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Agent-Based Modelling and Sensitivity Analysis by Experimental Design and Metamodelling: An Application to Modelling Regional Structural Change

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  • Happe, Kathrin

Abstract

This paper presents the application of the sensitivity analysis techniques Design of Experiments (DOE) and metamodelling to the agent-based model AgriPoliS, which is a spatial and dynamic simulation model of regional structural change. DOE and metamodelling provide a more systematic analysis of results of complex simulation models. When summarising the results, it becomes clear that interest rates, technical change and managerial ability influence average economic land rent the most.

Suggested Citation

  • Happe, Kathrin, 2005. "Agent-Based Modelling and Sensitivity Analysis by Experimental Design and Metamodelling: An Application to Modelling Regional Structural Change," 2005 International Congress, August 23-27, 2005, Copenhagen, Denmark 24464, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:eaae05:24464
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.24464
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    1. Kleijnen, J.P.C., 1999. "Validation of models : Statistical techniques and data availability," Other publications TiSEM f2238bd9-e4c9-430a-96f2-a, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    2. Balmann, Alfons & Happe, Kathrin & Kellermann, Konrad & Kleingarn, Anne, 2001. "Adjustment Costs Of Agri-Environmental Policy Switchings - A Multi-Agent Approach," 2001 Annual meeting, August 5-8, Chicago, IL 20506, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    3. Happe, Kathrin & Balmann, Alfons & Kellermann, Konrad, 2004. "The agricultural policy simulator (AgriPoliS): an agent-based model to study structural change in agriculture (Version 1.0)," IAMO Discussion Papers 71, Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Transition Economies (IAMO).
    4. Kleijnen, J.P.C. & Sanchez, S.M. & Lucas, T.W. & Cioppa, T.M., 2003. "A User's Guide to the Brave New World of Designing Simulation Experiments," Other publications TiSEM a6910d11-f9bc-4246-b1a7-2, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    5. Kleijnen, J.P.C., 1999. "Validation of Models : Statistical Techniques and Data Availability," Other publications TiSEM f7518d14-a5e9-4c69-a579-6, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    6. Balmann, Alfons, 1997. "Farm-Based Modelling of Regional Structural Change: A Cellular Automata Approach," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 24(1), pages 85-108.
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    2. Bichraoui-Draper, Najet & Xu, Ming & Miller, Shelie A. & Guillaume, Bertrand, 2015. "Agent-based life cycle assessment for switchgrass-based bioenergy systems," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 171-178.
    3. Fonoberova, Maria & Fonoberov, Vladimir A. & Mezić, Igor, 2013. "Global sensitivity/uncertainty analysis for agent-based models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 8-17.
    4. Jakob Grazzini & Matteo G. Richiardi & Lisa Sella, 2013. "Analysis of Agent-based Models," LABORatorio R. Revelli Working Papers Series 135, LABORatorio R. Revelli, Centre for Employment Studies.
    5. Roberta Alves & Renato da Silva Lima & Leise Kelli De Oliveira & Alexandre Ferreira de Pinho, 2022. "Conceptual Framework for Evaluating E-Commerce Deliveries Using Agent-Based Modelling and Sensitivity Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-18, November.
    6. Bert, Federico E. & Podestá, Guillermo P. & Rovere, Santiago L. & Menéndez, Ángel N. & North, Michael & Tatara, Eric & Laciana, Carlos E. & Weber, Elke & Toranzo, Fernando Ruiz, 2011. "An agent based model to simulate structural and land use changes in agricultural systems of the argentine pampas," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 222(19), pages 3486-3499.
    7. Martínez-Fernández, Julia & Esteve-Selma, Miguel Angel & Baños-González, Isabel & Carreño, Francisca & Moreno, Angeles, 2013. "Sustainability of Mediterranean irrigated agro-landscapes," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 248(C), pages 11-19.
    8. Grazzini,Jakob & Richiardi, Matteo & Sella, Lisa, 2013. "Is there a Double-Negative Effect? Gender and Ethnic Wage Differentials," Department of Economics and Statistics Cognetti de Martiis. Working Papers 201352, University of Turin.
    9. Delli Gatti,Domenico & Fagiolo,Giorgio & Gallegati,Mauro & Richiardi,Matteo & Russo,Alberto (ed.), 2018. "Agent-Based Models in Economics," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781108400046.
    10. Maksudul Alam & Xinwei Deng & Casandra Philipson & Josep Bassaganya-Riera & Keith Bisset & Adria Carbo & Stephen Eubank & Raquel Hontecillas & Stefan Hoops & Yongguo Mei & Vida Abedi & Madhav Marathe, 2015. "Sensitivity Analysis of an ENteric Immunity SImulator (ENISI)-Based Model of Immune Responses to Helicobacter pylori Infection," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(9), pages 1-25, September.

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