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Economic Determinants of Ethnic and Insurgent Conflict: an empirical study of northeast Indian states

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  • Brahmachari, Deborshi

Abstract

This paper attempts to study the association between armed ethnic conflict and its economic, socio-political and policy determinants through an econometric analysis in the seven northeast Indian states, namely, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya, Mizoram, Manipur, Nagaland and Tripura over a span of 27 years (1990-2016). Through a pooled Probit and a system Generalised Method of Moments (GMM) exercise, along with a historical review of insurgent movements in these states, the paper concludes that previous levels of conflict, low levels of NSDP, high Debt-GSDP ratio, diverse ethnolinguistic identities, economic discrimination among ethnicities, depleting forest cover and certain counter-insurgency measures such as the Armed Forces (Special Powers) Act, 1958 have had an adverse bearing on the peace and political stability and have contributed to higher probability of ethnic conflict in this region.

Suggested Citation

  • Brahmachari, Deborshi, 2019. "Economic Determinants of Ethnic and Insurgent Conflict: an empirical study of northeast Indian states," MPRA Paper 107743, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jan 2021.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:107743
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic Development; Ethnic Conflict; Civil War; Secession Movements; Ethnic Divisions; North East India;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D74 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions
    • F63 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Economic Development
    • O1 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development
    • P16 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Capitalist Economies - - - Capitalist Institutions; Welfare State

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