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The 1987-89 Locust Plague in Mali: Evidences of the Heterogeneous Impact of Income Shocks on Education Outcomes

Author

Listed:
  • Philippe De Vreyer

    (Université Paris Dauphine, LEDa, UMR 225 DIAL, IRD)

  • Nathalie Guilbert

    (Université Paris Dauphine, LEDa, UMR 225 DIAL, IRD)

  • Sandrine Mesplé-Somps

    (DIAL, IRD, Paris)

Abstract

This paper estimates the long run impact of a large income shock, by exploiting the regional variation of the 1987-1989 locust invasion in Mali. Using exhaustive Population Census data, we construct birth cohorts of individuals and compare those born and living in the years and villages affected by locust plagues with other cohorts. We find a clear and strong impact on educational outcomes of children living in rural areas but no impact at all on children living in urban areas. School enrollment of children born or aged less than seven years old at the time of shock is found to be impacted. Children born in 1988-1989, the main years of invasion, are those whose school enrollment has been the most affected by the plague. The negative impact on school enrollment of boys is higher than for girls, but on the other hand, girls attending school and living in rural areas have a lower level of school attainment than boys. Controlling for the potentially selective migration behavior of individuals, differences in educational amenities do not dampen our results. Our results are also robust to different variations of the cut-off cohort. _________________________________ L’objet de ce travail est d’estimer l’impact à long terme de chocs de revenu à travers l’analyse des effets de l’invasion de criquets qui a eu lieu de 1987 à 1989 au Mali sur différents indicateurs d’éducation. En mobilisant des données exhaustives de recensement de la population, nous construisons des cohortes d’individus selon leur date de naissance et leur lieu de résidence. Nous examinons les écarts de scolarisation des enfants impactés en double différence. Nous montrons un impact fort et significatif du choc sur les enfants des zones rurales et aucun effet sur les enfants des villes. Les enfants nés ou âgés de moins de sept ans lors des invasions de criquets ont des taux de scolarisation inférieurs aux autres. L’impact est à la fois plus fort pour les enfants qui sont nés en 1988 et 1989 c'est-à-dire les années de plus fortes invasions de criquets et pour les garçons. Cependant, parmi les enfants scolarisés, la durée de scolarisation est plus réduite du fait des invasions de criquets pour les filles que pour les garçons. Ces résultats sont maintenus lorsque l’on contrôle du biais potentiel de migration, des différences possibles d’évolution des niveaux d’infrastructures entre villages et lorsque l’on fait varier le seuil des cohortes incluses dans l'échantillon.

Suggested Citation

  • Philippe De Vreyer & Nathalie Guilbert & Sandrine Mesplé-Somps, 2012. "The 1987-89 Locust Plague in Mali: Evidences of the Heterogeneous Impact of Income Shocks on Education Outcomes," Working Papers DT/2012/05, DIAL (Développement, Institutions et Mondialisation).
    • Handle: RePEc:dia:wpaper:dt201205
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Wang, Jun & Yang, Juan & Li, Bo, 2017. "Pain of disasters: The educational cost of exogenous shocks evidence from Tangshan Earthquake in 1976," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 27-49.
    3. Chinh T. Mai & Akira Hibiki, 2023. "How Does Flood Affect Children Differently? The Impact of Flood on Children’s Education, Labor, Food Consumption, and Cognitive Development," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-1211, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
    4. Valeria Groppo & Kati Kraehnert, 2017. "The impact of extreme weather events on education," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 30(2), pages 433-472, April.
    5. Nadia Benali (a) and Rochdi Feki (b), 2020. "The Relationship between Natural Disasters, Education, ICT and Economic Growth:Empirical Evidence from ARDL Bounds Testing Approach," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 45(4), pages 93-111, December.
    6. Esther Delesalle, 2019. "Good Or Bad Timing? The Effects Of Productivity Shocks On Education And On Schooling Performance," LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES 2019021, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
    7. Somdeep Chatterjee, 2022. "How Hard Did That Sting? Estimating the Economic Costs of Locust Attacks on Agricultural Production†," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 44(1), pages 434-459, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Education; Shocks; Mali; Locust; chocs; Mali; criquets.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • I21 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Analysis of Education
    • O12 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Microeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O55 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Africa

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