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Assessing the losses in euro area potential productivity due to the financial crisis

Author

Listed:
  • Chouard, V.
  • Fuentes Castro, D.
  • Irac, D.
  • Lemoine, M.

Abstract

In this paper, we show that the recent financial crisis has significantly affected the potential total factor productivity (TFP) of the four largest euro area economies, as well as that of the rest of the euro area. We used a reduced-form equation of TFP, based on an approach recently developed by Cahn and Saint-Guilhem (2010). Our empirical findings show that the permanent impact on potential TFP varies across countries from -3.9 points to -1.3 points in Q2 2012. When these losses are incorporated, TFP gaps develop closely in line with capacity utilisation rates (CUR). Moreover, in the case of France, including CUR in our TFP model improves the quasi real-time reliability of TFP gap estimates.

Suggested Citation

  • Chouard, V. & Fuentes Castro, D. & Irac, D. & Lemoine, M., 2013. "Assessing the losses in euro area potential productivity due to the financial crisis," Working papers 468, Banque de France.
  • Handle: RePEc:bfr:banfra:468
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    Cited by:

    1. Alice, Albonico & Roberta, Cardani & Patrizio, Tirelli, 2017. "Debunking the Myth of Southern Profligacy. A DSGE Analysis of Business Cycles in the EMU’s Big Four," Working Papers 373, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised 05 Nov 2017.
    2. repec:spr:scient:v:105:y:2015:i:1:d:10.1007_s11192-015-1698-z is not listed on IDEAS

    More about this item

    Keywords

    production function; total factor productivity; financial crisis; capacity utilisation.;

    JEL classification:

    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • O4 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity

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