The Political Feasibility of Increasing Retirement Age: Lessons from a Ballot on Female Retirement Age
In 1998, the Swiss voters approved of an increase in female retirement age from 62 to 64. The referendum, being on a single issue only, offers a unique opportunity to explore the political feasibility of pension reforms and to apply theoretical models of life-cycle decision making. Estimates carried out with municipality data suggest that the outcome of the vote conforms relatively well with predictions drawn from a theoretical simulation study. There are, however, surprising gender differences even in married couples. Young agents, married middle-aged and all elderly men favor an increase in female retirement age, while middle-aged and elderly women strongly oppose it. Richer communities and those with a high proportion of self-employed or a low fraction of blue-collar workers are more likely to opt for a higher retirement age. Ideological preferences and regional differences also play a considerable role.
|Date of creation:||Nov 2000|
|Date of revision:|
|Publication status:||Published in International Tax and Public Finance, vol. 9, 2002, pp. 349-365|
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- Friedrich Breyer & Ben Craig, 1995.
"Voting on social security: evidence from OECD countries,"
9511, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Breyer, Friedrich & Craig, Ben, 1997. "Voting on social security: Evidence from OECD countries," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 13(4), pages 705-724, December.
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