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Subjective Probabilities on Subjectivity Unambiguous Event


  • Epstein, L.G.
  • Zhang, J.


Evidence such as the Ellsberg Paradox shows that decision-makers do not assign probabilities to all events. It is intuitive that they may differ not only in the probabilities assigned to given events but also in the identity of the events to which they assign probabilities. This paper describes a theory of probability that is fully subjective in the sense that both the domain and the values of the probability measure are derived from preference. The key is a formal definition for subjectively unambiguous event'.

Suggested Citation

  • Epstein, L.G. & Zhang, J., 1998. "Subjective Probabilities on Subjectivity Unambiguous Event," RCER Working Papers 456, University of Rochester - Center for Economic Research (RCER).
  • Handle: RePEc:roc:rocher:456

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. repec:ucp:bknber:9780226304557 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Hercowitz, Z., 1992. "Macroeconomic Implication of Investment-Specific Technological Change," Papers 13-92, Tel Aviv - the Sackler Institute of Economic Studies.
    3. Greenwood, Jeremy & Hercowitz, Zvi & Krusell, Per, 1997. "Long-Run Implications of Investment-Specific Technological Change," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 87(3), pages 342-362, June.
    4. Robert J. Gordon, 1990. "The Measurement of Durable Goods Prices," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number gord90-1, January.
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    JEL classification:

    • C00 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - General
    • D80 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - General


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