IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/osf/socarx/fp93g_v1.html

Climate Change and Political Entry: Evidence from Brazilian Municipal Elections

Author

Listed:
  • Fasolin, Guilherme Natan
  • Valentim, António

Abstract

Does climate change affect who runs for office, and how? As extreme weather events intensify, they create social and economic challenges that likely impact political candidacy. We build on existing research on mass political participation and the political economy of candidate entry and test how extreme weather events affect candidate pools. Using a novel dataset of flooding events and mayoral candidates in Brazil (2000-2020), we employ a difference-in-differences design and find that floods reduce the education level of mayoral candidates. Using data on federal transfers, corruption audits, and surveys, we show the effects on education can be driven by rent-seeking and outside options. By shedding light on the effects of climate change on candidate selection, this study highlights how climate change can paradoxically increase the representation of underrepresented groups in politics.

Suggested Citation

  • Fasolin, Guilherme Natan & Valentim, António, 2026. "Climate Change and Political Entry: Evidence from Brazilian Municipal Elections," SocArXiv fp93g_v1, Center for Open Science.
    • Handle: RePEc:osf:socarx:fp93g_v1
    DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/fp93g_v1
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://osf.io/download/699344a3e9d4a1356fd1721d/
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.31219/osf.io/fp93g_v1?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:osf:socarx:fp93g_v1. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: OSF (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://arabixiv.org .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.