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The Euro as an Optimum Currency Area? A Reappraisal

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  • Moritz Pfeifer
  • Gunther Schnabl

Abstract

This paper reassesses whether the euro area satisfies the criteria of an optimum currency area. It contrasts early hopes of convergence with subsequent developments marked by persistent heterogeneity across member states. Differences in economic structures, fiscal policies, and financial cycles have produced asymmetries that a single monetary policy cannot offset. Labor mobility and fiscal integration remain limited, shifting adjustment burdens onto prices, wages, and financial flows. Credit expansion and later retrenchment amplified divergence, culminating in the sovereign debt crisis. Since then, cohesion has relied heavily on unconventional monetary policies and fiscal support mechanisms, with notable effects on inflation dynamics, growth performance, and income distribution. The analysis concludes that the euro area has not evolved toward optimality and faces rising risks unless institutional reforms or structural changes are undertaken.

Suggested Citation

  • Moritz Pfeifer & Gunther Schnabl, 2026. "The Euro as an Optimum Currency Area? A Reappraisal," CESifo Working Paper Series 12675, CESifo.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_12675
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    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
    • F45 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Macroeconomic Issues of Monetary Unions

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