IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2603.03260.html

Does Entry of Food-and-Drink Establishments Raise Local House Prices? Event-Study Evidence from London

Author

Listed:
  • Wanqi Liu
  • Rong Zhao

Abstract

Restaurants, cafes, pubs, and takeaways are among the most visible markers of neighborhood change, yet whether their arrival is capitalised into nearby housing values remains empirically unsettled. We assemble a London-wide panel linking Land Registry prices, non-domestic EPC lodgement timings for food-and-drink establishments, and neighborhood amenity measures at the LSOA level. Our preferred annual event-study design defines treatment as the first clean-onset year in which an LSOA records at least two eligible EPC lodgements for food-and-drink establishments, after a two-year lookback with no prior entries. In this specification, pre-trend tests are not rejected in either the stacked or Sun-Abraham estimators, and log house prices rise gradually from about 0.5% in the event year to roughly 3.4--3.7% by years four and five. The results are consistent with local amenity capitalization following commercial entry, while remaining appropriately cautious about endogenous siting and concurrent redevelopment.

Suggested Citation

  • Wanqi Liu & Rong Zhao, 2026. "Does Entry of Food-and-Drink Establishments Raise Local House Prices? Event-Study Evidence from London," Papers 2603.03260, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2026.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2603.03260
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2603.03260
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Goodman-Bacon, Andrew, 2021. "Difference-in-differences with variation in treatment timing," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 225(2), pages 254-277.
    2. Liu, Chang & Bardaka, Eleni, 2023. "Transit-induced commercial gentrification: Causal inference through a difference-in-differences analysis of business microdata," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    3. Jonathan Reades & Jordan De Souza & Phil Hubbard, 2019. "Understanding urban gentrification through machine learning," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 56(5), pages 922-942, April.
    4. Megan Heckert & Jeremy Mennis, 2012. "The Economic Impact of Greening Urban Vacant Land: A Spatial Difference-In-Differences Analysis," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 44(12), pages 3010-3027, December.
    5. Guerrieri, Veronica & Hartley, Daniel & Hurst, Erik, 2013. "Endogenous gentrification and housing price dynamics," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 45-60.
    6. Dubé, Jean & Legros, Diègo & Thériault, Marius & Des Rosiers, François, 2014. "A spatial Difference-in-Differences estimator to evaluate the effect of change in public mass transit systems on house prices," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 24-40.
    7. Koen Decancq & María Ana Lugo, 2013. "Weights in Multidimensional Indices of Wellbeing: An Overview," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(1), pages 7-34, January.
    8. Wang, Jinxiu & Deng, Kun, 2022. "Impact and mechanism analysis of smart city policy on urban innovation: Evidence from China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 574-587.
    9. Sun, Liyang & Abraham, Sarah, 2021. "Estimating dynamic treatment effects in event studies with heterogeneous treatment effects," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 225(2), pages 175-199.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Dubé, Jean & Le Gallo, Julie & Champagne, Marie-Pier & Hilal, Mohamed & Legros, Diègo, 2026. "Can public investment in transport influence densification and land use? Evidence from the tramway of Dijon (France)," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).
    2. Khalil, Umair & Sanfelice, Viviane, 2025. "Housing Improvement and Crime," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    3. Sumit Agarwal & Shashwat Alok & Sergio Correia & Deepa Mani & Bernardo Morais, 2024. "Transportation Technology and Gentrification: Evidence from the entry of Ridesharing Services," Papers 2409.15462, arXiv.org.
    4. Shanxia Sun & Michael S. Delgado, 2024. "Local spatial difference-in-differences models: treatment correlations, response interactions, and expanded local models," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 67(5), pages 2077-2107, November.
    5. Ke-Liang Wang & Yuan-Jie Qiao & Ru-Yu Xu & Yun-He Cheng & Zhuang Miao, 2025. "Smart city construction and urban livability: evidence from a quasi-natural experiment in China," Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 12(1), pages 1-16, December.
    6. Hu, Shan & Zhang, Heqi & Wang, Yudong, 2025. "Does e-commerce development drive regional entrepreneurial activity? Spatial spillover effect and mechanism analysis," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 284(C).
    7. Büchler, Simon & Lutz, Elena, 2024. "Making housing affordable? The local effects of relaxing land-use regulation," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    8. Duman, Zaenhaer & Mao, Xianqiang & Zhang, Shining & Chen, Xing & Gao, Yubing & Chen, Yongpeng & Hu, Yunjun & Chang, Yifan & Si, Xiaopeng & Han, Zichen, 2025. "Spatiotemporal dynamics and spatial spillover effects of ultra-high voltage power grid expansion on carbon emissions in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 339(C).
    9. Bas Scheer & Wiljan van den Berge & Maarten Goos & Alan Manning & Anna Salomons, 2022. "Alternative Work Arrangements and Worker Outcomes: Evidence from Payrolling," CPB Discussion Paper 435, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    10. Mac Clay, Pablo & Börner, Jan & Sellare, Jorge, 2023. "Institutional and macroeconomic stability mediate the effect of auctions on renewable energy capacity," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    11. Katrin Huber & Geske Rolvering, 2023. "Public child care and mothers’ career trajectories," Working Papers 228, Bavarian Graduate Program in Economics (BGPE).
    12. Coury, Michael & Falconer, Liam & La Nauze, Andrea, 2024. "Wildfire smoke and private provision of public air-quality monitoring," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    13. Catalina Amuedo‐Dorantes & Francisca M. Antman, 2022. "De facto immigration enforcement, ICE raid awareness, and worker engagement," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 60(1), pages 373-391, January.
    14. D. Mark Anderson & Yang Liang & Joseph J. Sabia, 2024. "Mandatory seatbelt laws and traffic fatalities: A reassessment," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(3), pages 513-521, April.
    15. Nadja van 't Hoff & Giovanni Mellace & Seetha Menon, 2025. "Gender Differences in Healthcare Utilisation -- Evidence from Unexpected Adverse Health Shocks," Papers 2509.01310, arXiv.org.
    16. Arne Henningsen & Guy Low & David Wuepper & Tobias Dalhaus & Hugo Storm & Dagim Belay & Stefan Hirsch, 2024. "Estimating Causal Effects with Observational Data: Guidelines for Agricultural and Applied Economists," IFRO Working Paper 2024/03, University of Copenhagen, Department of Food and Resource Economics.
    17. Martti Kaila & Emily Nix & Krista Riukula, 2021. "Disparate Impacts of Job Loss by Parental Income and Implications for Intergenerational Mobility," Opportunity and Inclusive Growth Institute Working Papers 53, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    18. Stefan Bauernschuster & Michael Grimm & Cathy M. Hajo, 2023. "The Impact of Margaret Sanger’s Birth Control Clinics on Early 20th Century U.S. Fertility and Mortality," CESifo Working Paper Series 10421, CESifo.
    19. Fabio Bothner & Annette Elisabeth Töller & Paul Philipp Schnase, 2022. "Do Lawsuits by ENGOs Improve Environmental Quality? Results from the Field of Air Pollution Policy in Germany," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-18, May.
    20. Bhalotra, Sonia & Clarke, Damian & Mühlrad, Hanna & Palme, Mårten, 2021. "Health and Labor Market Impacts of Twin Birth : Evidence from a Swedish IVF Policy Mandate," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1391, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2603.03260. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.