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Medium-Term Money Neutrality and the Effective Lower Bound

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  • Gauti B. Eggertsson
  • Marc Giannoni

Abstract

Conventional wisdom suggests that medium-term money neutrality imposes strong limitations on the effects of monetary policy. The point of this paper is that models with medium- and long-term money neutrality are prone to generate non-existence of equilibria at the effective lower bound (ELB) on interest rates. Non-existence is suggestive of sharp output contractions --- so-called contractionary black holes --- at the ELB. Paradoxically, the case for expansionary monetary policy at the ELB is even stronger in models that feature near money neutrality. The results highlight the benefits of a monetary policy regime in which the central bank temporarily overshoots its inflation target once confronted by the ELB.

Suggested Citation

  • Gauti B. Eggertsson & Marc Giannoni, 2020. "Medium-Term Money Neutrality and the Effective Lower Bound," NBER Working Papers 27669, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:27669
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    Cited by:

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    2. Mazelis, Falk & Motto, Roberto & Ristiniemi, Annukka, 2023. "Monetary policy strategies for the euro area: optimal rules in the presence of the ELB," Working Paper Series 2797, European Central Bank.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E0 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General
    • E13 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Neoclassical
    • E40 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - General
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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