinants of capital inflows is essential to designing an effective policy framework to manage volatile capital flows and their disruptive potential. This paper aims to identify factors that explain the size and volatility of various types of capital flows to developing Asia with regard to other emerging market economies. The estimates for a panel dataset show that per capita income growth, trade openness, and change in stock market capitalization are important determinants of capital inflows to developing Asia. Trade openness increases the volatility of all types of capital inflows, while change in stock market capitalization, global liquidity growth, and institutional quality lowers the volatility. A regional factor plays an important role in determining the size and volatility of capital inflows in emerging Europe and merging Latin America, suggesting that regional economic cooperation and policy coordination may be an important element in designing a policy framework to manage capital inflows in merging economies.

Suggested Citation

  • Mercado, Rogelio & Park, Cyn-Young, 2011. "What Drives Different Types of Capital Flows and Their Volatilities in Developing Asia?," Working Papers on Regional Economic Integration 84, Asian Development Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:adbrei:0084
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    Cited by:

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    4. Li, Jie & Rajan, Ramkishen S., 2015. "Do capital controls make gross equity flows to emerging markets less volatile?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 220-244.
    5. Rogelio V. Mercado, 2023. "Bilateral capital flows: Gravity, push and pull," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(1), pages 36-63, April.
    6. Di Filippo, Gabriele, 2017. "What Drives Gross Flows in Equity and Investment Fund Shares in Luxembourg?," MPRA Paper 84200, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 26 Jan 2018.
    7. Grzegorz Tchorek & Michał Brzozowski & Paweł Śliwiński, 2017. "Determinants of capital flows to emerging and advanced economies between 1990 and 2011," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 16(1), pages 17-48, April.
    8. Pedersoli, Silvia & Presbitero, Andrea F., 2023. "Public debt management and private financial development," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 47(1).
    9. McCully, Tuuli, 2023. "Drivers of portfolio flows into Chinese debt securities amidst China's bond market development," BOFIT Discussion Papers 8/2023, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    10. Förster, Marcel & Jorra, Markus & Tillmann, Peter, 2014. "The dynamics of international capital flows: Results from a dynamic hierarchical factor model," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(PA), pages 101-124.
    11. Lee, Hyun-Hoon & Park, Cyn-Young & Byun, Hyung-suk, 2013. "Do contagion effects exist in capital flow volatility?," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 76-95.
    12. Lepers, Etienne & Mercado, Rogelio, 2021. "Sectoral capital flows: Covariates, co-movements, and controls," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    13. Wahyoe Soedarmono & Iman Gunadi & Fiskara Indawan & Carla Sheila Wulandari, 2022. "The Dynamics Of Foreign Capital Flows In Indonesia: Sources And Implications On Bond Market And Bank Stability," Working Papers WP/03/2022, Bank Indonesia.
    14. repec:zbw:rwirep:0461 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Boonman, Tjeerd M., 2023. "Portfolio capital flows before and after the Global Financial Crisis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    16. Opperman, Pieter & Adjasi, Charles Komla Delali, 2017. "The determinants of private capital flow volatility in Sub-Saharan African countries," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 312-320.
    17. Schmidt, Torsten & Zwick, Lina, 2015. "Uncertainty and episodes of extreme capital flows in the Euro Area," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 343-356.
    18. Masahiro Inoguchi, 2020. "Factors driving International Capital Flows and the Change after the Global Financial Crisis," Public Policy Review, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan, vol. 16(2), pages 163-196, February.
    19. Patricia Lindelwa Makoni, 2020. "Foreign Portfolio Investments, Exchange Rates and Capital Openness: A Panel Data Approach," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(2), pages 100-113.
    20. Oeking, Anne & Zwick, Lina, 2015. "On the relation between capital flows and the current account," Ruhr Economic Papers 565, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    21. Torsten Schmidt & Lina Zwick, 2013. "Uncertainty and Episodes of Extreme Capital Flows in the Euro Area," Ruhr Economic Papers 0461, Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Universität Dortmund, Universität Duisburg-Essen.
    22. Ahmet Ihsan Kaya & Lutfi Erden, 2023. "Capital‐flow volatility in emerging markets: A panel GARCH approach," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(2), pages 172-188, August.
    23. Boonman, Tjeerd, 2023. "Have drivers of portfolio capital flows changed since the Global Financial Crisis?," MPRA Paper 116507, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    24. Akhand Akhtar Hossain, 2015. "Economic Management in a Volatile Environment: Monetary and Financial Issues by Ramkishen S. Rajan and Sasidaran Gopalan Palgrave Macmillan , London , 2015 Pp. xx+283. ISBN 9 78 137 37151-5," Asian-Pacific Economic Literature, The Crawford School, The Australian National University, vol. 29(2), pages 103-106, November.
    25. Ben Salha, Ousama, 2013. "Does economic globalization affect the level and volatility of labor demand by skill? New insights from the Tunisian manufacturing industries," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 572-597.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    capital flows; volatility of capital flows; panel data; developing Asia; push and pull factors;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration

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