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Estimation of the Russia’s trade policy options with the help of the Computable General Equilibrium Model

Author

Listed:
  • Alexander Alekseev

    () (New Economic School/CEFIR)

  • Natalia Tourdyeva

    () (CEFIR, NES)

  • Ksenia Yudaeva

    (CSR, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, NES)

Abstract

The computable general equilibrium model was used in assessing different Russia’s trade policy options. The base experiment lying in the core of our investigation is simulation of the EU eastward enlargement. According to our calculations Russia does not loose in the resulting equilibrium. This is not a zero-sum process from a point of view of Russia’s social welfare. The other experiments are: simulation of Russia’s WTO accession and creation of the Common European Economic Space. Change in the tariffs associated with the possible WTO accession is so small relative to the existing level of tariffs, that it does not give a significant change in the Russian economic environment. Significant changes are associated with the creation of the CEES as a free trade area between Russia and the enlarged Europe. If an FTA agreement will cover all goods and services, this will give a negative effect on the Russian economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Alexander Alekseev & Natalia Tourdyeva & Ksenia Yudaeva, 2003. "Estimation of the Russia’s trade policy options with the help of the Computable General Equilibrium Model," Working Papers w0042, Center for Economic and Financial Research (CEFIR).
  • Handle: RePEc:cfr:cefirw:w0042
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    File URL: http://www.cefir.ru/papers/WP42_CGE.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Yaroslav D Lissovolik & Bogdan Lissovolik, 2004. "Russia and the WTO; The "Gravity" of Outsider Status," IMF Working Papers 04/159, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Oksana Harbuzyuk & Stefan Lutz, 2008. "Analyzing trade opening in Ukraine: effects of a customs union with the EU," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 41(3), pages 221-238, September.
    3. Evgeny Yakovlev & Ekaterina Zhuravskaya, 2005. "State Capture: From Yeltsin to Putin," Working Papers w0052, Center for Economic and Financial Research (CEFIR).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    CGE models; enlargement of the European Union; Russia’s WTO accession; Free Trade Area;

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