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Definitions of Ambiguous Events and the Smooth Ambiguity Model

  • Sujoy Mukerji
  • Peter Klibanoff and Massimo Marinacci

We examine a variety of preference-based definitions of ambiguous events in the context of the smooth ambiguity model.� We first consider the definition proposed in Klibanoff, Marinacci, and Mukerji (2005) based on the classic Ellsberg two-urn paradox (Ellsberg (1961)), and show that it satisfies several desirable properties.� We then compare this definition with those of Nehring (1999), Epstein and Zhang (2001), Zhang (2002) and Ghirardato and Marinacci (2002).� Within the smooth ambiguity model, we show that Ghirardato and Marinacci (2002) would identify the same set of ambiguous and unambiguous events as our definition while Epstein and Zhang (2001) and Zhang (2002) would yield a different classification.� Moreover, we discuss and formally identify two key sources of the differences compared to Epstein and Zhang (2001) and Zhang (2002).� The more interesting source is that these two definitions can confound non-constant ambiguity attitude and the ambiguity of an event.

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File URL: http://www.economics.ox.ac.uk/materials/working_papers/paper525.pdf
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Paper provided by University of Oxford, Department of Economics in its series Economics Series Working Papers with number 525.

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Date of creation: 01 Jan 2011
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Handle: RePEc:oxf:wpaper:525
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