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Optimal interest rate rules and inflation stabilization versus price-level stabilization

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  • Marc Giannoni

Abstract

This paper compares the properties of interest rate rules such as simple Taylor rules and rules that respond to price-level fluctuations—called Wicksellian rules—in a basic forward-looking model. By introducing appropriate history dependence in policy, Wicksellian rules perform better than optimal Taylor rules in terms of welfare and robustness to alternative shock processes, and they are less prone to equilibrium indeterminacy. A simple Wicksellian rule augmented with a high degree of interest rate inertia resembles a robustly optimal rule—that is, a monetary policy rule that implements the optimal plan and is also completely robust to the specification of exogenous shock processes.

Suggested Citation

  • Marc Giannoni, 2012. "Optimal interest rate rules and inflation stabilization versus price-level stabilization," Staff Reports 546, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fednsr:546
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Fujiwara, Ippei & Teranishi, Yuki, 2017. "Financial frictions and policy cooperation: A case with monopolistic banking and staggered loan contracts," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 19-43.
    2. repec:wly:jmoncb:v:49:y:2017:i:2-3:p:393-415 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Lukas Vogel & Stefan Hohberger & Bernhard Herz, 2015. "Should Commodity Exporters Peg to the Export Price?," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(3), pages 486-501, August.
    4. Florian Huber & Daniel Kaufmann, 2015. "Trend Fundamentals and Exchange Rate Dynamics," KOF Working papers 15-393, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
    5. Stephen McKnight, 2016. "Investment and forward-looking monetary policy: A Wicksellian solution to the problem of indeterminacy," Serie documentos de trabajo del Centro de Estudios Económicos 2016-02, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos.
    6. Ragna Alstadheim & Øistein Røisland, 2017. "When Preferences for a Stable Interest Rate Become Self‐Defeating," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(2-3), pages 393-415, March.
    7. Seppo Honkapohja & Kaushik Mitra, 2015. "Comparing Inflation and Price-Level Targeting: The Role of Forward Guidance and Transparency," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 83, pages 27-59, December.
    8. Cúrdia, Vasco & Ferrero, Andrea & Ng, Ging Cee & Tambalotti, Andrea, 2015. "Has U.S. monetary policy tracked the efficient interest rate?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 72-83.
    9. Mitra, Kaushik & Honkapohja, Seppo, 2014. "Targeting nominal GDP or prices: : Guidance and expectation dynamics," Research Discussion Papers 4/2014, Bank of Finland.
    10. Garín, Julio & Lester, Robert & Sims, Eric, 2016. "On the desirability of nominal GDP targeting," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 21-44.
    11. Honkapohja, Seppo & Kaushik, Mitra, 2018. "Price level targeting with evolving credibility," Research Discussion Papers 5/2018, Bank of Finland.
    12. Kohei Hasui & Tomohiro Sugo & Yuki Teranishi, 2016. "Liquidity Trap and Optimal Monetary Policy Revisited," UTokyo Price Project Working Paper Series 061, University of Tokyo, Graduate School of Economics.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Interest rates ; Inflation (Finance) ; Taylor's rule ; Price levels ; Monetary policy;

    JEL classification:

    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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