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A bayesian estimation of the economic effects of the Common Fisheries Policy on the Galician Fleet: a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium approach

Author

Listed:
  • Colla-De-Robertis, Esteban
  • Da-Rocha, Jose-Maria
  • García-Cutrin, Javier
  • Gutiérrez, María-José
  • Prellezo, Raul

Abstract

What would have happened if a relatively looser fisheries policy had been implemented in the European Union (EU)? Using Bayesian methods a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilib- rium (DSGE) model is estimated to assess the impact of the European Common Fisheries Policy (CFP) on the economic performance of a Galician (north-west of Spain) fleet highly dependant on the EU southern stock of hake. Our counterfactual analysis shows that if a less effective CFP had been implemented during the period 1986-2012, ‘fishing opportunities” would have increased, leading to an increase in labor hours of 4.87%. However, this increase in fishing activity would have worsened the profitability of the fleet, dropping wages and rental price of capital by 6.79% and 0.88%, respectively. Welfare would also be negatively affected since, in addition to the increase in hours worked, consumption would have reduced by 0.59%.

Suggested Citation

  • Colla-De-Robertis, Esteban & Da-Rocha, Jose-Maria & García-Cutrin, Javier & Gutiérrez, María-José & Prellezo, Raul, 2018. "A bayesian estimation of the economic effects of the Common Fisheries Policy on the Galician Fleet: a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium approach," MPRA Paper 89944, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:89944
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jose Maria Rocha & Javier García-Cutrín & Maria-Jose Gutiérrez & Raul Prellezo & Eduardo Sanchez, 2021. "Dynamic Integrated Model for Assessing Fisheries: Discard Bans as an Implicit Value-Added Tax," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 80(1), pages 1-20, September.

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    JEL classification:

    • Q22 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Fishery

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