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Banking Productivity And Economic Fluctuations: Colombia 1998-2000

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  • Andrés Felipe Arias

Abstract

I build a general equilibrium, Þnancial accelerator model that incorporates an explicit technology for the intermediary sector. A credit multiplier emerges be- cause of a borrowing constraint that is a function of asset prices, internal funds and lending rates. With this Þnancial friction I show that small changes in the productivity and intermediation costs of banks generate large and persistent ßuc- tuations in economic activity. The transmission channel relies on the role that assets and internal funds play as collateral. After a negative shock hits Þnancial intermediation productivity, the resulting credit crunch and economic slowdown induce a fall in asset prices and internal fund accumulation. This further modiÞes the present and future volume of collateral, thereby amplifying and propagating the initial shock. I argue that changes in banking regulation in Colombia in the late 1990’s increased intermediation costs, reduced banking productivity and in- duced a credit channel story that Þts the theoretical model presented here. This new regulation enhanced the credit crunch and economic slowdown that was al- ready underway. Colombian data on loan/deposit interest rate spreads, credit volume, asset prices and economic activity support this argument.

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  • Andrés Felipe Arias, 2001. "Banking Productivity And Economic Fluctuations: Colombia 1998-2000," Borradores de Economia 2050, Banco de la Republica.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000094:002050
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    Cited by:

    1. Luz Adriana Flórez & Carlos Esteban Posada & José Fernando Escobar, 2005. "Crédito y depósitos bancarios en Colombia (1990-2004): una relación de largo plazo," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 23(48), pages 12-63, Junio.
    2. Andrés Arias, 2003. "U.S. Business Cycle Volatility And Banking Productivity," Documentos CEDE 3668, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE.
    3. Andrés Arias, 2003. "Quantitative Implications Of The Credit Constraint In The Kiyotaki-Moore (1997) Setup," Documentos CEDE 3412, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial accelerator;

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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