IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2304.02356.html

Unifying Market Microstructure and Dynamic Asset Pricing

Author

Listed:
  • Davide Lauria
  • W. Brent Lindquist
  • Svetlozar T. Rachev
  • Yuan Hu

Abstract

We introduce a discrete binary tree for pricing contingent claims with the underlying security prices exhibiting history dependence characteristic of that induced by market microstructure phenomena. Example dependencies considered include moving average or autoregressive behavior. Our model is market-complete, arbitrage-free, and preserves all of the parameters governing the historical (natural world) price dynamics when passing to an equivalent martingale (risk-neutral) measure. Specifically, this includes the instantaneous mean and variance of the asset return and the instantaneous probabilities for the direction of asset price movement. We believe this is the first paper to demonstrate the ability to include market microstructure effects in dynamic asset/option pricing in a market-complete, no-arbitrage, format.

Suggested Citation

  • Davide Lauria & W. Brent Lindquist & Svetlozar T. Rachev & Yuan Hu, 2023. "Unifying Market Microstructure and Dynamic Asset Pricing," Papers 2304.02356, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2304.02356
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2304.02356
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hasbrouck, Joel, 1988. "Trades, quotes, inventories, and information," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 229-252, December.
    2. B. B. Mandelbrot, 2001. "Stochastic volatility, power laws and long memory," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 1(6), pages 558-559.
    3. Kim, Young Shin & Stoyanov, Stoyan & Rachev, Svetlozar & Fabozzi, Frank J., 2019. "Enhancing binomial and trinomial equity option pricing models," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 185-190.
    4. Harrison, J. Michael & Kreps, David M., 1979. "Martingales and arbitrage in multiperiod securities markets," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 381-408, June.
    5. Harrison, J. Michael & Pliska, Stanley R., 1981. "Martingales and stochastic integrals in the theory of continuous trading," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 215-260, August.
    6. Jianqing Fan & Michael B. Imerman & Wei Dai, 2016. "What Does the Volatility Risk Premium Say About Liquidity Provision and Demand for Hedging Tail Risk?," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(4), pages 519-535, October.
    7. Jin‐Chuan Duan & Peter Ritchken & Zhiqiang Sun, 2006. "Approximating Garch‐Jump Models, Jump‐Diffusion Processes, And Option Pricing," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 16(1), pages 21-52, January.
    8. Yuan Hu & Abootaleb Shirvani & W. Brent Lindquist & Frank J. Fabozzi & Svetlozar T. Rachev, 2020. "Option Pricing Incorporating Factor Dynamics in Complete Markets," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-33, December.
    9. Yuan Hu & Abootaleb Shirvani & Stoyan Stoyanov & Young Shin Kim & Frank J. Fabozzi & Svetlozar T. Rachev, 2020. "Option Pricing in Markets with Informed Traders," Papers 2006.02596, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.
    10. Robert C. Merton, 2005. "Theory of rational option pricing," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Sudipto Bhattacharya & George M Constantinides (ed.), Theory Of Valuation, chapter 8, pages 229-288, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    11. Yuan Hu & Abootaleb Shirvani & Stoyan Stoyanov & Young Shin Kim & Frank J. Fabozzi & Svetlozar T. Rachev, 2020. "Option Pricing In Markets With Informed Traders," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 23(06), pages 1-32, September.
    12. Christophe Chorro & Dominique Gu�gan & Florian Ielpo, 2012. "Option pricing for GARCH-type models with generalized hyperbolic innovations," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(7), pages 1079-1094, April.
    13. Merton, Robert C., 1976. "Option pricing when underlying stock returns are discontinuous," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(1-2), pages 125-144.
    14. Andrew W. Lo & Harry Mamaysky & Jiang Wang, 2000. "Foundations of Technical Analysis: Computational Algorithms, Statistical Inference, and Empirical Implementation," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 55(4), pages 1705-1765, August.
    15. Black, Fischer & Scholes, Myron S, 1973. "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 637-654, May-June.
    16. Garman, Mark B., 1976. "Market microstructure," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(3), pages 257-275, June.
    17. Jin‐Chuan Duan, 1995. "The Garch Option Pricing Model," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 5(1), pages 13-32, January.
    18. Rubinstein, Mark, 1994. "Implied Binomial Trees," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 49(3), pages 771-818, July.
    19. Fernando Cordero & Irene Klein & Lavinia Perez-Ostafe, 2014. "Binary Markets Under Transaction Costs," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 17(05), pages 1-27.
    20. Robert JARROW & Andrew RUDD, 2008. "Approximate Option Valuation For Arbitrary Stochastic Processes," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Financial Derivatives Pricing Selected Works of Robert Jarrow, chapter 1, pages 9-31, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    21. Hasbrouck, Joel, 2007. "Empirical Market Microstructure: The Institutions, Economics, and Econometrics of Securities Trading," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780195301649.
    22. Roll, Richard, 1984. "A Simple Implicit Measure of the Effective Bid-Ask Spread in an Efficient Market," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 39(4), pages 1127-1139, September.
    23. Kim, Y.S. & Stoyanov, S. & Rachev, S. & Fabozzi, F., 2016. "Multi-purpose binomial model: Fitting all moments to the underlying geometric Brownian motion," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 225-229.
    24. Cox, John C. & Ross, Stephen A., 1976. "The valuation of options for alternative stochastic processes," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(1-2), pages 145-166.
    25. Lie-Jane Kao, 2012. "Locally Risk-Neutral Valuation Of Options In Garch Models Based On Variance-Gamma Process," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 15(02), pages 1-21.
    26. Mark Rubinstein., 1994. "Implied Binomial Trees," Research Program in Finance Working Papers RPF-232, University of California at Berkeley.
    27. Easley, David & O'Hara, Maureen, 2003. "Microstructure and asset pricing," Handbook of the Economics of Finance, in: G.M. Constantinides & M. Harris & R. M. Stulz (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 17, pages 1021-1051, Elsevier.
    28. Cox, John C. & Ross, Stephen A. & Rubinstein, Mark, 1979. "Option pricing: A simplified approach," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 229-263, September.
    29. M. Hung & William H. Swallow, 1999. "Robustness of Group Testing in the Estimation of Proportions," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 55(1), pages 231-237, March.
    30. Yacine Aït-Sahalia & Jean Jacod, 2014. "High-Frequency Financial Econometrics," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 10261, December.
    31. Christophe Chorro & Dominique Guegan & Florian Ielpo, 2012. "Option Pricing for GARCH-type Models with Generalized Hyperbolic Innovations," Post-Print hal-00511965, HAL.
    32. Yuan Hu & Abootaleb Shirvani & W. Brent Lindquist & Frank J. Fabozzi & Svetlozar T. Rachev, 2020. "Option Pricing Incorporating Factor Dynamics in Complete Markets," Papers 2011.08343, arXiv.org.
    33. Christophe Chorro & Dominique Guegan & Florian Ielpo, 2012. "Option Pricing for GARCH-type Models with Generalized Hyperbolic Innovations," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) hal-00511965, HAL.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Davide Lauria & W. Brent Lindquist & Svetlozar T. Rachev & Yuan Hu, 2025. "Bridging Asset Pricing and Market Microstructure: Option Valuation in Roll’s Framework," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 18(5), pages 1-43, April.
    2. Zhu, Ke & Ling, Shiqing, 2015. "Model-based pricing for financial derivatives," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 187(2), pages 447-457.
    3. Mark Broadie & Jerome B. Detemple, 2004. "ANNIVERSARY ARTICLE: Option Pricing: Valuation Models and Applications," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 50(9), pages 1145-1177, September.
    4. Mondher Bellalah, 2009. "Derivatives, Risk Management & Value," World Scientific Books, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., number 7175, September.
    5. Constantinides, George M. & Jackwerth, Jens Carsten & Perrakis, Stylianos, 2005. "Option pricing: Real and risk-neutral distributions," CoFE Discussion Papers 05/06, University of Konstanz, Center of Finance and Econometrics (CoFE).
    6. Carl Chiarella & Xue-Zhong He & Christina Sklibosios Nikitopoulos, 2015. "Derivative Security Pricing," Dynamic Modeling and Econometrics in Economics and Finance, Springer, edition 127, number 978-3-662-45906-5, April.
    7. Yuan Hu & Abootaleb Shirvani & W. Brent Lindquist & Frank J. Fabozzi & Svetlozar T. Rachev, 2021. "Market Complete Option Valuation using a Jarrow-Rudd Pricing Tree with Skewness and Kurtosis," Papers 2106.09128, arXiv.org.
    8. Yuan Hu & W. Brent Lindquist & Svetlozar T. Rachev & Frank J. Fabozzi, 2023. "Option pricing using a skew random walk pricing tree," Papers 2303.17014, arXiv.org.
    9. René Garcia & Richard Luger & Eric Renault, 2000. "Asymmetric Smiles, Leverage Effects and Structural Parameters," Working Papers 2000-57, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
    10. Jin Zhang & Yi Xiang, 2008. "The implied volatility smirk," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(3), pages 263-284.
    11. Hu, Yuan & Lindquist, W. Brent & Rachev, Svetlozar T. & Shirvani, Abootaleb & Fabozzi, Frank J., 2022. "Market complete option valuation using a Jarrow-Rudd pricing tree with skewness and kurtosis," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    12. Jondeau, Eric & Rockinger, Michael, 2000. "Reading the smile: the message conveyed by methods which infer risk neutral densities," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(6), pages 885-915, December.
    13. Yuan Hu & Abootaleb Shirvani & W. Brent Lindquist & Frank J. Fabozzi & Svetlozar T. Rachev, 2020. "Option Pricing Incorporating Factor Dynamics in Complete Markets," Papers 2011.08343, arXiv.org.
    14. Ait-Sahalia, Yacine & Wang, Yubo & Yared, Francis, 2001. "Do option markets correctly price the probabilities of movement of the underlying asset?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 102(1), pages 67-110, May.
    15. Eric Jondeau & Michael Rockinger, 1998. "Reading the Smile: The Message Conveyed by Methods Which Infer Risk Neutral," Working papers 47, Banque de France.
    16. Alexander, Carol & Nogueira, Leonardo M., 2007. "Model-free hedge ratios and scale-invariant models," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(6), pages 1839-1861, June.
    17. Jurczenko, Emmanuel & Maillet, Bertrand & Negrea, Bogdan, 2002. "Revisited multi-moment approximate option pricing models a general comparison (Part 1)," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 24950, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    18. Lim, Terence & Lo, Andrew W. & Merton, Robert C. & Scholes, Myron S., 2006. "The Derivatives Sourcebook," Foundations and Trends(R) in Finance, now publishers, vol. 1(5–6), pages 365-572, April.
    19. Hosam Ki & Byungwook Choi & Kook‐Hyun Chang & Miyoung Lee, 2005. "Option pricing under extended normal distribution," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(9), pages 845-871, September.
    20. Guidolin, Massimo & Timmermann, Allan, 2003. "Option prices under Bayesian learning: implied volatility dynamics and predictive densities," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 27(5), pages 717-769, March.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2304.02356. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.