IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2011.08343.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Option Pricing Incorporating Factor Dynamics in Complete Markets

Author

Listed:
  • Yuan Hu
  • Abootaleb Shirvani
  • W. Brent Lindquist
  • Frank J. Fabozzi
  • Svetlozar T. Rachev

Abstract

Using the Donsker-Prokhorov invariance principle we extend the Kim-Stoyanov-Rachev-Fabozzi option pricing model to allow for variably-spaced trading instances, an important consideration for short-sellers of options. Applying the Cherny-Shiryaev-Yor invariance principles, we formulate a new binomial path-dependent pricing model for discrete- and continuous-time complete markets where the stock price dynamics depends on the log-return dynamics of a market influencing factor. In the discrete case, we extend the results of this new approach to a financial market with informed traders employing a statistical arbitrage strategy involving trading of forward contracts. Our findings are illustrated with numerical examples employing US financial market data. Our work provides further support for the conclusion that any option pricing model must preserve valuable information on the instantaneous mean log-return, the probability of the stock's upturn movement (per trading interval), and other market microstructure features.

Suggested Citation

  • Yuan Hu & Abootaleb Shirvani & W. Brent Lindquist & Frank J. Fabozzi & Svetlozar T. Rachev, 2020. "Option Pricing Incorporating Factor Dynamics in Complete Markets," Papers 2011.08343, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2011.08343
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2011.08343
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Michael C. Jensen, 1968. "The Performance Of Mutual Funds In The Period 1945–1964," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 23(2), pages 389-416, May.
    2. Boyle, Phelim P., 1988. "A Lattice Framework for Option Pricing with Two State Variables," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(1), pages 1-12, March.
    3. Fama, Eugene F. & French, Kenneth R., 2017. "International tests of a five-factor asset pricing model," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(3), pages 441-463.
    4. Mark Rubinstein., 2000. "On the Relation Between Binomial and Trinomial Option Pricing Models," Research Program in Finance Working Papers RPF-292, University of California at Berkeley.
    5. Kim, Young Shin & Stoyanov, Stoyan & Rachev, Svetlozar & Fabozzi, Frank J., 2019. "Enhancing binomial and trinomial equity option pricing models," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 185-190.
    6. Fama, Eugene F. & French, Kenneth R., 2015. "A five-factor asset pricing model," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(1), pages 1-22.
    7. Crimaldi, Irene & Dai Pra, Paolo & Louis, Pierre-Yves & Minelli, Ida G., 2019. "Synchronization and functional central limit theorems for interacting reinforced random walks," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 129(1), pages 70-101.
    8. Ionuţ Florescu & Frederi Viens, 2008. "Stochastic Volatility: Option Pricing using a Multinomial Recombining Tree," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(2), pages 151-181.
    9. Jensen, Michael C, 1969. "Risk, The Pricing of Capital Assets, and the Evaluation of Investment Portfolios," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 42(2), pages 167-247, April.
    10. Yuan Hu & Abootaleb Shirvani & Stoyan Stoyanov & Young Shin Kim & Frank J. Fabozzi & Svetlozar T. Rachev, 2020. "Option Pricing in Markets with Informed Traders," Papers 2006.02596, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.
    11. George M. Jabbour & Marat V. Kramin & Timur V. Kramin & Stephen D. Young, 2005. "Multinomial Lattices and Derivatives Pricing," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Cheng-Few Lee (ed.), Advances In Quantitative Analysis Of Finance And Accounting New Series, chapter 1, pages 1-15, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    12. Fama, Eugene F. & French, Kenneth R., 1993. "Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 3-56, February.
    13. Dhaene, Jan & Stassen, Ben & Devolder, Pierre & Vellekoop, Michel, 2014. "The Minimal Entropy Martingale Measure in a market of traded financial and actuarial risks," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2014055, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    14. Steve Ross, 2015. "The Recovery Theorem," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 70(2), pages 615-648, April.
    15. Robert C. Merton, 2005. "Theory of rational option pricing," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Sudipto Bhattacharya & George M Constantinides (ed.), Theory Of Valuation, chapter 8, pages 229-288, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    16. Yuan Hu & Abootaleb Shirvani & Stoyan Stoyanov & Young Shin Kim & Frank J. Fabozzi & Svetlozar T. Rachev, 2020. "Option Pricing In Markets With Informed Traders," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 23(06), pages 1-32, September.
    17. Major, Péter, 1978. "On the invariance principle for sums of independent identically distributed random variables," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 8(4), pages 487-517, December.
    18. Black, Fischer & Scholes, Myron S, 1973. "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 637-654, May-June.
    19. Bernhard Breloer & Hannah Lea Hühn & Hendrik Scholz, 2016. "Jensen alpha and market climate," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 17(3), pages 195-214, May.
    20. Johnson, R Stafford & Pawlukiewicz, James E & Mehta, Jayesh M, 1997. "Binomial Option Pricing with Skewed Asset Returns," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 89-101, July.
    21. Carhart, Mark M, 1997. "On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(1), pages 57-82, March.
    22. Kim, Y.S. & Stoyanov, S. & Rachev, S. & Fabozzi, F., 2016. "Multi-purpose binomial model: Fitting all moments to the underlying geometric Brownian motion," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 225-229.
    23. Rendleman, Richard J, Jr & Bartter, Brit J, 1979. "Two-State Option Pricing," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 34(5), pages 1093-1110, December.
    24. Jackwerth, Jens Carsten & Menner, Marco, 2020. "Does the Ross recovery theorem work empirically?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(3), pages 723-739.
    25. Dirk Sierag & Bernard Hanzon, 2018. "Pricing derivatives on multiple assets: recombining multinomial trees based on Pascal’s simplex," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 266(1), pages 101-127, July.
    26. Eugene F. Fama & Kenneth R. French, 2004. "The Capital Asset Pricing Model: Theory and Evidence," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 18(3), pages 25-46, Summer.
    27. Madan, Dilip B & Milne, Frank & Shefrin, Hersh, 1989. "The Multinomial Option Pricing Model and Its Brownian and Poisson Limits," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 2(2), pages 251-265.
    28. Cox, John C. & Ross, Stephen A. & Rubinstein, Mark, 1979. "Option pricing: A simplified approach," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 229-263, September.
    29. Yacine Aït-Sahalia & Jean Jacod, 2014. "High-Frequency Financial Econometrics," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 10261.
    30. Rosanna Coviello & Cristina Di Girolami & Francesco Russo, 2011. "On stochastic calculus related to financial assets without semimartingales," Papers 1102.2050, arXiv.org.
    31. Rubinstein, Mark, 2000. "On the Relation Between Binomial and Trinomial Option Pricing Models," Research Program in Finance, Working Paper Series qt3bw450n0, Research Program in Finance, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Davide Lauria & W. Brent Lindquist & Svetlozar T. Rachev & Yuan Hu, 2023. "Unifying Market Microstructure and Dynamic Asset Pricing," Papers 2304.02356, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
    2. Yuan Hu & Abootaleb Shirvani & W. Brent Lindquist & Frank J. Fabozzi & Svetlozar T. Rachev, 2021. "Market Complete Option Valuation using a Jarrow-Rudd Pricing Tree with Skewness and Kurtosis," Papers 2106.09128, arXiv.org.
    3. Svetlozar Rachev & Nancy Asare Nyarko & Blessing Omotade & Peter Yegon, 2023. "Bachelier's Market Model for ESG Asset Pricing," Papers 2306.04158, arXiv.org.
    4. Hu, Yuan & Lindquist, W. Brent & Rachev, Svetlozar T. & Shirvani, Abootaleb & Fabozzi, Frank J., 2022. "Market complete option valuation using a Jarrow-Rudd pricing tree with skewness and kurtosis," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yuan Hu & Abootaleb Shirvani & W. Brent Lindquist & Frank J. Fabozzi & Svetlozar T. Rachev, 2020. "Option Pricing Incorporating Factor Dynamics in Complete Markets," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-33, December.
    2. Yuan Hu & W. Brent Lindquist & Svetlozar T. Rachev & Frank J. Fabozzi, 2023. "Option pricing using a skew random walk pricing tree," Papers 2303.17014, arXiv.org.
    3. Yuan Hu & Abootaleb Shirvani & W. Brent Lindquist & Frank J. Fabozzi & Svetlozar T. Rachev, 2021. "Market Complete Option Valuation using a Jarrow-Rudd Pricing Tree with Skewness and Kurtosis," Papers 2106.09128, arXiv.org.
    4. Hu, Yuan & Lindquist, W. Brent & Rachev, Svetlozar T. & Shirvani, Abootaleb & Fabozzi, Frank J., 2022. "Market complete option valuation using a Jarrow-Rudd pricing tree with skewness and kurtosis," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    5. Davide Lauria & W. Brent Lindquist & Svetlozar T. Rachev & Yuan Hu, 2023. "Unifying Market Microstructure and Dynamic Asset Pricing," Papers 2304.02356, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
    6. Mark Broadie & Jérôme Detemple, 1996. "Recent Advances in Numerical Methods for Pricing Derivative Securities," CIRANO Working Papers 96s-17, CIRANO.
    7. Sonntag, Dominik, 2018. "Die Theorie der fairen geometrischen Rendite [The Theory of Fair Geometric Returns]," MPRA Paper 87082, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Linnenluecke, Martina K. & Chen, Xiaoyan & Ling, Xin & Smith, Tom & Zhu, Yushu, 2017. "Research in finance: A review of influential publications and a research agenda," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 188-199.
    9. Abdoh, Hussein, 2023. "Rivals risk-taking incentives and firm corporate policy," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 106-123.
    10. Sirio Aramonte & Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar & Samuel Rosen & John W. Schindler, 2022. "Firm-Specific Risk-Neutral Distributions with Options and CDS," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(9), pages 7018-7033, September.
    11. Kevin Aretz & Ming-Tsung Lin & Ser-Huang Poon, 2023. "Moneyness, Underlying Asset Volatility, and the Cross-Section of Option Returns," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 27(1), pages 289-323.
    12. Ramachandran, Lakshmi Shankar & Tayal, Jitendra, 2021. "Mispricing, short-sale constraints, and the cross-section of option returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(1), pages 297-321.
    13. Huber, Daniel & Jacobs, Heiko & Müller, Sebastian & Preissler, Fabian, 2023. "International factor models," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    14. Rocciolo, Francesco & Gheno, Andrea & Brooks, Chris, 2022. "Explaining abnormal returns in stock markets: An alpha-neutral version of the CAPM," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    15. Manuel Moreno & Javier Navas, 2003. "On the Robustness of Least-Squares Monte Carlo (LSM) for Pricing American Derivatives," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 6(2), pages 107-128, May.
    16. Bowei Chen & Jun Wang, 2014. "A lattice framework for pricing display advertisement options with the stochastic volatility underlying model," Papers 1409.0697, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2015.
    17. Fernando Rubio, 2005. "Eficiencia De Mercado, Administracion De Carteras De Fondos Y Behavioural Finance," Finance 0503028, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 23 Jul 2005.
    18. Josheski Dushko & Apostolov Mico, 2020. "A Review of the Binomial and Trinomial Models for Option Pricing and their Convergence to the Black-Scholes Model Determined Option Prices," Econometrics. Advances in Applied Data Analysis, Sciendo, vol. 24(2), pages 53-85, June.
    19. Abdoh, Hussein & Liu, Yu, 2021. "Does R&D intensity matter in the executive risk incentives and firm risk relationship?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 13-24.
    20. Güler ARAS & İlhan ÇAM & Bilal ZAVALSIZ & Serkan KESKİN, 2018. "Fama-French Çok Faktör Varlık Fiyatlama Modellerinin Performanslarının Karşılaştırılması: Borsa İstanbul Üzerine Bir Uygulama," Istanbul Business Research, Istanbul University Business School, vol. 47(2), pages 183-207, November.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2011.08343. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.