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Long-run Investment under Uncertain Demand

Author

Listed:
  • Luca Di Corato

    (Department of Economics, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Sweden)

  • Michele Moretto

    (Department of Economics, University of Padova, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei and Centro Studi Levi-Cases, Italy)

  • Sergio Vergalli

    (Department of Economics, University of Brescia, and Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, Italy)

Abstract

In the literature investigating the impact of uncertainty on short-run and long-run investment, most authors have used a log linear profit function. This functional form has been generally considered a reasonable approximation for more general ones and has the advantage of providing closed form solutions for both short-run investment rule and long-run rate of capital accumulation. In this paper, we consider a firm facing a linear demand function with additive shocks and present a technique for the analytical approximation of the long-run average rate of capital accumulation for the case of an inverted U-shape profit function. We then compare the long-run rates of capital accumulation calculated under both assumptions within a plausible range of parameter values. We notice significant differences and conclude that the choice of a log linear functional form has a non-trivial impact on the magnitude of the long run rate of capital accumulation.

Suggested Citation

  • Luca Di Corato & Michele Moretto & Sergio Vergalli, 2013. "Long-run Investment under Uncertain Demand," Working Papers 2013.65, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
  • Handle: RePEc:fem:femwpa:2013.65
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Cited by:

    1. Oulton, Nicholas & Wallis, Gavin, 2016. "Capital stocks and capital services: Integrated and consistent estimates for the United Kingdom, 1950–2013," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 117-125.
    2. Di Corato, Luca & Moretto, Michele & Vergalli, Sergio, 2014. "Long-run investment under uncertain demand," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 80-89.
    3. Alin OPREANA, 2014. "Investment Modelling at the Euro Area Level," Expert Journal of Finance, Sprint Investify, vol. 2(1), pages 26-30.
    4. Sarkar, Sudipto, 2015. "Price limits and corporate investment: The consumers' perspective," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 168-178.
    5. Alin OPREANA, 2015. "A New Perspective of Investment Modelling at the European Union Level," Expert Journal of Economics, Sprint Investify, vol. 3(2), pages 143-148.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Investment; Demand Uncertainty; Irreversibility;

    JEL classification:

    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • D92 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Intertemporal Firm Choice, Investment, Capacity, and Financing
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity

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