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Essential econometric methods of forecasting agricultural commodity prices

Author

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  • Hamulczuk, Mariusz
  • Grudkowska, Sylwia
  • Gędek, Stanisław
  • Klimkowski, Cezary
  • Stańko, Stanisław

Abstract

Factors determining agricultural commodity prices. Time series forecasting. X-12-ARIMA and TRAMO/SEATS procedures. Causal forecasting methods. Partial equilibrium models of the agricultural sector.

Suggested Citation

  • Hamulczuk, Mariusz & Grudkowska, Sylwia & Gędek, Stanisław & Klimkowski, Cezary & Stańko, Stanisław, 2013. "Essential econometric methods of forecasting agricultural commodity prices," Multiannual Program Reports 164834, Institute of Agricultural and Food Economics - National Research Institute (IAFE-NRI).
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:iafepr:164834
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.164834
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Banse, Martin & Salamon, Petra & Ledebur, Oliver von & van Leeuwen, Myrna & Bouma, Foppe & Salputra, Guna & Fellmann, Thomas & Nekhay, Olexandr, "undated". "Impact of Russia and Ukraine on the international price formation and the EU markets - A Model based analysis," 123rd Seminar, February 23-24, 2012, Dublin, Ireland 122536, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    2. Bob Baulch, 1997. "Transfer Costs, Spatial Arbitrage, and Testing for Food Market Integration," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 79(2), pages 477-487.
    3. Pier Giorgio Ardeni, 1989. "Does the Law of One Price Really Hold for Commodity Prices?," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 71(3), pages 661-669.
    4. Beghin, John C. & Dong, Fengxia & Elobeid, Amani & Fabiosa, Jacinto F. & Fuller, Frank H. & Hart, Chad E. & Kovarik, Karen P. & Tokgoz, Simla & Yu, Tun-Hsiang & Wailes, Eric J. & Chavez, Edward & Woma, 2007. "FAPRI 2007 U.S. And World Agricultural Outlook," Staff General Research Papers Archive 12805, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
      • Beghin, John C. & Dong, Fengxia & Elobeid, Amani E. & Fabiosa, Jacinto F. & Fuller, Frank H. & Hart, Chad E. & Kovarik, Karen & Tokgoz, Simla & Yu, Tun-Hsiang (Edward) & Wailes, Eric J. & Chavez, Eddi, 2007. "FAPRI 2007 U.S. and World Agricultural Outlook," FAPRI Staff Reports 7296, Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI).
    5. Adya, Monica & Armstrong, J. Scott & Collopy, Fred & Kennedy, Miles, 2000. "An application of rule-based forecasting to a situation lacking domain knowledge," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 16(4), pages 477-484.
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