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How do your rivals' releasing dates affect your box office?

Author

Listed:
  • Fernanda Gutierrez-Navratil

    (Departamento de Economia, Facultad de Economia y Empresa, Universidad de Oviedo)

  • Victor Fernandez-Blanco

    (Departamento de Economia, Facultad de Economia y Empresa, Universidad de Oviedo)

  • Luis Orea

    (Departamento de Economia, Facultad de Economia y Empresa, Universidad de Oviedo)

  • Juan Prieto-Rodriguez

    (Departamento de Economia, Facultad de Economia y Empresa, Universidad de Oviedo)

Abstract

In this paper, we study to what extent a movie's box office receipts are affected by the temporal distribution of rival films. We propose a theoretical model that analyses the effects of past, present and future releases on a film's results. Using this model we can analyse how rivals' release dates impact on others' box office revenues. This theoretical model also allows us to carry out some comparative statics by changing some relevant parameters such as time depreciation, film quality or the timeline of exhibition. We have tested the empirical implications of this model using information on the films released in five countries: the USA, the United Kingdom, Germany, France and Spain. In order to maintain a degree of homogeneity, we have constructed an unbalanced panel consisting of films that were released in at least three of these countries. The geographical dimension of our data set allows us to use panel data techniques to control for unobserved heterogeneity among the films released. This allows us to control for one of the most relevant features of the movie market, namely the presence of highly differentiated products.

Suggested Citation

  • Fernanda Gutierrez-Navratil & Victor Fernandez-Blanco & Luis Orea & Juan Prieto-Rodriguez, 2011. "How do your rivals' releasing dates affect your box office?," ACEI Working Paper Series AWP-04-2011, Association for Cultural Economics International, revised Nov 2011.
    • Handle: RePEc:cue:wpaper:awp-04-2011
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    10. Fernanda Gutierrez-Navratil & Victor Fernandez-Blanco & Luis Orea & Juan Prieto-Rodriguez, 2014. "How do your rivals’ releasing dates affect your box office?," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer;The Association for Cultural Economics International, vol. 38(1), pages 71-84, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Fernanda Gutierrez-Navratil & Victor Fernandez-Blanco & Luis Orea & Juan Prieto-Rodriguez, 2014. "How do your rivals’ releasing dates affect your box office?," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer;The Association for Cultural Economics International, vol. 38(1), pages 71-84, February.
    2. Georgios Alaveras & Estrella Gomez-Herrera & Bertin Martens, 2018. "Cross-border circulation of films and cultural diversity in the EU," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer;The Association for Cultural Economics International, vol. 42(4), pages 645-676, November.
    3. Sara Suarez-Fernandez & Maria Jose Perez-Villadoniga & Juan Prieto-Rodriguez, 2018. "Are We (Un)Consciously Driven by First Impressions? Price Declarations vs. Observed Cinema Demand when VAT Increases," ACEI Working Paper Series AWP-02-2018, Association for Cultural Economics International, revised Jul 2018.
    4. Juan Prieto-Rodriguez & Fernanda Gutierrez-Navratil & Victoria Ateca-Amestoy, 2015. "Theatre allocation as a distributor’s strategic variable over movie runs," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer;The Association for Cultural Economics International, vol. 39(1), pages 65-83, February.
    5. Fernanda Gutiérrez-Navratil & Víctor Fernández-Blanco & Luis Orea Sánchez & Juan Prieto Rodríguez, 2017. "Do Movie Majors Really Collude? Indirect Evidence from Release Schedules," Hacienda Pública Española / Review of Public Economics, IEF, vol. 221(2), pages 9-31, June.
    6. Suarez-Fernandez, Sara & Perez-Villadoniga, Maria J. & Prieto-Rodriguez, Juan, 2022. "Price salience in opinion polls and observed behavior: The case of Spanish cinema," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    7. Jordi McKenzie, 2023. "The economics of movies (revisited): A survey of recent literature," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(2), pages 480-525, April.
    8. Denis Y. Orlov & Evgeniy M. Ozhegov, 2016. "Do sequel movies really earn more than non-sequels? Evidence from the US box office," ACEI Working Paper Series AWP-03-2016, Association for Cultural Economics International, revised Apr 2016.
    9. Darlene Chisholm & Víctor Fernández-Blanco & S. Abraham Ravid & W. David Walls, 2015. "Economics of motion pictures: the state of the art," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer;The Association for Cultural Economics International, vol. 39(1), pages 1-13, February.
    10. P. Belleflamme & D. Paolini, 2015. "Strategic Promotion and Release Decisions for Cultural Goods," Working Paper CRENoS 201508, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.
    11. Frederick Derrick & Nancy Williams & Charles Scott, 2014. "A two-stage proxy variable approach to estimating movie box office receipts," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer;The Association for Cultural Economics International, vol. 38(2), pages 173-189, May.
    12. Paul Belleflamme & Dimitri Paolini, 2019. "Strategic attractiveness and release decisions for cultural goods," Journal of Economics & Management Strategy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(2), pages 198-224, April.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    temporal competition; movie exhibition; film industry; panel data; unobserved heterogeneity; differentiated product;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Z10 - Other Special Topics - - Cultural Economics - - - General

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